Nuneaton Town Title Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Lost to Chester 2-3, title odds down 0.02 to 0.02%

10 points 2-4-10

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/13	100.0*	Demotion
Telford United 1 Chorley 1	*-0.1
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0	-0.5
Southport 1 York City 2	-0.4
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1	+0.3
Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1	+0.2
Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1	+0.2
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0	-0.2
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1	*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nuneaton Town finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		National		Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		League		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	Demotion		Count

88		26	-	0	-	0	99.9	%	99.9	%	100	0																					No		92,441
83		24	-	1	-	1	Yes		Yes		100																						No		2
82		23	-	3	-	0	88.9		88.9		89	11																					No		9	*
81		23	-	2	-	1	95.7		95.7		96	4																					No		23
80		23	-	1	-	2	91.4		91.4		91	9																					No		58	*
79		22	-	3	-	1	94.1		94.9		94	6																					No		118	*
78		22	-	2	-	2	88.5		90.3		89	11	1																				No		349	*
77		21	-	4	-	1	84.6		87.2		85	15	1																				No		749	*
76		21	-	3	-	2	77.7		81.3		78	20	2	0																			No		1,576	*
75		21	-	2	-	3	70.4		75.3		70	26	3	0	0																		No		3,180	*
74		20	-	4	-	2	60.8		67.3		61	34	5	0																			No		6,411	*
73		20	-	3	-	3	51.0		59.1		51	38	9	1	0																		No		12,642	*
72		19	-	5	-	2	40.3		50.2		40	42	15	3	0																		No		23,589	*
71		19	-	4	-	3	29.2		41.0		29	42	22	5	1	0	0																No		42,657	*
70		19	-	3	-	4	19.7		33.0		20	39	29	10	2	0	0																No		75,535	*
69		18	-	5	-	3	11.6		26.4		12	33	34	17	4	1	0	0															No		129,433	*
68		18	-	4	-	4	6.1		21.7		6	24	35	24	9	2	0	0															No		214,505	*
67		18	-	3	-	5	2.7		18.9		3	15	30	31	16	5	1	0	0														No		350,658	*
66		17	-	5	-	4	0.9		17.4		1	7	22	32	24	11	3	0	0	0													No		554,919	*
65		17	-	4	-	5	0.3		16.6		0	3	13	26	30	19	7	2	0	0	0												No		857,894	*
64		16	-	6	-	4	0.0		15.7		0	1	5	17	28	27	15	5	1	0	0	0											No		1,296,956	*
63		16	-	5	-	5	0.0		13.9		0	0	2	8	20	29	24	12	4	1	0	0	0										No		1,907,501	*
62		16	-	4	-	6	0.0		10.7		0	0	0	3	10	22	29	22	10	3	0	0	0	0									No		2,752,797	*
61		15	-	6	-	5	0.0		6.6		0	0	0	1	3	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	0	0								No		3,865,960	*
60		15	-	5	-	6	No		3.0			0	0	0	1	4	13	25	28	19	8	2	0	0	0	0							No		5,316,938	*
59		15	-	4	-	7	No		0.9				0	0	0	1	4	14	25	28	18	8	2	0	0	0	0						No		7,148,759	*
58		14	-	6	-	6	No		0.2					0	0	0	1	5	14	25	27	18	7	2	0	0	0	0					No		9,400,135	*
57		14	-	5	-	7	No		0.0						0	0	0	1	5	15	25	27	18	7	2	0	0	0	0				No		12,103,082	*
56		13	-	7	-	6	No		0.0						0	0	0	0	1	5	15	26	27	18	7	2	0	0	0	0			0.0	%	15,249,114	*
55		13	-	6	-	7	No		0.0								0	0	0	1	5	15	26	27	17	7	1	0	0	0	0		0.0		18,803,123	*
54		13	-	5	-	8	No		No								0	0	0	0	1	6	16	26	27	16	6	1	0	0	0	0	0.0		22,715,380	*
53		12	-	7	-	7	No		No									0	0	0	0	1	6	17	27	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0.1		26,845,845	*
52		12	-	6	-	8	No		No										0	0	0	0	2	7	19	28	25	14	4	1	0	0	0.7		31,062,680	*
51		12	-	5	-	9	No		No											0	0	0	0	2	9	21	29	24	11	3	0	0	3.2		35,217,531	*
50		11	-	7	-	8	No		No												0	0	0	1	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	9.8		39,085,650	*
49		11	-	6	-	9	No		No												0	0	0	0	1	5	15	28	29	17	5	0	22.0		42,491,635	*
48		11	-	5	-	10	No		No													0	0	0	0	2	7	20	32	27	11	2	38.8		45,210,155	*
47		10	-	7	-	9	No		No														0	0	0	0	3	12	28	33	20	4	57.2		47,112,340	*
46		10	-	6	-	10	No		No														0	0	0	0	1	6	20	35	29	9	73.3		48,059,338	*
45		10	-	5	-	11	No		No															0	0	0	0	2	12	31	38	16	85.2		47,991,612	*
44		9	-	7	-	10	No		No																0	0	0	1	7	25	42	26	92.6		46,892,733	*
43		9	-	6	-	11	No		No																	0	0	0	3	17	43	37	96.7		44,842,749	*
42		8	-	8	-	10	No		No																	0	0	0	1	11	40	48	98.6		41,948,223	*
41		8	-	7	-	11	No		No																		0	0	0	6	34	59	99.5		38,382,509	*
40		8	-	6	-	12	No		No																		0	0	0	3	28	69	99.8		34,330,321	*
39		7	-	8	-	11	No		No																			0	0	2	21	77	99.9		30,006,535	*
38		7	-	7	-	12	No		No																			0	0	1	16	84	100.0		25,621,122	*
37		7	-	6	-	13	No		No																			0	0	0	11	89	100.0		21,366,016	*
36		6	-	8	-	12	No		No																				0	0	8	92	100.0		17,393,581	*
35		6	-	7	-	13	No		No																				0	0	5	95	100.0		13,803,363	*
34		6	-	6	-	14	No		No																				0	0	3	97	100.0		10,683,302	*
33		5	-	8	-	13	No		No																				0	0	2	98	100.0		8,055,863	*
32		5	-	7	-	14	No		No																					0	1	99	Yes		5,909,297	*
31		5	-	6	-	15	No		No																					0	1	99	Yes		4,217,105	*
30		4	-	8	-	14	No		No																					0	0	100	Yes		2,920,358	*
29		4	-	7	-	15	No		No																					0	0	100	Yes		1,966,548	*
28		4	-	6	-	16	No		No																						0	100	Yes		1,283,333	*
27		4	-	5	-	17	No		No																						0	100	Yes		808,402	*
26		3	-	7	-	16	No		No																						0	100	Yes		491,402	*
25		3	-	6	-	17	No		No																						0	100	Yes		288,999	*
24		3	-	5	-	18	No		No																						0	100	Yes		164,098	*
23		2	-	7	-	17	No		No																						0	100	Yes		88,647	*
22		2	-	6	-	18	No		No																						0	100	Yes		46,001	*
21		2	-	5	-	19	No		No																						0	100	Yes		22,512	*
20		1	-	7	-	18	No		No																						0	100	Yes		10,799	*
10	-19						No		No																							100	Yes		100,307	*

Total:							0.0	%	0.2	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	6	7	9	12	17	29	58.8	%	817,647,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship