Southampton Title Chances 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.02 to 8.6% 10 points 3-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | +2.4 | | +4.0 | | -2.3 | | +1.2 | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Hull 1 Bristol City 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Sunderland vs Southampton | -2.3-0.7+2.9 | | -3.7-1.1+4.6 | | +1.5+0.2-1.6 | | -1.0-0.2+1.2 | | Rotherham vs Norwich | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Leicester vs Hull | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | Birmingham vs Millwall | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | Stoke vs Preston | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Coventry vs Watford | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Middlesbrough vs QPR | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Southampton finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | -139 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,452 | * | 100 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,586 | * | 99 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,142 | * | 98 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,119 | * | 97 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,174 | * | 96 | | 25 | - | 11 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,728 | * | 95 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,064 | * | 94 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,603 | * | 93 | | 24 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 99.0 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,593 | * | 92 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 98.5 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,669 | * | 91 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 97.9 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,196 | * | 90 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 96.9 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,085 | * | 89 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 95.4 | | 99.9 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,927 | * | 88 | | 22 | - | 12 | - | 9 | 93.6 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 186,062 | * | 87 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 90.8 | | 99.7 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 242,105 | * | 86 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 87.5 | | 99.5 | | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 310,751 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 83.2 | | 99.0 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 393,362 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 77.6 | | 98.1 | | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 491,950 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 70.7 | | 96.6 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 606,115 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 62.7 | | 94.0 | | 63 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 736,964 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 53.6 | | 90.0 | | 54 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 882,110 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 43.8 | | 84.1 | | 44 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,044,600 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 33.8 | | 75.8 | | 34 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,218,168 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 24.2 | | 65.0 | | 24 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,404,416 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 12 | 15.9 | | 52.1 | | 16 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,594,479 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 13 | 9.4 | | 38.3 | | 9 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,790,224 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 4.8 | | 25.0 | | 5 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,982,258 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 13 | - | 13 | 2.1 | | 14.1 | | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,164,267 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 14 | 0.7 | | 6.7 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,331,072 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 15 | 0.2 | | 2.5 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,474,060 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.7 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,594,108 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,684,170 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 16 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,739,729 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,757,533 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,733,680 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 14 | - | 15 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,677,221 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,581,188 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,455,941 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 14 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,303,124 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 2,129,077 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 1,942,989 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,744,163 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 1,543,142 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 1,346,181 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3.9 | | 1,157,844 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11.1 | | 976,150 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 23.4 | | 814,750 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 39.7 | | 666,767 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 57.1 | | 538,295 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 72.5 | | 427,375 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 16 | 84.0 | | 332,749 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 41 | 26 | 91.5 | | 255,382 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 36 | 95.9 | | 193,181 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 98.1 | | 142,842 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 54 | 99.0 | | 104,536 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 57 | 99.3 | | 74,725 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 99.7 | | 52,640 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 99.9 | | 36,440 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 100.0 | | 24,540 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 14 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | | 16,417 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 10,609 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | Yes | 6,643 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 4,189 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 2,564 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,417 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 871 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 492 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 268 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 154 | * | 10 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 6,205 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.6 | % | 16.2 | % | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4.1 | % | 58,450,592 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |