Salisbury City Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Tied Weston-S-Mare 1-1, title odds down 10.7 to 25.6% 63 points 19-6-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -8.0 | | -6.0 | | -0.1 | | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | -2.3 | | -1.7 | | -0.0 | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -1.0 | | -0.8 | | -0.1 | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.5 | | -0.4 | | | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | +9.0-2.3-7.4 | | +6.9-1.7-5.7 | | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | | +0.6+0.2-0.7 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -7.4-2.3+9.0 | | -5.7-1.7+6.9 | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | -7.0+1.3+6.1 | | -5.3+1.0+4.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | -6.9+1.2+6.1 | | -5.2+0.9+4.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -1.0+0.4+0.8 | | -0.8+0.3+0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -1.0+0.3+0.8 | | -0.8+0.2+0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.5+0.2+0.3 | | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Salisbury City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,233 | | 91 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 99.7 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,579 | | 90 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.0 | | 99.3 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,506 | | 89 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.8 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,565 | | 88 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.9 | | 97.7 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,382 | | 87 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 95.0 | | 96.2 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,355 | * | 86 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 92.3 | | 94.2 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,757 | | 85 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 87.2 | | 90.4 | | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 166,515 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 89.7 | | 92.3 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,981 | | 84 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 83.2 | | 87.4 | | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 188,027 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 80.1 | | 85.1 | | 80 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79,372 | | 83 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 75.4 | | 81.5 | | 75 | 24 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 431,616 | * | 82 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 65.6 | | 74.2 | | 66 | 34 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 385,914 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 69.2 | | 76.9 | | 69 | 31 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 196,198 | | 81 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 58.5 | | 68.8 | | 58 | 41 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 564,803 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 55.2 | | 66.4 | | 55 | 44 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 153,777 | * | 80 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 46.8 | | 60.1 | | 47 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 806,913 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 50.7 | | 63.0 | | 51 | 48 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 138,107 | | 79 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 35.3 | | 51.5 | | 35 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 576,702 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 39.0 | | 54.3 | | 39 | 57 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 500,387 | * | 78 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 27.8 | | 45.9 | | 28 | 64 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 942,057 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 24.9 | | 43.7 | | 25 | 66 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 165,307 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 31.2 | | 48.4 | | 31 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,403 | | 77 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 18.3 | | 38.7 | | 18 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,009,530 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 20.8 | | 40.6 | | 21 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 276,531 | * | 76 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 12.7 | | 34.5 | | 13 | 67 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 658,796 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 11.1 | | 33.3 | | 11 | 66 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 596,691 | * | 75 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 6.9 | | 30.2 | | 7 | 61 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 942,918 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 5.8 | | 29.3 | | 6 | 60 | 30 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,048 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 8.1 | | 31.1 | | 8 | 62 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,663 | * | 74 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 3.2 | | 27.4 | | 3 | 52 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 808,086 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 4.0 | | 28.0 | | 4 | 54 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 279,620 | * | 73 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 1.6 | | 26.2 | | 2 | 42 | 43 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 493,241 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 1.3 | | 26.0 | | 1 | 40 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 404,626 | * | 72 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.5 | | 25.4 | | 1 | 30 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 565,523 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.4 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 28 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79,158 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.7 | | 25.5 | | 1 | 31 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,853 | * | 71 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 18 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 403,792 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.2 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,006 | * | 70 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,914 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 10 | 37 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 171,530 | * | 69 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 24.1 | | 0 | 5 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,435 | * | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 23.9 | | | 4 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,228 | | 68 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 22.5 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143,319 | * | 67 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | 19.2 | | | 1 | 7 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,453 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 19.7 | | | 1 | 9 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,783 | | 66 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 15.0 | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,514 | * | 65 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | 9.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,600 | | 64 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | 4.6 | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,467 | | 63 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | 1.5 | | | | | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,187 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 25.6 | % | 44.1 | % | 26 | 47 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |