How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sunderland vs Derby County+2.2-1.4-2.9
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
QPR vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Wolverhampton vs Middlesbrough-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Fulham vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wedne-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Aston Villa vs Hull City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bristol City vs Barnsley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Burton Albion vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sheffield United vs Brentford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ipswich Town vs Birmingham City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Millwall-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wedne vs Sunderland-1.8-0.1+3.9
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Norwich City vs Sunderland-1.8-0.1+3.9
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brentford vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leeds United vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Barnsley vs Ipswich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Norwich City vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Millwall vs Ipswich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Reading vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Sheffield Wedne vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Middlesbrough vs Burton Albion-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Reading vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Hull City vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Hull City vs Burton Albion-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leeds United vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cardiff City vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Cardiff City vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sunderland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPremierChance will finish regular season at seedFootball
TPW-D-LplayoffsLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
105-138InYes100No396,562*
10432-8-6InYes1000No779*
102-103InYes100No3,910*
10131-8-7InYes1000No4,485*
10030-10-6InYes1000No7,751*
9930-9-7InYes1000No13,279*
9830-8-8InYes1000No22,163*
9729-10-7InYes1000No36,993*
9629-9-8InYes1000No60,064*
9528-11-7InYes1000No95,848*
9428-10-8InYes1000No151,803*
9328-9-9InYes1000No236,564*
9227-11-8100.0%100.0%10000No360,965*
9127-10-9100.0100.09910No547,172*
9027-9-10100.0100.09910No813,200*
8926-11-9100.0100.09910No1,192,954*
8826-10-10100.0100.09820No1,724,939*
8725-12-9100.0100.097300No2,454,460*
8625-11-10100.0100.096400No3,449,121*
8525-10-1199.999.994600No4,774,553*
8424-12-1099.899.8928000No6,523,755*
8324-11-1199.599.58811000No8,780,839*
8224-10-1299.099.084151000No11,645,838*
8123-12-1198.198.1782020000No15,245,906*
8023-11-1296.496.471263000No19,689,248*
7922-13-1193.693.6623261000No25,066,740*
7822-12-1289.089.05237101000No31,471,900*
7722-11-1382.182.1424115300000No38,967,187*
7621-13-1272.572.5314221510000No47,579,071*
7521-12-1360.260.221392810200000No57,316,546*
7421-11-1445.945.913333216510000No68,091,291*
7320-13-1331.331.372433239200000No79,794,840*
7220-12-1418.518.53152929166100000No92,217,224*
7119-14-139.19.118212924124100000No105,118,447*
7019-13-143.53.5031224282093100000No118,185,207*
6919-12-151.01.00151525261772000000No131,013,803*
6818-14-140.20.2002717252516720000000No143,269,963*
6718-13-150.00.0000281725241562000000No154,452,219*
6618-12-160.00.00000281725241562000000No164,264,577*
6517-14-150.00.00000281725241572000000No172,232,553*
6417-13-160.00.000000271624241672000000No178,076,130*
6317-12-17OutNo00000261523251883100000No181,531,836*
6216-14-16OutNo0000015132225191031000000.0%182,459,282*
6116-13-17OutNo0000014122125201141000000.0180,783,623*
6016-12-18OutNo000001411202521124100000.0176,557,339*
5915-14-17OutNo000001310192622135100000.0169,976,157*
5815-13-18OutNo00000013919262313510000.1161,317,184*
5714-15-17OutNo0000013102026231341000.9150,834,151*
5614-14-18OutNo000001310212722113103.9138,968,470*
5514-13-19OutNo00000141223282192011.4126,182,471*
5413-15-18OutNo0000015142628186124.7112,824,643*
5313-14-19OutNo000002719302713242.299,389,456*
5213-13-20OutNo00000311253322660.386,228,283*
5112-15-19OutNo00000151833311175.673,664,623*
5012-14-20OutNo000021129381986.661,957,828*
4912-13-21OutNo0001622423093.351,309,227*
4811-15-20OutNo0000315414197.041,800,775*
4711-14-21OutNo0000110375298.733,518,974*
4611-13-22OutNo0006316299.526,437,446*
4510-15-21OutNo0003257299.820,514,809*
4410-14-22OutNo0002197999.915,644,204*
4310-13-23OutNo0011485100.011,728,190*
429-15-22OutNo0001090100.08,641,526*
419-14-23OutNo000793100.06,264,881*
409-13-24OutNo00595100.04,449,951*
398-15-23OutNo00397100.03,109,080*
388-14-24OutNo0298Yes2,131,363*
378-13-25OutNo0199Yes1,432,592*
367-15-24OutNo0199Yes944,389*
357-14-25OutNo00100Yes610,342*
347-13-26OutNo00100Yes386,980*
336-15-25OutNo00100Yes239,934*
326-14-26OutNo0100Yes144,929*
316-13-27OutNo0100Yes86,436*
306-12-28OutNo0100Yes50,432*
295-14-27OutNo0100Yes28,550*
285-13-28OutNo0100Yes15,766*
275-12-29OutNo0100Yes8,634*
264-14-28OutNo0100Yes4,462*
24-25OutNo100Yes3,441*
233-14-29OutNo0100Yes532*
0-22OutNo100Yes396,104*
Total:8.3%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%3,817,930,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs