How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 +2.8
+3.7
-1.6
+0.9
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.2
-0.2
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.2
+0.2
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.2
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.2
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Boston United vs Tamworth-3.1-1.2+3.1
-4.0-1.5+4.0
+1.2+0.2-1.1
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.2-0.2
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-3.1-0.8+3.9
-3.9-1.0+4.8
+1.0+0.1-1.1
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.2-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tamworth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
102-124YesYes100No207,859*
10130-4-5100.0%100.0%1000No4,527*
10029-6-4100.0100.01000No7,735*
9929-5-5100.0100.01000No13,551*
9829-4-6100.0100.01000No22,433*
9728-6-5100.0100.01000No37,391*
9628-5-6100.0100.01000No60,954*
9527-7-599.999.91000No96,691*
9427-6-699.999.91000No152,718*
9327-5-799.999.91000No235,563*
9226-7-699.999.91000No354,939*
9126-6-799.899.81000No527,877*
9026-5-899.799.81000No772,691*
8925-7-799.599.710000No1,111,095*
8825-6-899.399.59910No1,576,666*
8725-5-999.099.29910No2,200,090*
8624-7-898.598.99820No3,026,740*
8524-6-997.798.39820No4,095,189*
8423-8-896.797.597300No5,453,945*
8323-7-995.296.495500No7,162,206*
8223-6-1093.194.893700No9,263,537*
8122-8-990.492.8909000No11,806,674*
8022-7-1086.790.08713100No14,836,508*
7922-6-1182.086.58217100No18,381,140*
7821-8-1076.182.176222000No22,437,341*
7721-7-1169.076.7692740000No26,999,264*
7621-6-1260.670.561336100No32,044,404*
7520-8-1151.363.55138101000No37,492,820*
7420-7-1241.456.141411520000No43,272,273*
7319-9-1131.548.632422151000No49,227,501*
7219-8-1222.341.7224027910000No55,245,792*
7119-7-1314.435.71435321430000No61,150,539*
7018-9-128.430.98283421710000No66,761,205*
6918-8-134.227.2419322713310000No71,873,909*
6818-7-141.824.0211263120820000No76,310,120*
6717-9-130.620.51618292714510000No79,936,510*
6617-8-140.216.2021023292210300000No82,564,543*
6517-7-150.011.1014142628187200000No84,124,476*
6416-9-140.06.20016172726156100000No84,543,473*
6316-8-150.02.700028192724134100000No83,779,854*
6216-7-160.00.8000031021272211410000No81,905,652*
6115-9-15No0.2000131122272110310000No78,926,082*
6015-8-16No0.000001412232720930000No75,014,355*
5914-10-15No0.0000014132427199200000No70,299,686*
5814-9-16No0.00000151424271982000000.0%64,949,516*
5714-8-17No0.0000015142527187200000.059,174,743*
5613-10-16NoNo0000016152626177200000.053,135,083*
5513-9-17NoNo000002717262616610000.047,039,327*
5413-8-18NoNo00002818272514510000.141,022,091*
5312-10-17NoNo00000392028241231000.535,258,615*
5212-9-18NoNo0000131123292192002.329,861,585*
5112-8-19NoNo000015152628186107.024,925,418*
5011-10-18NoNo000027192926133016.120,480,901*
4911-9-19NoNo00003112531217129.716,570,586*
4811-8-20NoNo0001517312914245.813,208,250*
4710-10-19NoNo0000210253422561.910,362,331*
4610-9-20NoNo000151834311075.58,001,320*
4510-8-21NoNo000021231381785.56,071,922*
449-10-20NoNo0001725422592.14,538,862*
439-9-21NoNo000418433596.03,331,603*
429-8-22NoNo000213404598.12,410,038*
418-10-21NoNo00018365599.21,707,999*
408-9-22NoNo005316499.71,189,829*
398-8-23NoNo003257299.9813,617*
387-10-22NoNo0022079100.0547,996*
377-9-23NoNo0011584100.0360,613*
367-8-24NoNo001189100.0233,980*
356-10-23NoNo00892100.0148,353*
346-9-24NoNo0694Yes91,824*
336-8-25NoNo0496Yes56,038*
326-7-26NoNo0397Yes32,754*
315-9-25NoNo0298Yes19,334*
305-8-26NoNo0199Yes11,149*
295-7-27NoNo199Yes6,045*
284-9-26NoNo0100Yes3,244*
274-8-27NoNo0100Yes1,778*
264-7-28NoNo0100Yes885*
253-9-27NoNo0100Yes438*
7-24NoNo100Yes202,887*
Total:11.9%20.1%1210887665554433332221112.8%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship