Norwich Title ChancesDid not play, title odds up 0.008 to 12.1% 10 points 3-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | +2.9 | | +4.9 | | -1.7 | | +1.4 | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | +0.1 | | | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Hull 1 Bristol City 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Watford 0 Blackburn 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Rotherham vs Norwich | -2.6-0.6+4.2 | | -4.1-0.8+6.4 | | +0.4-0.0-0.6 | | -0.7-0.1+1.1 | | Birmingham vs Millwall | -0.3+0.3+0.4 | | -0.4+0.3+0.5 | | | | | | Leicester vs Hull | -0.3+0.3+0.3 | | -0.3+0.4+0.3 | | | | | | Stoke vs Preston | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | | +0.2+0.1-0.5 | | | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | | +0.2+0.1-0.5 | | | | | | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | +0.0+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Coventry vs Watford | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Norwich finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | -136 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,463 | * | 103 | | 28 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,962 | * | 102 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,185 | * | 101 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,348 | * | 100 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,623 | * | 99 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,627 | * | 98 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,229 | * | 97 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,659 | * | 96 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,108 | * | 95 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,399 | * | 94 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,610 | * | 93 | | 24 | - | 11 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,269 | * | 92 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 98.8 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 216,097 | * | 91 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 98.1 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 300,377 | * | 90 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 97.2 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 411,442 | * | 89 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 554,991 | * | 88 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 94.2 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 738,295 | * | 87 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 91.9 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 966,275 | * | 86 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 88.9 | | 99.6 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,241,632 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 12 | - | 9 | 84.9 | | 99.2 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,575,951 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 79.9 | | 98.6 | | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,969,457 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 73.8 | | 97.4 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,421,325 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 66.5 | | 95.4 | | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,933,854 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 58.0 | | 92.3 | | 58 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,499,996 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 48.8 | | 87.6 | | 49 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,113,909 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 39.1 | | 80.8 | | 39 | 42 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,768,707 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 29.5 | | 71.7 | | 30 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,434,445 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 20.8 | | 60.4 | | 21 | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,106,088 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 13.4 | | 47.6 | | 13 | 34 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,755,804 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 7.7 | | 34.2 | | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,368,020 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 13 | - | 12 | 3.9 | | 22.1 | | 4 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,908,354 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 13 | 1.7 | | 12.4 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,364,365 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 0.6 | | 5.9 | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,717,850 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 13 | 0.2 | | 2.2 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,938,289 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.7 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,029,381 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,988,392 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,807,263 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 8,498,311 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 8,067,980 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 7,548,358 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,948,607 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 14 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,293,515 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 5,612,532 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 4,922,306 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 14 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 4,253,090 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,611,013 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,012,161 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 2,475,636 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | | 1,997,441 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | | 1,585,554 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10.1 | | 1,235,675 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 20.9 | | 947,496 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 35.8 | | 713,236 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 52.1 | | 527,724 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 67.4 | | 381,827 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 79.7 | | 272,816 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 40 | 20 | 88.4 | | 190,535 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 93.9 | | 130,844 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 96.9 | | 87,676 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 98.6 | | 57,351 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 58 | 99.3 | | 37,176 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | 99.8 | | 23,391 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 14 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 99.9 | | 14,518 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 99.9 | | 8,570 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 87 | Yes | 5,218 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 14 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 2,970 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 1,621 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 919 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 532 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 252 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 123 | * | 10 | -33 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 18,977 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 12.1 | % | 22.6 | % | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | % | 182,104,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |