How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Barnet 0 Stevenage 1 +1.8
+4.1
-2.2
+1.2
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage-1.8-0.6+2.3
-4.0-1.2+4.9
+1.6+0.2-1.7
-1.1-0.2+1.2
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Lincoln City vs Luton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stevenage finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
102-134YesYes100No10,359*
10129-6-799.9%Yes1000No903*
10028-8-6YesYes100No1,447*
9928-7-799.9Yes1000No2,293*
9828-6-899.9Yes1000No3,551*
9727-8-799.9Yes1000No5,596*
9627-7-899.8Yes1000No8,200*
9526-9-799.7Yes1000No12,585*
9426-8-899.7Yes1000No18,713*
9326-7-999.4Yes991No26,896*
9225-9-899.2Yes9910No38,971*
9125-8-998.7Yes9910No55,062*
9025-7-1098.0Yes9820No76,779*
8924-9-997.1Yes9730No106,463*
8824-8-1095.9Yes9640No144,010*
8723-10-993.8100.0%94600No194,004*
8623-9-1091.5100.092800No255,647*
8523-8-1188.1100.0881100No332,893*
8422-10-1083.7100.08415100No428,258*
8322-9-1178.299.97820200No542,718*
8222-8-1271.499.87125300No678,495*
8121-10-1163.399.563315000No838,465*
8021-9-1254.198.9543691000No1,023,372*
7921-8-1343.997.64440142000No1,230,060*
7820-10-1233.895.03442194100No1,458,286*
7720-9-1324.090.224402681000No1,707,329*
7619-11-1215.782.31636311430000No1,974,102*
7519-10-139.170.79283421710000No2,251,971*
7419-9-144.555.651932271341000No2,533,918*
7318-11-131.938.7211263020820000No2,815,765*
7218-10-140.722.91517282715610000No3,086,041*
7118-9-150.211.002921282312410000No3,339,793*
7017-11-140.04.10131223272110310000No3,565,757*
6917-10-150.01.10015142426199310000No3,759,407*
6817-9-160.00.200016152425188200000No3,909,155*
6716-11-15No0.000026152425178200000No4,008,983*
6616-10-16No0.00002615242517820000No4,057,113*
6516-9-17NoNo00026152425188310000No4,057,918*
6415-11-16NoNo000015142325199310000No3,997,492*
6315-10-17NoNo0000151322261910310000No3,888,822*
6214-12-16NoNo000014122226201031000No3,726,444*
6114-11-17NoNo000014112126211141000No3,529,193*
6014-10-18NoNo0000141121262111410000.0%3,293,945*
5913-12-17NoNo0000141121262111410000.03,029,891*
5813-11-18NoNo000014112227211031000.02,749,556*
5713-10-19NoNo0000141323272092000.32,457,461*
5612-12-18NoNo000015152527187101.42,168,948*
5512-11-19NoNo00002718282614404.51,884,940*
5412-10-20NoNo00003102230249110.91,617,818*
5311-12-19NoNo0001414283117421.21,361,553*
5211-11-20NoNo00028223427834.51,132,981*
5111-10-21NoNo00141532351549.3927,214*
5010-12-20NoNo0002926402363.3748,068*
4910-11-21NoNo001420423375.2594,436*
4810-10-22NoNo000213404484.3463,557*
479-12-21NoNo0018365590.6356,447*
469-11-22NoNo0005306494.6269,074*
459-10-23NoNo003247397.0200,952*
448-12-22NoNo01198098.5146,155*
438-11-23NoNo01148699.2105,625*
428-10-24NoNo00109099.674,322*
417-12-23NoNo079399.851,247*
407-11-24NoNo0595100.035,345*
397-10-25NoNo0397100.022,885*
386-12-24NoNo0298100.015,209*
376-11-25NoNo199Yes9,727*
366-10-26NoNo199Yes6,253*
356-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,715*
345-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,232*
335-10-27NoNo0100Yes1,342*
325-9-28NoNo100Yes794*
314-11-27NoNo0100Yes475*
8-30NoNo100Yes9,532*
Total:6.5%18.2%7665555554444444433333224.6%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship