North Ferriby United Title Chances 2013-2014Beat Workington 3-1, title odds up 2.9 to 8.5% 16 points 5-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Solihull Moors 2 North Ferriby U 0 | -2.6 | | -3.5 | | +0.2 | | -0.6 | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | +1.7 | | +2.9 | | -0.3 | | +0.7 | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.6 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1 | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Workington 4 Gloucester City 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Vauxhall Motors 2 Stockport County 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | North Ferriby U vs Altrincham | +2.9-1.1-3.0 | | +4.1-1.4-4.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | | +0.7-0.2-0.8 | | Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town | +0.4+0.2-0.6 | | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | | | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | | | | | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | | -0.4+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | Barrow vs Histon | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the North Ferriby U finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | -118 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,419 | * | 102 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.4 | % | 99.4 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 164 | * | 101 | | 27 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 306 | * | 100 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 531 | * | 98 | -99 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,247 | * | 97 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,548 | * | 96 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,171 | * | 95 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,449 | * | 94 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,582 | * | 93 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.5 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,352 | * | 92 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | 99.4 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,869 | * | 91 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98.9 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,411 | * | 90 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.3 | | 98.7 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,294 | * | 89 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 97.3 | | 98.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,399 | * | 88 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 96.1 | | 97.1 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 228,832 | * | 87 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 94.5 | | 95.9 | | 94 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 329,814 | * | 86 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 92.3 | | 94.2 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 462,593 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 89.3 | | 92.0 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 640,337 | * | 84 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 85.5 | | 89.1 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 866,060 | * | 83 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 80.8 | | 85.6 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,151,421 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 75.1 | | 81.3 | | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,501,652 | * | 81 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 68.3 | | 76.2 | | 68 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,925,125 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 60.6 | | 70.5 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,426,907 | * | 79 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 52.2 | | 64.2 | | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,007,144 | * | 78 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 43.4 | | 57.5 | | 43 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,654,700 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 34.5 | | 50.9 | | 34 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,370,405 | * | 76 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 26.1 | | 44.6 | | 26 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,139,778 | * | 75 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 18.6 | | 39.0 | | 19 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,937,577 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 12.4 | | 34.2 | | 12 | 35 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,747,451 | * | 73 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 7.6 | | 30.5 | | 8 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,535,779 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 4.3 | | 27.7 | | 4 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,280,833 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 2.1 | | 25.5 | | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,941,543 | * | 70 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 1.0 | | 23.4 | | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,498,989 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.4 | | 21.0 | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,919,362 | * | 68 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 17.9 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,183,193 | * | 67 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 14.0 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,282,528 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 9.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,213,439 | * | 65 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 6.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,965,303 | * | 64 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 3.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,561,016 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 1.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 9,026,375 | * | 62 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | No | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 8,369,917 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,628,349 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,832,761 | * | 59 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,010,355 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,198,727 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,419,240 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,684,373 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,017,567 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 2,426,242 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,914,404 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,482,778 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 1,124,598 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 835,913 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | | 610,328 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 | | 437,681 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 18.0 | | 304,490 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 31.7 | | 209,814 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 48.1 | | 140,945 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 63.9 | | 92,076 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 77.5 | | 59,242 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 87.2 | | 36,970 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 27 | 93.6 | | 22,379 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 97.0 | | 13,283 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 98.5 | | 7,758 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 99.3 | | 4,317 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 99.8 | | 2,427 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 1,308 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 82 | Yes | 636 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | Yes | 348 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | 172 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | Yes | 75 | * | 16 | -31 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 22,345 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.5 | % | 19.2 | % | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 197,180,716 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |