Swindon Town Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Lost to Crawley Town 0-3, title odds down 1.9 to 5.2% 7 points 2-1-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | -1.9 | | -4.1 | | +1.5 | | -1.0 | | Mansfield Town 2 Luton Town 2 | +0.2 | | | | | | | | Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0 | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Swindon Town vs Barnet | +1.9-0.5-1.6 | | +4.4-1.1-3.6 | | -2.0+0.2+1.9 | | +1.2-0.2-1.1 | | Exeter City vs Newport County | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Swindon Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | -133 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,851 | * | 101 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 537 | * | 100 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 878 | * | 99 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,333 | * | 98 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,174 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,561 | * | 96 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,544 | * | 95 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,492 | * | 94 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,510 | * | 93 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,639 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,972 | * | 91 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,658 | * | 90 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 97.9 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,475 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 97.0 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,882 | * | 88 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 95.5 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,524 | * | 87 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 93.7 | | 100.0 | % | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145,021 | * | 86 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 91.4 | | 100.0 | | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 192,813 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 87.9 | | 100.0 | | 88 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255,536 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 83.5 | | 100.0 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 333,195 | * | 83 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 77.9 | | 99.9 | | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 427,714 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 71.0 | | 99.8 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 543,446 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 62.8 | | 99.5 | | 63 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 678,338 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 53.6 | | 98.9 | | 54 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 839,331 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 43.5 | | 97.5 | | 44 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,021,878 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 33.3 | | 94.8 | | 33 | 42 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,228,778 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 23.7 | | 90.1 | | 24 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,459,600 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 15.4 | | 82.1 | | 15 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,707,804 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 8.9 | | 70.3 | | 9 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,974,400 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 4.4 | | 55.2 | | 4 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,250,987 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 1.9 | | 38.2 | | 2 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,535,023 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 22.6 | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,814,288 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.2 | | 10.8 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,086,889 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 4.0 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,338,809 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 1.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,566,721 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,757,825 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,907,171 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 4,008,766 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,060,785 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,055,114 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,998,765 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 3,891,286 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 3,725,746 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 3,530,443 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,291,469 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,028,145 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 2,749,923 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | | 2,457,038 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4.5 | | 2,168,258 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 10.9 | | 1,887,398 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 21.1 | | 1,614,490 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 34.5 | | 1,362,646 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 49.4 | | 1,132,858 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 63.4 | | 929,380 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 33 | 75.2 | | 748,387 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 44 | 84.3 | | 594,296 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 90.6 | | 463,740 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 94.6 | | 356,588 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 97.0 | | 270,420 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 98.5 | | 200,982 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 99.2 | | 146,356 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 99.6 | | 105,588 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.8 | | 73,775 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 51,193 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 34,892 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 23,267 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 15,314 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 9,896 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 6,086 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,812 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,267 | * | 7 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 11,962 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.2 | % | 15.3 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5.8 | % | 90,490,048 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |