How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Swansea City 0 Manchester United 4 -1.8
-5.2
+3.3
-0.9
Southampton 0 Swansea City 0 -0.5
-1.3
+0.6
-0.2
Southampton 3 West Ham United 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Burnley 0 West Brom 1 -0.1
-0.1
Watford 3 Liverpool 3 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Stoke City 1 Arsenal 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Bournemouth 0 Watford 2 -0.1
-0.1
Liverpool 1 Crystal Palace 0 -0.1
-0.1
Huddersfield Town 1 Newcastle United 0 -0.2
-0.2
Arsenal 4 Leicester City 3 -0.1
West Brom 1 Bournemouth 0 -0.1
Leicester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.1
Manchester United 4 West Ham United 0 -0.1
Brighton & Hove 0 Manchester City 2 -0.1
Crystal Palace 0 Huddersfield Town 3 -0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Chelsea 2 +0.1
+0.2
Everton 1 Stoke City 0 -0.1
Manchester City 1 Everton 1 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace vs Swansea City-0.8-0.3+0.9
-3.4-1.2+3.8
+5.2+0.9-5.2
-1.0-0.3+1.0
Manchester United vs Leicester City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
West Brom vs Stoke City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Huddersfield Town vs Southampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bournemouth vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Watford vs Brighton & Hove-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Chelsea vs Everton*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Liverpool vs Arsenal-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Newcastle United vs West Ham United+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Swansea City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
83-109YesYes100No1,918*
8225-6-599.2%Yes991No124*
8124-8-4YesYes100No206*
8024-7-599.7Yes1000No368*
7924-6-699.0Yes991No607*
7823-8-599.1Yes991No994*
7723-7-698.3Yes982No1,600*
7622-9-597.4Yes9730No2,558*
7522-8-696.2Yes9640No3,781*
7422-7-793.7Yes9460No5,707*
7321-9-690.6Yes9190No8,414*
7221-8-787.6Yes881200No12,255*
7121-7-882.9Yes831610No17,419*
7020-9-776.8Yes772120No24,624*
6920-8-869.6Yes702730No34,009*
6819-10-760.6100.0%6133600No46,154*
6719-9-851.5100.051381010No61,564*
6619-8-940.599.8414215200No81,416*
6518-10-830.399.4304321510No105,457*
6418-9-920.698.32140289200No134,051*
6318-8-1012.995.8133433154000No167,603*
6217-10-97.090.6726352381000No206,532*
6117-9-103.381.031732291441000No251,529*
6016-11-91.266.41924322292000No299,342*
5916-10-100.447.704152829176100No351,573*
5816-9-110.128.7017203025124100No405,663*
5715-11-100.013.60031123292193000No463,113*
5615-10-110.04.8001413252819720000No517,722*
5515-9-12No1.1001516272717610000No569,087*
5414-11-11No0.200171727261551000No616,970*
5314-10-12No0.0000281928251341000No660,406*
5214-9-13No0.0000282028241241000No689,648*
5113-11-12NoNo0002921282311310000.0%715,007*
5013-10-13NoNo00003102229221030000.0724,664*
4913-9-14NoNo0001312242921920000.0725,835*
4812-11-13NoNo00141325291972000.2714,169*
4712-10-14NoNo000151527281751001.0689,687*
4611-12-13NoNo00017192926134004.0654,665*
4511-11-14NoNo00021023312392011.1612,835*
4411-10-15NoNo0014142831185123.5564,092*
4310-12-14NoNo0001720322811240.3508,435*
4210-11-15NoNo000312283420457.9450,067*
4110-10-16NoNo0016203529973.3392,897*
409-12-15NoNo0021332371584.7336,809*
399-11-16NoNo0001725422491.9283,037*
389-10-17NoNo000318433596.2233,892*
378-12-16NoNo00212414598.4189,791*
368-11-17NoNo0017365699.3150,291*
358-10-18NoNo004306699.8116,960*
347-12-17NoNo002237499.989,464*
337-11-18NoNo011881100.066,676*
327-10-19NoNo011386100.049,385*
316-12-18NoNo00990100.035,147*
306-11-19NoNo0694Yes24,851*
296-10-20NoNo0496Yes16,825*
285-12-19NoNo00397100.011,482*
275-11-20NoNo298Yes7,437*
265-10-21NoNo199Yes4,619*
255-9-22NoNo199Yes2,897*
244-11-21NoNo0100Yes1,807*
234-10-22NoNo100Yes1,049*
224-9-23NoNo0100Yes551*
1-21NoNo100Yes2,423*
Total:2.1%11.8%2334445555666666666617.9%14,120,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship