How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sunderland 3 Scunthorpe 0 -1.3
-3.2
+2.5
-1.0
Portsmouth 4 Oxford Utd 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Peterborough 3 Luton 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Burton 1 Doncaster 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.2
Barnsley 0 AFC Wimbledon 0 +0.1
+0.1
Fleetwood Town 2 Rochdale 2 +0.1
Walsall 2 Gillingham 1 +0.1
Accrington 1 Charlton 1 +0.1
Shrewsbury 0 Blackpool 0 -0.1
Wycombe 1 Bristol Rovers 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Scunthorpe vs Fleetwood Town+0.8-0.2-0.5
+2.4-0.5-1.7
-5.0+0.5+4.0
+1.3-0.2-1.0
Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Charlton vs Peterborough+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Rochdale vs Barnsley+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Gillingham vs Sunderland*-0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall-0.0+0.1-0.0
Luton vs Southend+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Blackpool vs Coventry+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oxford Utd vs Accrington+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Plymouth vs Wycombe+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bradford City vs Burton+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe vs Barnsley+0.9-0.2-0.6
+2.6-0.4-1.7
-5.1+0.4+3.6
+1.3-0.1-0.9
Plymouth vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Doncaster vs Portsmouth+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Rochdale vs Walsall+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.1
Gillingham vs Coventry-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Southend+0.1-0.1-0.0
Charlton vs Fleetwood Town+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Blackpool vs Accrington+0.1-0.1-0.0
Oxford Utd vs Burton+0.2-0.1-0.0
Bradford City vs Wycombe*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Luton vs Shrewsbury+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Scunthorpe finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
99-133YesYes100No16,754*
9828-10-599.6%Yes1000No261*
9728-9-6YesYes100No403*
9628-8-799.9Yes1000No738*
9527-10-699.9Yes1000No1,232*
9427-9-799.6Yes1000No2,022*
9326-11-699.0Yes991No3,201*
9226-10-798.9Yes991No5,384*
9126-9-898.3100.0%9820No8,244*
9025-11-797.4Yes973No12,827*
8925-10-896.5100.09730No19,446*
8824-12-794.899.99550No28,792*
8724-11-892.999.993700No42,983*
8624-10-990.099.8901000No62,715*
8523-12-886.399.5861310No89,092*
8423-11-982.199.0821710No126,588*
8323-10-1076.398.47622200No176,015*
8222-12-969.697.27027300No242,281*
8122-11-1061.995.36232610No328,251*
8021-13-953.092.353379100No437,524*
7921-12-1043.788.04440142000No576,425*
7821-11-1134.282.13442194000No750,438*
7720-13-1025.174.52541258100No958,780*
7620-12-1117.265.5173730123000No1,212,881*
7520-11-1210.755.61131331961000No1,509,298*
7419-13-115.945.762333251030000No1,857,446*
7319-12-122.936.6315292917610000No2,247,799*
7218-14-111.228.5182230231131000No2,684,255*
7118-13-120.421.40414262818720000No3,166,349*
7018-12-130.115.001719282514510000No3,676,376*
6917-14-120.09.30031122272211310000No4,213,099*
6817-13-130.04.80015132427199300000No4,767,904*
6717-12-140.01.90001616252517720000No5,315,545*
6616-14-130.00.6000027172524156200000No5,845,407*
6516-13-14No0.1000028182624145100000No6,336,882*
6416-12-15No0.0000139192623135100000No6,770,737*
6315-14-14No0.0000139192623135100000No7,134,013*
6215-13-15No0.00000131020262213510000No7,415,586*
6114-15-14NoNo00001310202622124100000.0%7,591,196*
6014-14-15NoNo00001310202622124100000.07,666,547*
5914-13-16NoNo0001311202622124100000.07,628,015*
5813-15-15NoNo0000141121262111410000.17,471,915*
5713-14-16NoNo0000141222262110310000.67,223,937*
5613-13-17NoNo00001513232719920002.76,877,326*
5512-15-16NoNo0000161525261772008.56,452,439*
5412-14-17NoNo0000281827251451019.85,949,236*
5312-13-18NoNo0001310222923112036.25,413,177*
5211-15-17NoNo000014142629196154.94,852,236*
5111-14-18NoNo0002719302712271.74,277,247*
5011-13-19NoNo0000312263320584.33,707,716*
4910-15-18NoNo00016203429992.33,163,242*
4810-14-19NoNo00031331361696.62,658,454*
4710-13-20NoNo0001825412598.62,193,486*
469-15-19NoNo000419423499.51,782,107*
459-14-20NoNo000213404599.81,423,136*
449-13-21NoNo0018365599.91,115,292*
438-15-20NoNo00053064100.0858,706*
428-14-21NoNo0032473100.0649,932*
418-13-22NoNo0011980100.0482,309*
407-15-21NoNo0011485100.0352,197*
397-14-22NoNo0001089100.0251,459*
387-13-23NoNo00793Yes175,462*
376-15-22NoNo00595Yes121,013*
366-14-23NoNo0397Yes80,903*
356-13-24NoNo0298Yes52,773*
345-15-23NoNo0199Yes34,372*
335-14-24NoNo199Yes21,450*
325-13-25NoNo0100Yes13,140*
315-12-26NoNo0100Yes7,860*
304-14-25NoNo0100Yes4,663*
294-13-26NoNo0100Yes2,569*
4-28NoNo100Yes19,443*
Total:1.5%6.0%22333444445555555555554417.6%158,618,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship