How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 +1.1
+3.2
-4.1
+1.3
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -0.1
-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *-0.1
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.1
Crewe 2 Coventry 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 +1.1
+3.5
-3.2
+1.2
Chesterfield 1 Oldham 1 -0.4
-1.0
+0.4
-0.3
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.2
-0.3
-0.2
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.3
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.1
-0.2
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.1
*+0.1
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.2
*-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 -0.1
-0.2
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 *+0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *+0.1
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oldham finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
96-111YesYes100No20,704*
9521-5-299.9%Yes1000No1,332*
9421-4-399.4Yes991No2,500*
9321-3-499.2Yes991No4,532*
9220-5-398.8100.0%9910No8,076*
9120-4-498.2100.09820No14,149*
9020-3-597.4100.09730No23,702*
8919-5-495.9100.09640No39,172*
8819-4-594.099.99460No62,761*
8718-6-491.599.89280No99,473*
8618-5-587.999.6881200No152,616*
8518-4-683.299.3831610No229,598*
8417-6-577.498.67721200No336,655*
8317-5-670.397.47026300No486,045*
8216-7-561.995.562326000No685,362*
8116-6-652.592.352379100No944,634*
8016-5-742.587.8424114200No1,274,404*
7915-7-632.681.43343204000No1,685,152*
7815-6-723.273.323412681000No2,188,317*
7715-5-815.263.8153632133000No2,782,432*
7614-7-79.053.6929352061000No3,466,132*
7514-6-84.743.95213427113000No4,230,966*
7414-5-92.135.8213293118610000No5,067,450*
7313-7-80.829.6172031261230000No5,949,218*
7213-6-90.224.80312263020820000No6,856,077*
7112-8-80.020.50161729271551000No7,740,839*
7012-7-90.015.400292129241131000No8,571,201*
6912-6-100.09.90003122428209200000No9,307,899*
6811-8-90.04.90001514252718720000No9,908,109*
6711-7-100.01.800001616262616610000No10,348,696*
6611-6-11No0.50002717272515610000No10,595,543*
6510-8-10No0.100002818272514510000No10,636,287*
6410-7-11No0.000002818272414510000No10,467,056*
6310-6-12No0.000002818262414510000No10,080,607*
629-8-11No0.0000028182624145100000.0%9,528,037*
619-7-12NoNo000028182624145100000.08,817,607*
609-6-13NoNo00002818262414510000.07,990,907*
598-8-12NoNo00002818262414510000.27,088,829*
588-7-13NoNo00003919272413510001.06,156,879*
578-6-14NoNo0001392027231241004.65,230,889*
567-8-13NoNo00013112228221030013.64,348,217*
557-7-14NoNo000141324282082029.43,533,646*
547-6-15NoNo00016162728165149.52,801,172*
536-8-14NoNo00002821312611268.92,175,288*
526-7-15NoNo001312273220583.51,646,069*
516-6-16NoNo000162034291092.51,214,962*
505-8-15NoNo00031230371797.1871,960*
495-7-16NoNo001724422799.0611,031*
485-6-17NoNo00316423999.7416,351*
474-8-16NoNo00110385099.9275,338*
464-7-17NoNo0063262100.0177,154*
454-6-18NoNo0032671100.0110,316*
443-8-17NoNo0021979100.066,886*
433-7-18NoNo011486Yes38,757*
423-6-19NoNo0991Yes21,519*
412-8-18NoNo0694Yes11,833*
402-7-19NoNo0496Yes6,009*
392-6-20NoNo397Yes3,074*
382-5-21NoNo298Yes1,397*
371-7-20NoNo199Yes607*
361-6-21NoNo199Yes252*
351-5-22NoNo199Yes94*
27-34NoNo100Yes19,480*
Total:2.6%12.0%3455666666655544433222115.3%187,432,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship