How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Team X vs Team Q-1.2-0.4+1.6
-1.9-0.6+2.5
+3.6+0.5-4.4
-1.0-0.2+1.2
Team Q vs Ilkeston+1.4-0.5-1.3
+2.3-0.8-2.1
-4.1+0.9+4.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
Witton Albion vs Curzon Ashton-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Buxton vs Stamford-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team T vs Curzon Ashton-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Trafford vs Grantham Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team R vs Witton Albion-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team U vs Rushall Olympic-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Trafford-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Kings Lynn Town vs Nantwich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team V vs Team W-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nantwich Town vs Whitby Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Grantham Town vs Buxton-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Skelmersdale vs Team V-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barwell vs Kings Lynn Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Rushall Olympic-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Matlock Town vs Team S-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Marine vs Barwell-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stamford vs Matlock Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team W vs Marine-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Team Q vs Team T+1.4-0.5-1.3
+2.3-0.8-2.1
-4.1+0.9+4.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
Grantham Town vs Nantwich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Team S vs Ilkeston-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Team X-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Blyth Spartans vs Buxton-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Team Q finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
107-138YesYes100No162,952*
10633-7-699.9%99.9%1000No1,550*
10533-6-7YesYes100No2,508*
10433-5-8100.0100.01000No4,274*
10332-7-7100.0100.01000No6,998*
10232-6-8100.0100.01000No11,463*
10131-8-7100.0100.01000No17,814*
10031-7-899.9100.01000No28,496*
9931-6-999.999.91000No43,783*
9830-8-899.999.91000No66,868*
9730-7-999.899.81000No100,942*
9630-6-1099.699.71000No150,395*
9529-8-999.599.6991No219,860*
9429-7-1099.299.49910No315,981*
9328-9-998.899.19910No452,669*
9228-8-1098.398.79820No637,309*
9128-7-1197.598.19820No887,158*
9027-9-1096.497.396400No1,217,508*
8927-8-1194.896.195500No1,650,676*
8827-7-1292.794.593700No2,210,469*
8726-9-1189.992.4901000No2,922,605*
8626-8-1286.389.78613100No3,822,126*
8526-7-1381.586.181171000No4,924,197*
8425-9-1275.681.776222000No6,284,392*
8325-8-1368.576.469274000No7,911,872*
8224-10-1260.270.2603361000No9,852,248*
8124-9-1351.063.35138101000No12,115,990*
8024-8-1441.255.941411530000No14,720,764*
7923-10-1331.448.531422151000No17,685,437*
7823-9-1422.241.6224027920000No21,006,006*
7723-8-1514.435.6143532154100000No24,624,603*
7622-10-148.330.88273421820000No28,558,019*
7522-9-154.226.9418312714410000No32,731,567*
7422-8-161.823.52112530219200000No37,069,455*
7321-10-150.619.81517282716610000No41,490,157*
7221-9-160.215.2029212823124100000No45,913,931*
7121-8-170.010.00141223272093100000No50,223,895*
7020-10-160.05.300151524261882000000No54,269,627*
6920-9-170.02.1000271625251672000000No58,002,448*
6819-11-160.00.60000271725241562000000No61,235,110*
6719-10-17No0.10000281725241562000000No63,936,956*
6619-9-18No0.000000281725241562000000No65,934,304*
6518-11-17No0.0000002817252415620000000.0%67,222,906*
6418-10-18No0.000000271625241672000000.067,725,494*
6318-9-19No0.000000271624251672000000.067,437,294*
6217-11-18NoNo000000271624251772000000.066,364,641*
6117-10-19NoNo00000027162425177200000.064,497,271*
6017-9-20NoNo0000027162525177200000.361,973,175*
5916-11-19NoNo000002717252516610001.758,811,763*
5816-10-20NoNo00000281826251451006.355,164,468*
5716-9-21NoNo00001392027231241016.351,101,559*
5615-11-20NoNo0000141223282192032.346,737,519*
5515-10-21NoNo000015152728175151.342,243,814*
5415-9-22NoNo000002820302611269.137,708,621*
5314-11-21NoNo00001413273219482.733,239,120*
5214-10-22NoNo000017213428991.428,930,121*
5114-9-23NoNo0000031431361596.224,854,295*
5013-11-22NoNo00001826412498.521,084,336*
4913-10-23NoNo0001419423499.417,650,024*
4813-9-24NoNo000213404499.814,578,855*
4712-11-23NoNo00019365499.911,886,809*
4612-10-24NoNo000053163100.09,561,701*
4512-9-25NoNo00032572100.07,583,224*
4411-11-24NoNo0022079100.05,931,972*
4311-10-25NoNo0011584100.04,574,279*
4211-9-26NoNo0001189100.03,479,864*
4110-11-25NoNo000892100.02,606,933*
4010-10-26NoNo00694Yes1,926,323*
3910-9-27NoNo00496Yes1,400,144*
389-11-26NoNo0397Yes1,005,800*
379-10-27NoNo0298Yes706,364*
369-9-28NoNo0199Yes489,113*
358-11-27NoNo0199Yes334,264*
348-10-28NoNo0100Yes225,897*
338-9-29NoNo0100Yes147,580*
327-11-28NoNo0100Yes96,118*
317-10-29NoNo0100Yes61,462*
307-9-30NoNo0100Yes38,224*
296-11-29NoNo0100Yes23,577*
286-10-30NoNo0100Yes14,030*
276-9-31NoNo0100Yes8,317*
0-26NoNo100Yes171,843*
Total:4.2%8.3%44444444444444444444444416.7%1,553,024,496

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship