How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 +0.3
+1.2
-7.4
+1.2
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.2
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
-0.1
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.3
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0 -0.2
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.4-0.1+0.5
-1.2-0.4+1.6
+5.7+1.0-6.6
-1.0-0.2+1.3
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Barnsley vs Burton-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Blackpool vs Luton-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.3-0.1-0.2
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Shrewsbury finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
98-121YesYes100No130,835*
9728-6-499.6%Yes1000No263*
95-96YesYes100No1,252*
9427-6-599.6Yes1000No1,600*
9326-8-499.7Yes1000No3,023*
9226-7-599.4Yes991No5,159*
9125-9-499.1Yes991No8,942*
9025-8-598.8Yes991No15,556*
8925-7-698.0100.0%9820No26,207*
8824-9-597.4100.09730No42,952*
8724-8-696.0100.09640No70,163*
8623-10-594.399.994600No110,977*
8523-9-691.999.892800No173,095*
8423-8-788.899.7891100No266,566*
8322-10-684.999.48514100No403,222*
8222-9-779.798.98019100No598,732*
8121-11-673.397.97324300No873,693*
8021-10-765.696.366295000No1,253,729*
7921-9-856.893.757358100No1,771,733*
7820-11-747.189.84739122000No2,463,304*
7720-10-837.284.23742173000No3,369,208*
7620-9-927.476.7274224610000No4,532,966*
7519-11-818.567.419382911200000No6,005,787*
7419-10-911.457.011323318510000No7,826,155*
7318-12-86.146.3623332410200000No10,040,246*
7218-11-92.836.4315292917610000No12,687,632*
7118-10-101.127.71821302412310000No15,775,215*
7017-12-90.320.203132528198200000No19,322,182*
6917-11-100.113.5016172726166200000No23,279,436*
6817-10-110.07.6002819272413510000No27,619,925*
6716-12-100.03.4000310212722124100000No32,265,200*
6616-11-110.01.1000141121262111410000No37,111,837*
6515-13-100.00.200001412222620114100000No42,004,436*
6415-12-11No0.00000141222262011410000No46,824,567*
6315-11-12No0.000001411212621114100000No51,380,492*
6214-13-11No0.0000014112126211241000000.0%55,497,855*
6114-12-12No0.000001310202622124100000.058,973,734*
6014-11-13NoNo00001310202622135100000.061,716,855*
5913-13-12NoNo0000139192623135100000.063,554,828*
5813-12-13NoNo0000139192623135100000.264,375,439*
5713-11-14NoNo000013920262313410001.064,170,591*
5612-13-13NoNo000013102127221241004.462,945,400*
5512-12-14NoNo0000014112227211030013.060,729,409*
5412-11-15NoNo0000151425281971028.057,623,665*
5311-13-14NoNo000026172827154047.353,769,093*
5211-12-15NoNo00002922312410266.349,324,243*
5110-14-14NoNo00001414283118481.244,478,743*
5010-13-15NoNo000027213427890.839,407,759*
4910-12-16NoNo0000031432351596.034,318,978*
489-14-15NoNo0001826412498.529,351,122*
479-13-16NoNo0000419423499.524,651,588*
469-12-17NoNo000213404599.820,320,006*
458-14-16NoNo000183655100.016,443,484*
448-13-17NoNo00053065100.013,061,012*
438-12-18NoNo0032473100.010,158,602*
427-14-17NoNo0011880100.07,757,098*
417-13-18NoNo0011386100.05,804,592*
407-12-19NoNo001090Yes4,246,410*
396-14-18NoNo00793Yes3,043,153*
386-13-19NoNo00496Yes2,137,011*
376-12-20NoNo00397Yes1,466,639*
366-11-21NoNo0298Yes980,701*
355-13-20NoNo0199Yes641,283*
345-12-21NoNo0199Yes409,842*
335-11-22NoNo00100Yes255,066*
324-13-21NoNo0100Yes154,661*
314-12-22NoNo0100Yes90,905*
304-11-23NoNo0100Yes51,896*
293-13-22NoNo0100Yes28,752*
283-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,618*
273-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,142*
263-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,137*
7-25NoNo100Yes134,249*
Total:0.9%3.7%11222333344445555666677726.3%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship