How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.3
-1.0
+1.7
-0.7
Southport 2 Welling United 2 -0.3
-0.6
+0.6
-0.3
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 -0.1
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 +0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.1
+0.1
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.1
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Braintree Town vs Southport-0.2-0.1+0.3
-0.7-0.1+1.2
+2.1-0.1-3.3
-0.7-0.1+1.2
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.9-0.3-0.9
-2.8+0.6+2.8
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.2
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.4
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Woking vs Luton Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.2-0.1-0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.2-0.0+0.3
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.1-0.1-0.1
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
91-124YesYes100No32,627*
8825-0-1262.1%69.0%6238No29
8524-0-1346.760.047458No60
8430-1-6YesYes100No1
8223-0-1424.442.924462271No119
7922-0-155.828.562433241020No242
7621-0-160.922.014183825114No328*
7320-0-17No10.51213272820721No429
7129-1-7YesYes100No2
7019-0-18No1.31415232721721No543
6828-1-8YesYes100No8
6718-0-19NoNo0312223121920No643
6417-0-20NoNo013102128221131No629
6116-0-21NoNo00271927271341No567
5815-0-22NoNo071824271671No475
5514-0-23NoNo01419312713415.0%322
5213-0-24NoNo2524352311134.8187
4912-0-25NoNo262133308171.7120
4611-0-26NoNo20412217Yes46
4310-0-27NoNo774047Yes30
409-0-28NoNo6040Yes5
391-23-13NoNo100Yes1
388-1-28NoNo113266897.168*
378-0-29NoNo336766.73*
360-23-14NoNo100Yes1
357-1-29NoNo1387Yes15
3410-1-26NoNo1623442698.7478*
32-33NoNo100Yes8*
319-1-27NoNo008246799.2237*
29-30NoNo100Yes11*
283-6-28NoNo199Yes118*
271-11-25NoNo389097.540*
2614-1-22NoNo01413242719710045.95,059*
252-6-29NoNo100Yes15*
241-8-28NoNo89291.712*
236-2-29NoNo496Yes50*
225-4-28NoNo0496Yes320*
2012-1-24NoNo02102434227163.01,901
181-12-24NoNo298Yes50
1711-1-25NoNo017233527691.5958
15-16YesYes100No4*
1429-4-470.070.07010101030.010*
130-0-370.00.00100100.032,634*
11-12YesYes100No90*
104-5-2830.930.9310066269.1401*
98-2-2725.125.12502165674.7869*
826-7-469.169.3691191929.7573*
726-6-593.293.6932055.0782*
626-5-674.875.3752042023.31,887*
56-4-2759.059.7593043438.23,670*
425-6-686.888.287500177.64,138*
324-8-592.193.9927010.96,527*
224-7-688.991.589100010.610,840*
124-6-783.086.2831200044.317,935*
023-8-679.383.5791610044.028,669*
-123-7-776.882.3772010011.543,637*
-223-6-872.279.172252000.265,443*
-322-8-765.674.2663040000.199,740*
-422-7-858.068.55835600No146,668*
-521-9-750.262.65040910No213,526*
-621-8-841.756.34243142000No306,620*
-721-7-933.450.0334419300No432,164*
-820-9-825.444.02544256100No600,145*
-920-8-918.238.61841309100No821,682*
-1020-7-1012.234.1123635143000No1,105,276*
-1119-9-97.630.5829372061000No1,461,241*
-1219-8-104.327.64213627102000No1,901,274*
-1319-7-112.125.321431311641000No2,440,687*
-1418-9-101.023.11825332392000No3,078,551*
-1518-8-110.420.3041730281541000No3,832,309*
-1617-10-100.116.8021024312292000No4,691,533*
-1717-9-110.012.70151728271551000No5,651,010*
-1817-8-120.08.500292229231131000No6,708,798*
-1916-10-110.04.8001414262818720000No7,839,647*
-2016-9-120.02.30002719282514510000No9,028,226*
-2116-8-13No0.90003112228221031000No10,237,188*
-2215-10-12No0.30001514252718820000No11,426,617*
-2315-9-13No0.10002717262515610000No12,550,910*
-2415-8-14No0.00000292027231241000No13,583,072*
-2514-10-13No0.000014112327211030000No14,462,998*
-2614-9-14No0.00001514252718820000No15,181,536*
-2714-8-15No0.00000271726261661000No15,670,311*
-2813-10-14NoNo000029202824134100000.015,919,081*
-2913-9-15NoNo0000131122282110300000.015,922,113*
-3012-11-14NoNo00015142528187200000.015,677,609*
-3112-10-15NoNo00002717272615510000.015,176,530*
-3212-9-16NoNo00002921292311300000.014,463,626*
-3311-11-15NoNo0001413252920820000.213,554,385*
-3411-10-16NoNo0001617282715510000.912,494,605*
-3511-9-17NoNo0000292230231130002.911,327,940*
-3610-11-16NoNo000141426291861007.510,099,317*
-3710-10-17NoNo0000271930261230015.78,844,799*
-3810-9-18NoNo000031226312071027.87,613,178*
-399-11-17NoNo00016193127133042.86,443,122*
-409-10-18NoNo00003122732206158.35,347,892*
-419-9-19NoNo0001620332711172.24,363,659*
-428-11-18NoNo000313303317383.23,493,226*
-438-10-19NoNo00018243625690.72,737,340*
-448-9-20NoNo00041836321095.32,109,575*
-457-11-19NoNo00021232391597.81,595,994*
-467-10-20NoNo001727432299.11,181,320*
-477-9-21NoNo000421453199.6856,988*
-486-11-20NoNo00215443999.9606,450*
-496-10-21NoNo001104049100.0420,352*
-506-9-22NoNo0063657100.0284,893*
-515-11-21NoNo0043066100.0189,207*
-525-10-22NoNo022573Yes122,599*
-535-9-23NoNo012079Yes77,401*
-545-8-24NoNo011584Yes46,834*
-554-10-23NoNo001188Yes27,032*
-564-9-24NoNo0891Yes16,014*
-574-8-25NoNo0694Yes9,262*
-583-10-24NoNo496Yes4,872*
-593-9-25NoNo397Yes1,902*
Total:0.5%2.4%0122344556667777665433218.4%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship