"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Newcastle United 0 +0.2
Chelsea 1 Huddersfield Town 1 +0.1
Manchester City 0 Huddersfield Town 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove+0.3-0.0-0.3
West Ham United vs Manchester United-0.3+0.1+0.2
Leicester City vs Arsenal-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Average seed
Manchester United vs Watford-1.4-0.2+1.6
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.4-0.1-0.3
Crystal Palace vs West Brom-0.3-0.0+0.3
Newcastle United vs Chelsea-0.3+0.0+0.3
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove+0.3-0.0-0.3
West Ham United vs Everton-0.3+0.1+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
441-0-0NoNo2253725910No4,565,410
420-1-0NoNo182536245No3,725,430
410-0-1NoNo002154635No4,563,080
Total:NoNo191617192414No12,853,920
Points
Chance Will Win Championship