How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Southampton 2 QPR 1 +2.4
+4.0
-2.3
+1.2
Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Preston 2 Swansea 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 -0.1
-0.1
Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Hull 1 Bristol City 1 +0.1
+0.1
West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 -0.1
Millwall 1 Stoke 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sunderland vs Southampton-2.3-0.7+2.9
-3.7-1.1+4.6
+1.5+0.2-1.6
-1.0-0.2+1.2
Rotherham vs Norwich+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Leicester vs Hull-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
Birmingham vs Millwall-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Stoke vs Preston+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Ipswich vs Cardiff-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
West Brom vs Huddersfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Plymouth vs Blackburn+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Leeds vs Sheffield W-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Coventry vs Watford-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Swansea vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Middlesbrough vs QPR*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
101-139YesYes100No10,452*
10027-9-799.8%Yes1000No2,586*
9927-8-899.9Yes1000No4,142*
9826-10-799.8Yes1000No6,119*
9726-9-899.7Yes1000No9,174*
9625-11-799.6Yes1000No13,728*
9525-10-899.3Yes991No20,064*
9425-9-999.2Yes991No28,603*
9324-11-899.0100.0%9910No40,593*
9224-10-998.5100.09820No56,669*
9124-9-1097.9100.09820No78,196*
9023-11-996.9100.09730No106,085*
8923-10-1095.499.995500No140,927*
8822-12-993.699.994600No186,062*
8722-11-1090.899.791900No242,105*
8622-10-1187.599.5871200No310,751*
8521-12-1083.299.08316100No393,362*
8421-11-1177.698.17820200No491,950*
8321-10-1270.796.67126300No606,115*
8220-12-1162.794.06331500No736,964*
8120-11-1253.690.0543691000No882,110*
8020-10-1343.884.14440142000No1,044,600*
7919-12-1233.875.834421941000No1,218,168*
7819-11-1324.265.024412681000No1,404,416*
7718-13-1215.952.1163631133000No1,594,479*
7618-12-139.438.3929342071000No1,790,224*
7518-11-144.825.052032261231000No1,982,258*
7417-13-132.114.1212273019720000No2,164,267*
7317-12-140.76.7161829261451000No2,331,072*
7217-11-150.22.5021022292211310000No2,474,060*
7116-13-140.00.701413252719820000No2,594,108*
7016-12-150.00.2002717262515610000No2,684,170*
6916-11-160.00.00002819262414510000No2,739,729*
6815-13-15No0.00003920262313510000No2,757,533*
6715-12-16No0.0000131020262213510000No2,733,680*
6614-14-15NoNo000131020262313510000No2,677,221*
6514-13-16NoNo00013919262313510000No2,581,188*
6414-12-17NoNo00003919262314510000No2,455,941*
6313-14-16NoNo0000281826241461000No2,303,124*
6213-13-17NoNo000028172524156200000.0%2,129,077*
6113-12-18NoNo00002717252516620000.01,942,989*
6012-14-17NoNo00002717252516610000.01,744,163*
5912-13-18NoNo00002717262515610000.21,543,142*
5812-12-19NoNo0000281827241451001.01,346,181*
5711-14-18NoNo000139202823123103.91,157,844*
5611-13-19NoNo000141223292192011.1976,150*
5511-12-20NoNo00015152729175123.4814,750*
5410-14-19NoNo0002820302612239.7666,767*
5310-13-20NoNo0001312273220557.1538,295*
5210-12-21NoNo0016203429972.5427,375*
519-14-20NoNo00031331371684.0332,749*
509-13-21NoNo001725412691.5255,382*
499-12-22NoNo00418423695.9193,181*
488-14-21NoNo00212404698.1142,842*
478-13-22NoNo019365499.0104,536*
468-12-23NoNo018345799.374,725*
457-14-22NoNo004296799.752,640*
447-13-23NoNo02237599.936,440*
437-12-24NoNo011782100.024,540*
426-14-23NoNo011386100.016,417*
416-13-24NoNo0990Yes10,609*
406-12-25NoNo0693Yes6,643*
395-14-24NoNo0496Yes4,189*
385-13-25NoNo0397Yes2,564*
375-12-26NoNo0298Yes1,417*
365-11-27NoNo199Yes871*
355-10-28NoNo0100Yes492*
344-12-27NoNo199Yes268*
334-11-28NoNo199Yes154*
10-32NoNo100Yes6,205*
Total:8.6%16.2%9876665554444433332222114.1%58,450,592

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship