How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Nottingham Forest vs West Brom+1.2-0.8-1.6
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.6
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Reading vs Sheffield Wedne-0.0+0.1-0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Derby County-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Luton Town vs Middlesbrough-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Swansea City vs Hull City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Millwall vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Wigan Athletic vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brentford vs Birmingham City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Barnsley vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bristol City vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Stoke City vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Preston North End vs Wigan Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Hull City vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Middlesbrough vs Brentford-0.0+0.1-0.0
QPR vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sheffield Wedne vs Barnsley-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Fulham vs Blackburn Rovers-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Millwall-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cardiff City vs Luton Town-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nottingham Forest finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
99-138YesYes100No23,099*
9830-8-899.9%Yes1000No1,170*
9729-10-7YesYes100No2,013*
9629-9-899.9Yes1000No3,332*
9528-11-7100.0Yes1000No5,140*
9428-10-899.9Yes1000No8,226*
9328-9-999.8Yes1000No12,840*
9227-11-899.7Yes1000No19,612*
9127-10-999.5Yes991No29,930*
9027-9-1099.3Yes991No43,942*
8926-11-998.8100.0%9910No64,309*
8826-10-1098.2100.09820No93,685*
8725-12-997.3100.09730No133,666*
8625-11-1096.0100.09640No186,397*
8525-10-1194.299.994600No258,564*
8424-12-1091.799.892800No353,187*
8324-11-1188.399.58811000No475,868*
8224-10-1283.799.08415100No632,400*
8123-12-1177.998.17820200No826,768*
8023-11-1270.696.4712630000No1,068,222*
7922-13-1161.993.562326100No1,358,965*
7822-12-1252.289.15237101000No1,706,566*
7722-11-1341.682.24241153000No2,111,455*
7621-13-1230.972.531422151000No2,580,512*
7521-12-1321.260.22139281020000No3,110,843*
7421-11-1413.045.913333216510000No3,692,467*
7320-13-137.031.372433239200000No4,327,117*
7220-12-143.218.5315292916610000No5,000,103*
7119-14-131.29.11821292412410000No5,699,376*
7019-13-140.33.503122428209310000No6,408,267*
6919-12-150.11.0015152526177200000No7,105,788*
6818-14-140.00.20027172525167200000No7,766,665*
6718-13-150.00.0000281725241562000000No8,376,122*
6618-12-160.00.00000281725241562000000No8,903,815*
6517-14-150.00.00000028172524157200000No9,342,240*
6417-13-16NoNo000027162424167200000No9,652,610*
6317-12-17NoNo0000261523251883100000No9,842,862*
6216-14-16NoNo00000151322251910310000No9,887,616*
6116-13-17NoNo000001412212520114100000.0%9,803,642*
6016-12-18NoNo00001411202521124100000.09,565,698*
5915-14-17NoNo0000131019252213510000.09,216,485*
5815-13-18NoNo000013919262313510000.18,750,686*
5714-15-17NoNo000013102026231341000.98,183,138*
5614-14-18NoNo00001310212722113103.97,537,908*
5514-13-19NoNo00000141223282192011.46,838,642*
5413-15-18NoNo000015142628186124.76,119,293*
5313-14-19NoNo00002719302713242.25,389,345*
5213-13-20NoNo0000311253322660.34,673,942*
5112-15-19NoNo000151833311175.73,994,798*
5012-14-20NoNo000021129381986.63,360,718*
4912-13-21NoNo0001622423093.32,783,512*
4811-15-20NoNo000315414197.02,266,877*
4711-14-21NoNo000110375298.71,817,253*
4611-13-22NoNo0006316299.51,435,412*
4510-15-21NoNo0003257299.81,111,476*
4410-14-22NoNo002197999.9848,419*
4310-13-23NoNo0011485100.0635,514*
429-15-22NoNo001090100.0468,808*
419-14-23NoNo00793100.0340,757*
409-13-24NoNo00595100.0241,726*
398-15-23NoNo0397Yes168,120*
388-14-24NoNo0298Yes115,042*
378-13-25NoNo0199Yes77,796*
367-15-24NoNo0199Yes51,822*
357-14-25NoNo0100Yes32,941*
347-13-26NoNo0100Yes21,087*
336-15-25NoNo0100Yes12,910*
326-14-26NoNo0100Yes7,926*
316-13-27NoNo0100Yes4,698*
306-12-28NoNo0100Yes2,812*
0-29NoNo100Yes24,734*
Total:4.2%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%207,019,696

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship