Stoke Title ChancesDid not play, title odds up 0.002 to 3% 6 points 2-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | -1.4 | | -2.4 | | +1.2 | | -0.8 | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Hull 1 Bristol City 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Stoke vs Preston | +1.1-0.6-1.3 | | +2.1-1.2-2.6 | | -1.8+0.8+2.5 | | +1.0-0.5-1.3 | | Rotherham vs Norwich | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2+0.0-0.3 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Birmingham vs Millwall | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Leicester vs Hull | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | | | Coventry vs Watford | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Middlesbrough vs QPR | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Stoke finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | -132 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,862 | * | 106 | | 32 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 83.3 | % | Yes | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | 99 | -105 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,431 | * | 98 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,038 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,926 | * | 96 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,093 | * | 95 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,183 | * | 94 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,244 | * | 93 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.0 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,127 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,393 | * | 91 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 98.1 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,758 | * | 90 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 97.1 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 47,395 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 95.8 | | 99.9 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,565 | * | 88 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 93.9 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,901 | * | 87 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 91.6 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 147,307 | * | 86 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 88.5 | | 99.6 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,687 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 84.2 | | 99.1 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 290,776 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 78.9 | | 98.4 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 400,722 | * | 83 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 72.5 | | 97.0 | | 73 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 540,822 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 65.0 | | 94.9 | | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 717,782 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 56.3 | | 91.4 | | 56 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 938,959 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 46.9 | | 86.3 | | 47 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,213,087 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 37.2 | | 79.1 | | 37 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,541,815 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 27.8 | | 69.5 | | 28 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,927,502 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 19.2 | | 58.0 | | 19 | 39 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,378,141 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 12.2 | | 44.8 | | 12 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,884,096 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 6.9 | | 31.8 | | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,446,666 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 3.4 | | 20.1 | | 3 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,063,347 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 1.4 | | 11.0 | | 1 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,711,162 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 0.5 | | 5.1 | | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,386,024 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 1.9 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,062,525 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 13 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.5 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,716,042 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,337,946 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,890,729 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 8,367,558 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 8,722,755 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 8,962,563 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,073,060 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,036,157 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,867,303 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,558,096 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 8,135,022 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 7,620,720 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 7,017,325 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 6,352,376 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 14 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 5,670,953 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | | 4,967,934 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9.1 | | 4,287,234 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 19.1 | | 3,635,370 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 33.3 | | 3,030,869 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 49.5 | | 2,485,713 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 64.9 | | 2,001,799 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 77.7 | | 1,587,123 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 87.0 | | 1,233,990 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 42 | 28 | 93.0 | | 940,991 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 37 | 96.3 | | 705,188 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 98.2 | | 518,774 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 56 | 99.2 | | 375,422 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 99.7 | | 265,482 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 99.9 | | 184,634 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 100.0 | | 125,298 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 82,997 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 54,309 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 14 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 34,871 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 21,703 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 13,235 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 7,982 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 4,600 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,608 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,453 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 796 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 419 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 224 | * | 6 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 19,027 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.0 | % | 6.9 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | % | 182,104,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |