Oldham Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Tied Sheff Utd 1-1, title odds down 0.4 to 2.6% 27 points 6-9-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | +1.1 | | +3.2 | | -4.1 | | +1.3 | | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Crewe 2 Coventry 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | +1.1 | | +3.5 | | -3.2 | | +1.2 | | Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 | -0.4 | | -1.0 | | +0.4 | | -0.3 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Oldham finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,704 | * | 95 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,332 | * | 94 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,500 | * | 93 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,532 | * | 92 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 98.8 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,076 | * | 91 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.2 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,149 | * | 90 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 97.4 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,702 | * | 89 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,172 | * | 88 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 94.0 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,761 | * | 87 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 91.5 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,473 | * | 86 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 87.9 | | 99.6 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,616 | * | 85 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 83.2 | | 99.3 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 229,598 | * | 84 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 77.4 | | 98.6 | | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 336,655 | * | 83 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 70.3 | | 97.4 | | 70 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 486,045 | * | 82 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 61.9 | | 95.5 | | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 685,362 | * | 81 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 52.5 | | 92.3 | | 52 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 944,634 | * | 80 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 42.5 | | 87.8 | | 42 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,274,404 | * | 79 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 32.6 | | 81.4 | | 33 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,685,152 | * | 78 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 23.2 | | 73.3 | | 23 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,188,317 | * | 77 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 15.2 | | 63.8 | | 15 | 36 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,782,432 | * | 76 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 9.0 | | 53.6 | | 9 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,466,132 | * | 75 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 4.7 | | 43.9 | | 5 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,230,966 | * | 74 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 2.1 | | 35.8 | | 2 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,067,450 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 0.8 | | 29.6 | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,949,218 | * | 72 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 0.2 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,856,077 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 20.5 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,740,839 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 15.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,571,201 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 9.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,307,899 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 4.9 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,908,109 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 1.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,348,696 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 10,595,543 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 10,636,287 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,467,056 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 10,080,607 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 9,528,037 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 8,817,607 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 7,990,907 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 7,088,829 | * | 58 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 6,156,879 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | | 5,230,889 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13.6 | | 4,348,217 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29.4 | | 3,533,646 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 49.5 | | 2,801,172 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 68.9 | | 2,175,288 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 83.5 | | 1,646,069 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 92.5 | | 1,214,962 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 17 | 97.1 | | 871,960 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 42 | 27 | 99.0 | | 611,031 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 99.7 | | 416,351 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 50 | 99.9 | | 275,338 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 100.0 | | 177,154 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 100.0 | | 110,316 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 100.0 | | 66,886 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 86 | Yes | 38,757 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 21,519 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 11,833 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 6,009 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 3,074 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,397 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 607 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 252 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 94 | * | 27 | -34 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 19,480 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.6 | % | 12.0 | % | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5.3 | % | 187,432,256 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |