"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/8100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Maidenhead United 0 Notts County 4 +2.8
+0.8
Barnet 1 Notts County 4 +2.7
+0.8
Wealdstone 0 Bromley 1 -0.6
-0.1
Wrexham 3 Yeovil Town 0 -0.6
-0.1
Chesterfield 4 King's Lynn Town 1 -0.6
-0.1
Woking 1 Chesterfield 4 -0.5
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 0 Boreham Wood 1 +0.3
+0.1
Hartlepool United 2 Maidenhead United 4 -0.1
-0.1
Torquay United 0 Bromley 0 +0.1
+0.0
Wealdstone 0 Dagenham & Redb 5 -0.1
-0.1
Stockport County 1 Dagenham & Redb 1 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Notts County vs Bromley+2.7+0.1-2.8
+0.8-0.1-0.8
Wrexham vs Notts County-2.6-0.1+2.7
-0.8-0.1+0.8
Chesterfield vs Wealdstone-0.6+0.1+0.5
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Dagenham & Redb vs FC Halifax Town+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Boreham Wood vs Wrexham+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Aldershot Town vs Eastleigh+0.1+0.1-0.1
Eastleigh vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Notts County finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122Count
754-0-0No16.7%2655194,491,470
733-1-0No16.76435112,471,202
723-0-1No16.712573117,840,700
712-2-0No16.715796013,080,811
702-1-1No16.747817137,395,132
692-0-2No16.6523980026,751,422
1-3-0No16.76928306,093,256
681-2-1No16.232452030026,140,818
671-1-2No13.4832411720037,388,426
0-4-0No15.82146285001,063,741
661-0-3No7.1193341151017,825,123
0-3-1No10.031838319106,090,152
650-2-2No2.30113423860013,080,499
640-1-3No0.20123561810012,468,781
630-0-4No0.00547398004,485,863
Total:No13.2%173820141182000236,667,396
Points
Chance Will Win Championship