Stourbridge Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Beat Bideford 3-1, title odds up 2.8 to 5.2% 55 points 16-7-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | +1.7 | | +4.1 | | *No | | +0.8 | | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | +0.9 | | +0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Chippenham Town 1 Barwell 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | -2.5-1.1+3.2 | | -4.2-1.2+4.9 | | | | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | | Leamington vs Bashley | -2.0+0.4+1.7 | | -1.5+0.3+1.3 | | | | | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | +0.6+0.2-0.7 | | +0.6+0.2-0.7 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Barwell vs St Albans City | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Bedford Town vs Chesham United | | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Stourbridge finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.9 | % | 97.7 | % | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,436 | | 86 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 93.0 | | 94.7 | | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,999 | | 85 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 89.2 | | 91.9 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,966 | | 84 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 85.3 | | 89.0 | | 85 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,298 | | 83 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 79.6 | | 84.7 | | 80 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,667 | | 82 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 72.4 | | 79.3 | | 72 | 27 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,995 | * | 81 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 64.2 | | 73.2 | | 64 | 35 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 83,775 | | 80 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 55.3 | | 66.5 | | 55 | 43 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 158,210 | * | 79 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 45.5 | | 59.1 | | 46 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,307 | * | 78 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 35.8 | | 51.8 | | 36 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 354,029 | * | 77 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 26.1 | | 44.6 | | 26 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 366,998 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 26.7 | | 45.0 | | 27 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145,806 | | 76 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 18.1 | | 38.6 | | 18 | 63 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 477,172 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 17.8 | | 38.3 | | 18 | 62 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 161,728 | * | 75 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 11.2 | | 33.4 | | 11 | 59 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 891,563 | * | 74 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 6.1 | | 29.5 | | 6 | 50 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 643,900 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 6.5 | | 29.8 | | 6 | 52 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 442,974 | * | 73 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.1 | | 27.3 | | 3 | 40 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 956,614 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 2.9 | | 27.2 | | 3 | 38 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 265,405 | * | 72 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.2 | | 25.8 | | 1 | 26 | 47 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,178,687 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1.3 | | 25.9 | | 1 | 29 | 48 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 268,207 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 15 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 772,625 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 17 | 44 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 749,867 | * | 70 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 24.1 | | 0 | 8 | 34 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,197,400 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 23.8 | | 0 | 7 | 30 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 210,639 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 24.4 | | 0 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,079 | * | 69 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 22.1 | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,176,568 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 22.9 | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 360,640 | * | 68 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 19.4 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 729,523 | * | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 18.2 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 672,423 | * | 67 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 13.9 | | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 957,833 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 12.2 | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,706 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 15.5 | | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 108,871 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 7.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 785,640 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 9.2 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 271,566 | * | 65 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 4.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 438,640 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 3.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 387,331 | * | 64 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 1.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 479,744 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 1.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 129,914 | * | 63 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 336,816 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 108,771 | * | 62 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 145,926 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 142,996 | * | 61 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 172,904 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 102,250 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 51,604 | * | 58 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 22,196 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,371 | | 56 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | No | 2,982 | | 55 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | | | | | No | 2,427 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.2 | % | 22.9 | % | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 17,486,988 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |