"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Swindon Town Title Chances
Beat Northampton Town 2-1, title odds unchanged at 0%
31 points 9-4-18
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 2/27 | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Swindon Town 2 Northampton Town 1 | -10.3 | +0.6 | ||
| Bristol Rovers 2 Shrewsbury Town 1 | +1.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Peterborough Un 2 Wigan Athletic 1 | -0.8 | +0.0 | ||
| AFC Wimbledon 0 Hull City 3 | -0.8 | +0.0 | ||
| Rochdale 0 Burton Albion 2 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Sunderland vs Swindon Town | +4.7-0.9-9.6 | -0.3+0.0+0.7 | ||
| Hull City vs Rochdale | -1.0+0.1+2.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic | +2.0-0.1-1.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle | +1.6-0.1-0.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Shrewsbury Town vs AFC Wimbledon | -0.8-0.0+1.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers | +0.3-0.4-0.0 | |||
| Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 3/6 | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Accrington Stan vs Swindon Town | +4.9-0.7-9.4 | -0.4+0.0+0.7 | ||
| Swindon Town vs Oxford United | -9.0-0.2+5.6 | +0.7-0.0-0.4 | ||
| Northampton Town vs Portsmouth | +1.8*-0.0-0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Sunderland vs Rochdale | -1.0+0.1+2.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rochdale vs Shrewsbury Town | +2.0-0.2-1.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Plymouth Argyle vs Wigan Athletic | -1.0-0.0+2.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes D | +1.9-0.2-1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Charlton Athletic vs Northampton Town | -0.8-0.1+1.7 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Burton Albion vs Peterborough Un | +1.6+0.2-0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stan | +1.3+0.0-0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Hull City vs Bristol Rovers | -0.6+0.1+1.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon | -0.7+0.1+1.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion | -0.0-0.4+0.3 | |||
| Fleetwood Town vs Gillingham | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Shrewsbury Town vs Fleetwood Town | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Swindon Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 76 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 20.3 | % | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 70,359 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 10.0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 6 | No | 150 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 5.7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 31 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0 | No | 300 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 2.4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | No | 806 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 0.6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,167 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | No | 5,827 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 15,806 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 37,902 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 69,303 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 155,487 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | No | 296,778 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 516,958 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 971,489 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,603,362 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,566,089 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,161,014 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,149,449 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,908,029 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 42 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,764,441 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 16,982,682 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 22,245,514 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 28,415,161 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 34,133,662 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 40,302,084 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 25,342,327 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 20,746,269 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 32,818,576 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 17,062,420 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 52,844,656 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 | 28,122,134 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | 25,911,549 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9.7 | 34,641,837 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 10.3 | 17,677,468 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 19.7 | 49,404,225 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 35.2 | 22,965,051 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 32.1 | 21,851,652 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 50.3 | 38,403,231 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 66.8 | 31,876,782 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 80.6 | 25,307,242 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 90.2 | 18,781,918 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 30 | 95.7 | 13,395,847 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 98.4 | 9,056,610 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 56 | 99.5 | 5,616,367 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 68 | 99.9 | 3,278,656 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | 1,793,282 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | 854,752 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 362,616 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 140,354 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 39,403 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 75,421 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 21.4 | % | 678,746,464 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2021-2-28 12:02 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
