How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town 2 Rochdale 2 -0.2
-0.6
+0.5
-0.2
Peterborough 3 Luton 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Portsmouth 4 Oxford Utd 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Burton 1 Doncaster 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.3
Barnsley 0 AFC Wimbledon 0 +0.1
Accrington 1 Charlton 1 +0.1
-0.1
Walsall 2 Gillingham 1 +0.1
Shrewsbury 0 Blackpool 0 -0.1
Coventry 1 Plymouth 0 +0.1
Southend 2 Bradford City 0 +0.1
Wycombe 1 Bristol Rovers 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Rochdale vs Barnsley+1.0-0.2-0.6
+2.8-0.4-1.8
-4.7+0.4+3.5
+1.3-0.2-0.9
Charlton vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Gillingham vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall-0.0+0.1-0.0
Luton vs Southend+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Scunthorpe vs Fleetwood Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Blackpool vs Coventry+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oxford Utd vs Accrington+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bradford City vs Burton+0.1-0.1+0.0
Plymouth vs Wycombe+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Rochdale vs Walsall+0.9-0.2-0.6
+2.6-0.5-1.9
-4.7+0.5+3.7
+1.3-0.2-1.0
Plymouth vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Scunthorpe vs Barnsley+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Portsmouth+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.1
Gillingham vs Coventry-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Southend+0.1-0.1-0.0
Blackpool vs Accrington+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bradford City vs Wycombe*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Luton vs Shrewsbury+0.0-0.1+0.1
Oxford Utd vs Burton+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rochdale finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
98-133YesYes100No17,208*
9728-9-699.8%Yes1000No574*
9628-8-7YesYes100No989*
9527-10-699.7Yes1000No1,597*
9427-9-799.7Yes1000No2,593*
9326-11-699.2Yes991No4,179*
9226-10-798.8100.0%9910No6,706*
9126-9-898.2100.09820No10,282*
9025-11-797.3100.09730No15,955*
8925-10-896.2100.09640No23,810*
8824-12-794.799.99550No35,320*
8724-11-892.599.993700No52,135*
8624-10-989.999.8901000No75,251*
8523-12-886.299.58613100No107,039*
8423-11-981.699.18217100No150,251*
8323-10-1076.098.47622200No206,708*
8222-12-969.497.269274000No283,216*
8122-11-1061.595.2623260000No380,493*
8021-13-952.892.253379100No504,059*
7921-12-1043.387.94340142000No658,775*
7821-11-1134.082.03442194100No852,662*
7720-13-1025.074.425412581000No1,083,810*
7620-12-1117.065.5173730123000No1,357,166*
7520-11-1210.655.611313419610000No1,678,617*
7419-13-115.945.762333251030000No2,050,348*
7319-12-122.936.531529291761000No2,464,032*
7218-14-111.228.4182230241131000No2,924,456*
7118-13-120.421.30414262818720000No3,419,531*
7018-12-130.115.001719282514510000No3,948,616*
6917-14-120.09.30031122282211310000No4,490,869*
6817-13-130.04.8001513242619930000No5,042,832*
6717-12-140.02.00001616252517720000No5,580,669*
6616-14-130.00.6000027172624156200000No6,093,045*
6516-13-14No0.1000028182624145100000No6,561,900*
6415-15-13No0.000013919262313510000No6,959,492*
6315-14-14No0.00000131019262313510000No7,276,946*
6215-13-15No0.000013102026221351000000.0%7,507,498*
6114-15-14NoNo0001310202622124100000.07,634,097*
6014-14-15NoNo0001310202622124100000.07,647,094*
5914-13-16NoNo0001411212622124100000.07,554,448*
5813-15-15NoNo0000141121262111410000.17,355,619*
5713-14-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.67,053,740*
5613-13-17NoNo00001513242719920002.76,662,329*
5512-15-16NoNo0000161525261771008.46,197,988*
5412-14-17NoNo0000281827251451019.65,683,957*
5312-13-18NoNo00001310222923102035.95,129,468*
5211-15-17NoNo00015142629196154.54,562,084*
5111-14-18NoNo00002719302712271.43,990,416*
5011-13-19NoNo0001312273320584.13,438,546*
4910-15-18NoNo00017203429992.12,909,020*
4810-14-19NoNo00031331361696.52,424,444*
4710-13-20NoNo0001826412498.61,986,074*
469-15-19NoNo0000419423499.51,601,077*
459-14-20NoNo000213404599.81,268,678*
449-13-21NoNo00183655100.0989,521*
438-15-20NoNo00053064100.0754,253*
428-14-21NoNo0032573100.0566,293*
418-13-22NoNo0011980100.0417,279*
407-15-21NoNo0011485100.0300,876*
397-14-22NoNo001089Yes214,224*
387-13-23NoNo00793Yes148,292*
376-15-22NoNo0595Yes101,295*
366-14-23NoNo0397Yes67,078*
356-13-24NoNo0298Yes44,203*
345-15-23NoNo199Yes28,236*
335-14-24NoNo199Yes17,608*
325-13-25NoNo0100Yes10,546*
315-12-26NoNo0100Yes6,218*
304-14-25NoNo0100Yes3,472*
294-13-26NoNo0100Yes2,099*
4-28NoNo100Yes18,727*
Total:1.8%6.6%22334444455555555555544316.0%158,618,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship