North Ferriby United Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50Beat Workington 3-1, title odds up 2.1 to 8.3% 16 points 5-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Solihull Moors 2 North Ferriby U 0 | -2.6 | | -3.7 | | +1.3 | | -0.9 | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | +2.3 | | +3.6 | | -1.9 | | +1.1 | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 | +0.2 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | +0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Worcester City 2 Gainsborough Tr 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Workington 4 Gloucester City 2 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | North Ferriby U vs Altrincham | +3.3-0.8-2.7 | | +4.5-1.0-3.8 | | -1.2+0.1+1.1 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | Barrow vs Histon | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport County | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Worcester City vs Workington | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the North Ferriby U finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | -118 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,176 | * | 94 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.6 | % | 99.6 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 751 | * | 93 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,329 | * | 92 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,199 | * | 91 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,545 | * | 90 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,728 | * | 89 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,330 | * | 88 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,740 | * | 87 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | 99.4 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,104 | * | 86 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 98.8 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,167 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 98.2 | | 98.7 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,313 | * | 84 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 97.5 | | 98.2 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,875 | * | 83 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 96.3 | | 97.2 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,176 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 94.5 | | 95.9 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,076 | * | 81 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 92.4 | | 94.3 | | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,096 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 89.3 | | 92.0 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 260,571 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 85.3 | | 89.0 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 346,818 | * | 78 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 80.4 | | 85.3 | | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 451,748 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 74.0 | | 80.5 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 578,021 | * | 76 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 66.5 | | 74.9 | | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 729,566 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 57.8 | | 68.4 | | 58 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 906,358 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 48.4 | | 61.3 | | 48 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,102,962 | * | 73 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 38.4 | | 53.8 | | 38 | 42 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,323,921 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 28.6 | | 46.5 | | 29 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,561,196 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 19.8 | | 39.8 | | 20 | 40 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,818,507 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 12.4 | | 34.2 | | 12 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,076,012 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 6.9 | | 29.7 | | 7 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,330,308 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 3.3 | | 26.4 | | 3 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,576,801 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 1.4 | | 23.3 | | 1 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,801,000 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.4 | | 19.8 | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,999,097 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 15.3 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,158,539 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 10.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,269,377 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 5.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,328,119 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 2.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,334,987 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,281,623 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,180,482 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,027,497 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,833,632 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 2,603,277 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 2,353,739 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 2,089,808 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,822,318 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 1,562,199 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | | 1,313,977 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4.4 | | 1,083,517 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11.9 | | 877,530 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 24.7 | | 695,997 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 41.6 | | 542,810 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 59.1 | | 412,038 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 74.3 | | 308,595 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 85.6 | | 225,032 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 92.5 | | 160,620 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 37 | 96.6 | | 112,849 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 98.5 | | 77,464 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 99.4 | | 51,150 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 69 | 99.8 | | 33,218 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 21,384 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 13,168 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 7,900 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 4,687 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 2,581 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 1,454 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 796 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 395 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 192 | * | 16 | -30 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 7,438 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.3 | % | 16.2 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.7 | % | 64,319,880 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |