How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley 4 Southport 0 -0.1
-0.3
+3.7
-0.4
Altrincham 1 FC United 2 +0.7
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.3
Ashton United 0 York City 2 +0.3
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1 -0.1
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
Darlington 1 Blyth Spartans 1 -0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Spennymoor Town 0 *-0.1
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
+0.4
-11.1
+1.1
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.5
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.3
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.2
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.2
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.2-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southport finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
10332-0-0100.0%100.0%1000No109,161
8726-2-4YesYes100No1
8625-4-350.050.05050No4*
8525-3-4YesYes100No10*
8424-5-345.050.04555No20*
8324-4-453.861.55446No52*
8224-3-555.762.9564031No97*
8123-5-446.655.347521No208*
8023-4-535.746.3366140No456*
7922-6-428.740.5296380No809*
7822-5-524.537.1246790No1,654*
7722-4-619.232.71965151No3,084*
7621-6-514.728.915651920No5,827*
7521-5-610.525.4106125300No10,387*
7420-7-57.422.875532610No18,602*
7320-6-64.620.5547371010No32,072*
7220-5-72.518.72374216300No54,733*
7119-7-61.417.812842225100No91,037*
7019-6-70.617.2119402910200No148,234*
6919-5-80.316.90123334164100No237,126*
6818-7-70.116.7062535248200No373,378*
6718-6-80.016.6031632301541000No572,467*
6618-5-90.016.301924322292000No862,185*
6517-7-80.015.60041529291651000No1,274,230*
6417-6-90.014.000182130241231000No1,846,002*
6316-8-8No11.400312242920920000No2,624,066*
6216-7-9No7.9001515262717720000No3,654,213*
6116-6-10No4.5000271827251451000No5,001,602*
6015-8-9No1.90000292028231241000No6,718,371*
5915-7-10No0.600013112228221031000No8,845,112*
5815-6-11No0.10001412242820920000No11,424,358*
5714-8-10No0.0000151425271872000No14,478,911*
5614-7-11No0.00000161626271661000No18,004,437*
5514-6-12No0.000002718282614510000.0%21,969,981*
5413-8-11NoNo00002920292412300000.026,299,445*
5313-7-12NoNo0000311232922920000.030,876,297*
5212-9-11NoNo00001414262918610000.135,566,746*
5112-8-12NoNo000161829271440000.540,174,807*
5012-7-13NoNo00002923312492001.844,505,981*
4911-9-12NoNo00014142831185005.248,352,236*
4811-8-13NoNo000017213327102012.051,530,200*
4711-7-14NoNo00003122933184022.653,810,021*
4610-9-13NoNo000162135278136.555,073,825*
4510-8-14NoNo0000313323515251.655,240,676*
4410-7-15NoNo00017263923465.954,286,521*
439-9-14NoNo00004183932877.852,263,131*
429-8-15NoNo00021235391386.649,269,670*
419-7-16NoNo0001729441992.545,447,528*
408-9-15NoNo000422472796.141,045,712*
398-8-16NoNo000216463698.136,255,197*
388-7-17NoNo00111434599.231,319,683*
377-9-16NoNo0007385499.626,443,924*
367-8-17NoNo004336399.921,814,890*
357-7-18NoNo0022770100.017,577,577*
346-9-17NoNo0012277100.013,814,432*
336-8-18NoNo0011783100.010,583,114*
326-7-19NoNo001287100.07,915,171*
315-9-18NoNo00991100.05,762,390*
305-8-19NoNo00694100.04,081,220*
295-7-20NoNo00496100.02,809,722*
284-9-19NoNo0397Yes1,880,187*
274-8-20NoNo0298Yes1,218,862*
264-7-21NoNo0199Yes766,400*
254-6-22NoNo0199Yes466,683*
243-8-21NoNo0100Yes274,250*
233-7-22NoNo0100Yes155,050*
223-6-23NoNo0100Yes84,595*
212-8-22NoNo0100Yes44,075*
202-7-23NoNo0100Yes22,304*
192-6-24NoNo0100Yes10,487*
7-18NoNo100Yes117,188*
Total:0.0%0.2%00000001112233467101215171547.0%965,523,084

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship