Port Vale Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Lost to Crewe Alexandra 0-1, title odds down 0.9 to 2.1% 3 points 1-0-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 | -1.0 | | -2.7 | | +2.8 | | -1.1 | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | +0.1 | | | | +0.2 | | | | Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Port Vale vs Notts County | +0.9-0.3-0.8 | | +2.6-0.7-2.2 | | -3.7+0.5+3.3 | | +1.2-0.3-1.1 | | Exeter City vs Newport County | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | | | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | | | | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | | | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Port Vale finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | -129 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,786 | * | 97 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 530 | * | 96 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 853 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,448 | * | 94 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,249 | * | 93 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,534 | * | 92 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,416 | * | 91 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,326 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.9 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,471 | * | 89 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,465 | * | 88 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 96.1 | | 100.0 | % | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,959 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 94.6 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,982 | * | 86 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 92.0 | | 100.0 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,352 | * | 85 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 88.8 | | 100.0 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,977 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.6 | | 100.0 | | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,192 | * | 83 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 79.3 | | 99.9 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,061 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 72.5 | | 99.9 | | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,842 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 64.6 | | 99.6 | | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 256,016 | * | 80 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 55.5 | | 99.1 | | 55 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 333,895 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 45.7 | | 97.9 | | 46 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 426,995 | * | 78 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 35.4 | | 95.5 | | 35 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 544,005 | * | 77 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 25.5 | | 91.1 | | 25 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 680,123 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 16.7 | | 83.8 | | 17 | 37 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 840,030 | * | 75 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 10.0 | | 72.8 | | 10 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,022,752 | * | 74 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 5.1 | | 58.1 | | 5 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,229,906 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 2.2 | | 41.3 | | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,457,107 | * | 72 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.8 | | 25.2 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,707,969 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 12.5 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,973,040 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 4.8 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,250,469 | * | 69 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 1.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,530,301 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,813,975 | * | 67 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,089,081 | * | 66 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,338,744 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,563,966 | * | 64 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,758,619 | * | 63 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,910,236 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 4,011,017 | * | 61 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 4,057,061 | * | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 4,051,150 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,996,927 | * | 58 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,886,708 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 3,730,927 | * | 56 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | | 3,529,461 | * | 55 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3.8 | | 3,293,627 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 9.5 | | 3,030,941 | * | 53 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 19.1 | | 2,747,976 | * | 52 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 32.1 | | 2,459,522 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 46.7 | | 2,169,275 | * | 50 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 61.0 | | 1,887,231 | * | 49 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 31 | 73.4 | | 1,615,726 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 82.9 | | 1,363,544 | * | 47 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 89.6 | | 1,133,796 | * | 46 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 63 | 94.0 | | 927,397 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 96.7 | | 747,406 | * | 44 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 79 | 98.3 | | 594,505 | * | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.1 | | 463,869 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.6 | | 357,271 | * | 41 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.8 | | 270,127 | * | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 200,657 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 147,036 | * | 38 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 105,154 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 74,505 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 51,593 | * | 35 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 35,279 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 23,354 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,316 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,783 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,130 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,715 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,263 | * | 28 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,300 | * | 3 | -27 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 10,707 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.1 | % | 7.4 | % | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12.8 | % | 90,490,048 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |