How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+2.2-0.7-1.9
+3.2-0.9-2.9
-2.1+0.3+2.0
+1.0-0.2-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stockport County vs Brackley Town+2.1-0.7-1.9
+3.1-1.0-2.9
-2.1+0.4+2.1
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stockport County finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
102-123YesYes100No203,224*
10130-5-499.9%99.9%1000No742*
10030-4-599.999.91000No1,250*
9929-6-4100.0100.01000No2,270*
9829-5-5100.0100.01000No4,119*
9729-4-6100.0100.01000No7,162*
9628-6-599.9100.01000No12,256*
9528-5-6100.0100.01000No20,322*
9428-4-799.999.91000No33,562*
9327-6-699.999.91000No54,445*
9227-5-799.999.91000No86,515*
9126-7-699.899.81000No135,118*
9026-6-799.799.81000No207,907*
8926-5-899.599.61000No314,204*
8825-7-799.399.59910No467,854*
8725-6-898.999.29910No686,342*
8625-5-998.398.89820No987,147*
8524-7-897.698.298200No1,402,793*
8424-6-996.497.396400No1,961,623*
8323-8-894.896.195500No2,704,704*
8223-7-992.794.593700No3,667,517*
8123-6-1089.892.3901000No4,905,462*
8022-8-986.089.58613100No6,466,087*
7922-7-1081.185.88118100No8,396,577*
7822-6-1175.081.375232000No10,753,566*
7721-8-1067.775.868284000No13,568,246*
7621-7-1159.369.5593471000No16,887,504*
7521-6-1249.962.45038101000No20,713,905*
7420-8-1140.055.04042153000No25,058,312*
7320-7-1230.247.730422251000No29,912,961*
7219-9-1121.340.9214028920000No35,187,217*
7119-8-1213.635.11435331541000No40,814,376*
7019-7-137.830.58273422810000No46,735,357*
6918-9-123.926.9418322813410000No52,744,303*
6818-8-131.723.7211263121820000No58,735,059*
6718-7-140.620.215172927155100000No64,490,816*
6617-9-130.215.902922292311310000No69,859,255*
6517-8-140.010.8014132528198200000No74,638,564*
6417-7-150.06.0001617272616610000No78,652,927*
6316-9-140.02.60002819272413510000No81,762,015*
6216-8-150.00.80000310212723124100000No83,804,768*
6116-7-16No0.2000131122272110310000No84,739,360*
6015-9-15No0.0000014122327209300000No84,460,524*
5915-8-16No0.0000014132427199200000No83,044,170*
5815-7-17No0.0000001514242718820000No80,522,489*
5714-9-16No0.00000015152527187200000.0%76,983,028*
5614-8-17NoNo0000016162626176100000.072,551,011*
5513-10-16NoNo00002717272615510000.067,397,484*
5413-9-17NoNo00002819272513410000.161,724,437*
5313-8-18NoNo00003102128231130000.555,717,049*
5212-10-17NoNo0000141224292192002.149,558,824*
5112-9-18NoNo000015152728176106.643,423,160*
5012-8-19NoNo000028203026123015.337,503,727*
4911-10-18NoNo00013122531217128.531,887,284*
4811-9-19NoNo00001618312913244.526,715,917*
4711-8-20NoNo0000211263422560.722,033,746*
4610-10-19NoNo000161935301074.517,886,534*
4510-9-20NoNo00031231371684.814,294,411*
4410-8-21NoNo0001725422591.711,231,805*
439-10-20NoNo000419433495.88,693,093*
429-9-21NoNo000213414498.06,614,437*
419-8-22NoNo0018375499.14,941,267*
408-10-21NoNo0005316399.63,636,444*
398-9-22NoNo0003257299.92,622,619*
388-8-23NoNo002207899.91,858,032*
377-10-22NoNo0011584100.01,295,279*
367-9-23NoNo001188100.0882,586*
357-8-24NoNo00892100.0592,024*
347-7-25NoNo00694100.0388,538*
336-9-24NoNo0496Yes249,990*
326-8-25NoNo0397Yes156,863*
316-7-26NoNo0298Yes96,809*
305-9-25NoNo0199Yes58,340*
295-8-26NoNo0199Yes34,410*
285-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,579*
274-9-26NoNo0100Yes11,038*
264-8-27NoNo0100Yes5,997*
254-7-28NoNo0100Yes3,157*
243-9-27NoNo0100Yes1,651*
6-23NoNo100Yes204,006*
Total:5.9%11.9%66666665555554444333216.2%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship