"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promotion100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Shortwood United vs Kidlington+0.0NoNo
-2.2-0.0+1.7
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Barnstaple Town vs Totton+1.4-0.0-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Swindon Superma vs Slimbridge-0.1+0.1+0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bishop's Cleeve vs Larkhall Athletic+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promotion100.0*Level 9100.0*Average seed
Kidlington vs Shortwood United-0.0-0.0+0.1
NoNo+0.0
+0.8-0.7-2.5
-0.2+0.1+0.7
Shortwood United vs Wimborne Town+0.0NoNo
-2.3-0.3+1.4
+0.6-0.0-0.3
Shortwood United vs Slimbridge+0.0NoNo
-1.9+0.8+3.5
+0.4-0.2-0.6
Barnstaple Town vs Taunton Town+1.6+0.2-0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Paulton Rovers vs Taunton Town-0.1-0.0+0.0
Bideford vs North Leigh-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Salisbury vs Barnstaple Town-0.3+0.4+1.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cirencester Town vs Mangotsfield Un-0.3+0.2+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Barnstaple Town vs Mangotsfield Un+0.4-0.4-0.5
Evesham United vs Slimbridge-0.1+0.1+0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Slimbridge vs Bishop's Cleeve+0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cinderford Town vs Bishop's Cleeve-0.0+0.0+0.2
Bishop's Cleeve vs Winchester City+0.2-0.0-0.1
Bishop's Cleeve vs Cirencester Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
North Leigh vs Swindon Superma+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
North Leigh vs Paulton Rovers+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Shortwood United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsPromotion12345678910111213141516171819202122Level 9Count
7718-0-0100.0%0.0%017701210No362,984
7417-0-1InNo5050No2
7316-2-060.0No402040No5
7216-1-193.8No3831256No16
7115-3-073.7No83432188No38*
7015-2-157.1No3173727142No140
6915-1-239.6No21127302371No412*
6814-3-120.1No031732271641No1,203*
6714-2-27.8No01720302612310No3,301*
6613-4-12.3No021023302210200No7,842*
6513-3-20.5No004132730196100No19,547*
6413-2-30.1No00151730291430No44,191*
6312-4-20.0No0028223325910No96,694*
6212-3-30.0No000312293419400No205,528*
6111-5-2OutNo001519353010100No415,123*
6011-4-3OutNo0019293819300No803,368*
5911-3-4OutNo0004183931700No1,509,491*
5810-5-3OutNo00110334015200No2,710,664*
5710-4-4OutNo0004234424400No4,705,355*
5610-3-5OutNo00113403410100No7,887,856*
559-5-4OutNo0006324118300No12,704,516*
549-4-5OutNo00032142286000No19,829,296*
538-6-4OutNo00112373712100No29,850,693*
528-5-5OutNo0006284221300No43,312,955*
518-4-6OutNo0031941316000No60,838,427*
507-6-5OutNo00110354012100No82,434,378*
497-5-6OutNo0005264521300No107,760,132*
487-4-7OutNo002174431600No136,208,295*
476-6-6OutNo00193840111000.0%165,997,835*
466-5-7OutNo0042946192000.0195,106,262*
456-4-8OutNo00021946294000.0221,333,608*
445-6-7OutNo0011141398000.0241,779,947*
435-5-8OutNo006324615100.0254,253,956*
425-4-9OutNo0022248242000.0257,455,469*
414-6-8OutNo0011445355000.1250,293,427*
404-5-9OutNo0007384411000.4233,544,192*
394-4-10OutNo003284919101.3208,985,771*
383-6-9OutNo001184929303.1178,717,440*
373-5-10OutNo00104340706.6145,948,585*
363-4-11OutNo005344812012.5113,567,819*
352-6-10OutNo002245321021.183,846,332*
342-5-11OutNo01155332132.158,567,218*
332-4-12OutNo0084743144.738,565,448*
321-6-11OutNo0043955357.723,796,654*
311-5-12OutNo012964569.613,648,078*
301-4-13OutNo002071979.77,239,386*
291-3-14OutNo012731487.53,501,551*
280-5-13OutNo07722192.91,512,968*
270-4-14OutNo04672996.3575,127*
260-3-15OutNo2593998.3185,161*
250-2-16OutNo1495099.445,631
240-1-17OutNo0386199.77,445
230-0-18OutNo02773100.0363,534
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000000001251220242011403.8%3,210,551,296

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs