How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Chesterfield 0 Burton 2 +0.6
+0.5
Cheltenham 1 Rochdale 2 -0.2
-0.5
Morecambe 1 AFC Wimbledon 1 +0.1
+0.3
Bristol 0 Wycombe 1 -0.1
-0.4
Accrington 0 Oxford Utd 0 +0.1
+0.1
Torquay 0 Mansfield 0 +0.1
+0.1
Scunthorpe 0 Exeter 4 *+0.1
Newport 3 York 0 -0.2
Portsmouth 1 Bury 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Southend vs Dag & Red+1.8-1.2-2.3
+4.9-2.9-6.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.4-1.1
Chesterfield vs York-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.4+0.3+0.6
Rochdale vs Northampton-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.6
Cheltenham vs Morecambe+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.1-0.5
Fleetwood vs Scunthorpe-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.3+0.2
Bury vs Mansfield+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.3+0.1-0.5
Oxford Utd vs Exeter-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Portsmouth vs Wycombe+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Plymouth vs Newport+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.4
Burton vs Torquay-0.2+0.1+0.2
Hartlepool vs AFC Wimbledon+0.1+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Newport vs Southend-1.7-0.3+3.0
-4.7-0.5+7.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.0+1.1
Southend vs Mansfield+2.0-1.1-2.4
+5.5-2.6-6.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Bristol vs Chesterfield+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.5+0.2-0.6
AFC Wimbledon vs Oxford Utd+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.2-0.4
Dag & Red vs Rochdale+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.4
York vs Fleetwood+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.1-0.5
Morecambe vs Accrington-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Exeter vs Burton-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.3
Mansfield vs Plymouth-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.5
Wycombe vs Bury-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
York vs Scunthorpe+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool-0.1+0.1+0.1
Torquay vs Portsmouth+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Southend finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
106-122YesYes100No578,866*
10527-4-3100.0%Yes1000No5,890*
10427-3-499.9Yes1000No11,018*
10326-5-3100.0Yes1000No21,261*
10226-4-499.9Yes1000No38,836*
10125-6-399.9Yes1000No70,451*
10025-5-499.9Yes1000No124,464*
9925-4-599.8Yes1000No212,252*
9824-6-499.7Yes1000No355,642*
9724-5-599.6Yes10000No585,318*
9623-7-499.4Yes9910No940,816*
9523-6-599.0Yes9910No1,480,351*
9423-5-698.5Yes9820No2,279,742*
9322-7-597.7100.0%98200No3,440,732*
9222-6-696.5100.097300No5,093,435*
9122-5-794.9100.095500No7,390,179*
9021-7-692.7100.093700No10,515,498*
8921-6-789.6100.09010000No14,686,500*
8820-8-685.6100.08614100No20,146,307*
8720-7-780.4100.080181000No27,115,504*
8620-6-874.099.974232000No35,821,375*
8519-8-766.499.866294000No46,514,672*
8419-7-857.699.558347100No59,291,419*
8319-6-948.098.848391120000No74,268,729*
8218-8-838.097.438421730000No91,418,082*
8118-7-928.394.828422361000No110,592,093*
8017-9-819.790.52039291020000No131,477,209*
7917-8-912.584.012333316410000No153,654,412*
7817-7-107.275.07253423820000No176,481,978*
7716-9-93.664.0417312914410000No199,277,993*
7616-8-101.652.4210253121920000No221,255,120*
7516-7-110.641.61517292715510000No241,474,205*
7415-9-100.233.0021022292311310000No259,084,566*
7315-8-110.026.6014142628187200000No273,337,856*
7215-7-120.021.3002718272514510000No283,510,992*
7114-9-110.016.100031022282211310000No289,065,565*
7014-8-120.010.800014132427198200000No289,810,067*
6913-10-110.06.000001616262616610000No285,615,604*
6813-9-120.02.7000002819272414510000No276,683,508*
6713-8-13No0.90000131021282211310000No263,501,016*
6612-10-12No0.200001413242820920000No246,556,274*
6512-9-13No0.000001515262717710000No226,766,629*
6412-8-14No0.000002718272614510000No204,944,194*
6311-10-13No0.000000392129231130000No181,957,187*
6211-9-14No0.000001412242920820000No158,708,673*
6111-8-15NoNo00001515272817610000No135,923,794*
6010-10-14NoNo0000281929251341000No114,336,277*
5910-9-15NoNo00003112430219200000.0%94,412,446*
5810-8-16NoNo0001515272817610000.076,524,273*
579-10-15NoNo00002820302512300000.060,874,336*
569-9-16NoNo0000312253020820000.047,498,474*
559-8-17NoNo0000161729281541000.036,349,044*
548-10-16NoNo000021023312392000.227,260,214*
538-9-17NoNo00015162929164100.520,038,962*
528-8-18NoNo000292332249101.514,441,401*
517-10-17NoNo0001415303116403.810,180,732*
507-9-18NoNo000029243424717.87,025,505*
497-8-19NoNo001517323113114.34,746,727*
486-10-18NoNo000210283620323.33,128,982*
476-9-19NoNo0016213828634.32,021,815*
466-8-20NoNo00031536361046.41,274,865*
455-10-19NoNo001931431658.5782,401*
445-9-20NoNo00525472369.6468,588*
435-8-21NoNo00318473278.9273,138*
424-10-20NoNo00113464086.0154,969*
414-9-21NoNo018424991.285,758*
404-8-22NoNo05375894.845,559*
394-7-23NoNo03316697.023,779*
383-9-22NoNo01257498.611,962*
373-8-23NoNo01207999.25,761*
363-7-24NoNo0158599.72,670*
352-9-23NoNo0128899.61,245*
342-8-24NoNo089299.8498*
332-7-25NoNo793Yes210*
321-9-24NoNo398Yes80*
311-8-25NoNo595Yes37*
28-30NoNo100Yes9*
200-0-34NoNo0100Yes573,553
Total:6.3%28.0%6777777776654433211100000.1%5,534,630,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)