How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
-0.1
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.1
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.1
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove+1.0-0.3-0.8
+4.2-1.2-3.4
-5.0+0.7+4.5
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Everton vs West Ham United-0.2-0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.9-0.3+1.1
-3.6-1.1+4.4
+4.3+0.8-4.8
-0.9-0.2+1.1
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.4*-0.1-0.4
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Fulham vs Watford+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Arsenal vs Everton-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.2-0.1*-0.1
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.1*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
81-106YesYes100No441*
8023-7-499.0%Yes991No100*
7923-6-5YesYes100No178*
7823-5-697.4Yes9720No273*
7722-7-595.9Yes964No393*
7622-6-695.6Yes9640No618*
7522-5-793.4Yes9360No938*
7421-7-690.2Yes9091No1,372*
7321-6-787.8Yes88121No2,040*
7220-8-682.2Yes82171No2,929*
7120-7-775.7Yes76222No4,076*
7020-6-870.4100.0%7026300No5,725*
6919-8-760.0Yes603460No7,833*
6819-7-850.999.951399100No10,616*
6719-6-941.099.8414215200No13,628*
6618-8-830.899.5314321500No17,831*
6518-7-921.198.52141279100No22,562*
6418-6-1013.096.413353315300No28,490*
6317-8-97.491.672735227100No35,131*
6217-7-103.482.9318332913310No42,211*
6116-9-91.368.61102532228200No51,025*
6016-8-100.450.70416302815510No60,183*
5916-7-110.131.7018223024113000No69,624*
5815-9-100.015.70031226292082000No78,924*
5715-8-11No5.6015162827176100No88,669*
5615-7-12No1.50017182926144100No97,151*
5514-9-11No0.20028212924123100No105,969*
5414-8-12No0.000210222923113000No112,729*
5314-7-13No0.000031123292292000No117,926*
5213-9-12NoNo00141224292082000No121,686*
5113-8-13NoNo0014132528197200No123,455*
5013-7-14NoNo00151526281761000.0%123,180*
4912-9-13NoNo00161728271551000.1121,688*
4812-8-14NoNo00027192926134100.6117,353*
4711-10-13NoNo00029223024102002.7111,636*
4611-9-14NoNo0014122630207108.2103,978*
4511-8-15NoNo0015172929154018.995,755*
4410-10-14NoNo00292332249134.385,593*
4310-9-15NoNo01414293217352.176,609*
4210-8-16NoNo0017233526768.566,609*
419-10-15NoNo00031533351381.457,067*
409-9-16NoNo001928412290.047,965*
399-8-17NoNo00421433195.139,634*
388-10-16NoNo00214424297.832,118*
378-9-17NoNo019375399.125,508*
368-8-18NoNo005316499.619,630*
357-10-17NoNo003257299.915,049*
347-9-18NoNo011979100.011,074*
337-8-19NoNo11485Yes8,252*
326-10-18NoNo01089Yes5,877*
316-9-19NoNo0792Yes4,219*
306-8-20NoNo0595Yes2,912*
295-10-19NoNo0397Yes1,947*
285-9-20NoNo397Yes1,202*
275-8-21NoNo298Yes770*
265-7-22NoNo298Yes526*
254-9-21NoNo100Yes326*
244-8-22NoNo199Yes190*
4-23NoNo100Yes527*
Total:2.1%12.2%2334455555666666666516.7%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship