How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stalybridge Cel 0 Salford City 4 +1.4
+2.4
-4.1
+1.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.2
-0.2
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Salford City vs FC United of Ma+2.5-0.9-2.4
+3.5-1.2-3.4
-1.7+0.3+1.8
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde vs Salford City-2.2-0.7+2.8
-3.1-0.9+3.9
+1.6+0.2-1.8
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City-2.2-0.8+2.6
-3.1-1.0+3.6
+1.7+0.2-1.8
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Salford City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
101-124YesYes100No206,147*
10030-6-499.9%99.9%1000No3,131*
9930-5-5100.0100.01000No5,355*
9830-4-6100.0100.01000No9,183*
9729-6-599.999.91000No15,875*
9629-5-699.999.91000No26,100*
9528-7-599.9100.01000No42,812*
9428-6-699.999.910000No68,487*
9328-5-799.999.91000No107,865*
9227-7-699.999.91000No166,189*
9127-6-799.899.81000No254,317*
9027-5-899.799.81000No378,855*
8926-7-799.599.710000No560,542*
8826-6-899.399.59910No813,413*
8726-5-998.999.29910No1,160,299*
8625-7-898.498.89820No1,634,161*
8525-6-997.698.298200No2,261,454*
8424-8-896.697.497300No3,083,026*
8324-7-995.096.395500No4,151,395*
8224-6-1092.994.793700No5,494,246*
8123-8-990.192.6901000No7,184,024*
8023-7-1086.489.88613100No9,253,792*
7923-6-1181.686.282171000No11,754,386*
7822-8-1075.781.876222000No14,724,101*
7722-7-1168.576.469284000No18,175,145*
7621-9-1060.270.16033610000No22,119,122*
7521-8-1150.963.25138101000No26,558,509*
7421-7-1241.055.841411530000No31,469,252*
7320-9-1131.248.431422151000No36,764,700*
7220-8-1222.141.522402792000No42,379,080*
7120-7-1314.335.614353214300000No48,187,837*
7019-9-128.330.98283421710000No54,053,596*
6919-8-134.227.2419322713310000No59,849,667*
6819-7-141.824.0211263120820000No65,344,298*
6718-9-130.620.61618292714510000No70,416,270*
6618-8-140.216.3021023292210300000No74,843,832*
6518-7-150.011.201414262818720000No78,504,157*
6417-9-140.06.4001717272615510000No81,236,441*
6317-8-150.02.80002920282413410000No82,941,175*
6216-10-140.00.9000031022272211310000No83,571,783*
6116-9-15No0.20001412232721103100000No83,055,061*
6016-8-16No0.0000014132427199200000No81,402,798*
5915-10-15No0.000001514242719820000No78,737,980*
5815-9-16No0.000001515252718720000No75,115,770*
5715-8-17No0.0000016152526177200000.0%70,681,879*
5614-10-16NoNo000026162626166100000.065,581,983*
5514-9-17NoNo000002718272515510000.060,032,871*
5414-8-18NoNo00002819282413410000.154,185,201*
5313-10-17NoNo000003102128231130000.548,209,984*
5213-9-18NoNo0000141224282082002.042,297,127*
5113-8-19NoNo0000015162728175106.336,577,337*
5012-10-18NoNo000028203025123014.931,173,897*
4912-9-19NoNo000013122531207127.926,185,627*
4812-8-20NoNo0001618312913243.921,672,640*
4711-10-19NoNo0000311263421560.117,679,325*
4611-9-20NoNo000161935301074.114,190,354*
4511-8-21NoNo000031331371684.611,221,763*
4410-10-20NoNo0001726422491.58,735,548*
4310-9-21NoNo0000419433495.76,693,918*
4210-8-22NoNo000213414498.05,048,586*
419-10-21NoNo0019375499.13,747,180*
409-9-22NoNo0005316399.62,736,872*
399-8-23NoNo0003267199.91,962,257*
388-10-22NoNo002207899.91,383,843*
378-9-23NoNo0011584100.0958,634*
368-8-24NoNo001188100.0653,215*
357-10-23NoNo00892100.0435,012*
347-9-24NoNo00694100.0285,909*
337-8-25NoNo00496100.0183,771*
326-10-24NoNo0397Yes115,133*
316-9-25NoNo0298Yes70,990*
306-8-26NoNo0199Yes42,708*
295-10-25NoNo0199Yes25,174*
285-9-26NoNo0100Yes14,827*
275-8-27NoNo0100Yes8,150*
265-7-28NoNo0100Yes4,634*
254-9-27NoNo0100Yes2,457*
244-8-28NoNo0100Yes1,293*
234-7-29NoNo0100Yes666*
4-22NoNo100Yes203,079*
Total:8.0%14.8%87776665555444433322214.9%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship