Non-League Div One Southern South Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Premier Division South			Chance will finish regular season at seed																						Level 9 Playoff
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Thatcham Town	58	2	18	-	4	-	5	38	99.5	%	+1.1	55.7	%	+13.8	56	32	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									1.6	+0.34	No			3	Thatcham Town

Frome Town	58	1	17	-	7	-	4	30	99.1		+0.0	38.1		-9.5	38	42	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0										1.9	-0.09	No			1	Frome Town
Larkhall Athletic	49	2	14	-	7	-	6	8	69.5		-9.8	2.5		-3.6	3	9	23	19	15	11	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0					4.7	-0.63	No			2	Larkhall Athletic
Winchester City	48	2	14	-	6	-	7	16	62.4		+13.1	2.1		+0.6	2	7	19	18	15	12	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0					5.1	+0.79	No			4	Winchester City
Melksham Town	47	1	14	-	5	-	9	7	40.1		-13.8	0.4		-1.0	0	3	9	13	15	15	14	12	9	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			6.3	-0.75	No			8	Melksham Town

Cirencester Town	45	2	14	-	3	-	10	20	37.3		+11.4	0.4		+0.1	0	2	8	12	14	15	14	12	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			6.5	+0.90	No			7	Cirencester Town
Paulton Rovers	45	2	13	-	6	-	8	17	36.8		-4.4	0.4		-0.5	0	2	8	12	14	14	14	12	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			6.6	-0.23	No			6	Paulton Rovers
Cinderford Town	43	3	13	-	4	-	9	14	31.9		+9.8	0.4		+0.1	0	2	7	10	12	13	13	13	11	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		7.0	+0.90	No		-0.0	5	Cinderford Town
Sholing	38	4	12	-	2	-	11	8	12.3		-2.5	0.0		-0.1	0	0	2	4	6	8	9	12	14	14	11	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	9.1	-0.21	0.0	%	-0.0	10	Sholing
Evesham United	41	1	11	-	8	-	9	2	5.6		-2.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	11	15	17	15	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	9.7	-0.21	0.0			9	Evesham United
Slimbridge	35	3	11	-	2	-	13	1	1.9		-2.4	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	12	15	16	14	10	6	4	2	1	0	0	11.6	-0.74	0.0			13	Slimbridge
Willand Rovers	32	5	10	-	2	-	12	-5	2.5		-0.9	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	11	13	15	14	10	7	5	3	1	0	0	11.7	-0.14	0.0		-0.0	11	Willand Rovers
Bideford	37	1	10	-	7	-	11	-1	1.0		+0.4	0.0			0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	10	15	18	17	12	7	4	2	1	0	0	12.0	+0.99	0.0		-0.0	12	Bideford
Highworth Town	32	1	8	-	8	-	12	-4	0.0		-0.1	No				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	12	17	18	16	12	7	1	0	14.6	-0.55	0.1		+0.0	18	Highworth Town
Bristol Manor F	30	2	8	-	6	-	13	-13	0.0		-0.0	No		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	15	17	17	15	10	2	0	15.0	-0.06	0.3		-0.1	15	Bristol Manor Farm
Totton	29	2	7	-	8	-	12	-14	0.0		-0.1	No		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	16	18	18	14	3	1	15.5	-0.54	0.5		+0.2	16	Totton
Moneyfields	25	4	6	-	7	-	12	-15	0.0		+0.0	No				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	16	19	19	7	1	16.0	+0.77	1.5		-2.2	14	Moneyfields
Mangotsfield	29		8	-	5	-	16	-17	0.0		-0.0	No							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	11	16	22	29	8	1	16.7	-0.46	1.2		+0.4	17	Mangotsfield
Basingstoke Town	19	2	5	-	4	-	18	-44	Out			No									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	12	49	31	19.0	-0.05	30.7		-0.1	19	Basingstoke Town

Barnstaple Town	16	2	5	-	1	-	21	-48	Out			No												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	28	66	19.6	-0.04	65.7		+1.8	20	Barnstaple Town

Week of 3/7
Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Frome Town			-0.5
Larkhall Athletic	-1.3
Winchester City	+13.2		+1.2				+0.8
Melksham Town	-2.1
Cirencester Town	-1.6
Paulton Rovers	-1.9
Cinderford Town	-1.4
Sholing	-1.0
Evesham United	-0.7
Slimbridge	-2.6						-0.8

Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			+1.1
Frome Town			+1.2
Larkhall Athletic	-9.3		-2.9				-0.6
Winchester City	-0.6
Melksham Town	-0.6
Cirencester Town	+12.1		+0.3				+0.9
Paulton Rovers	-0.6

Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	+1.3
Winchester City	+1.9
Melksham Town	-11.3		-0.8				-0.7
Cirencester Town	+1.5
Paulton Rovers	+1.9
Cinderford Town	+1.4
Sholing	+1.0
Evesham United	+0.7
Slimbridge	+0.4
Bideford	+0.6						+0.9

Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	-1.2
Winchester City	-1.7
Melksham Town	-1.8
Cirencester Town	-1.3
Paulton Rovers	-1.6
Cinderford Town	+9.8		+0.2				+0.9
Sholing	-0.7
Evesham United	-0.6
Totton					+0.3		-0.6

Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			+1.9
Frome Town	+0.2		-2.1				-0.0
Larkhall Athletic	+0.3		+0.4
Winchester City	+0.5
Melksham Town	+0.5
Cirencester Town	+0.4
Paulton Rovers	-2.9		-0.3				-0.2
Cinderford Town	+0.3
Sholing	+0.3

Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	+0.3
Winchester City	+0.3
Melksham Town	+0.3
Cirencester Town	+0.2
Paulton Rovers	+0.4
Cinderford Town	+0.2
Sholing	-2.0				No		-0.2
Moneyfields					-0.3
Basingstoke Town					-1.8
Barnstaple Town					+2.4

Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	+0.2
Winchester City	+0.3
Melksham Town	+0.3
Cirencester Town	+0.2
Paulton Rovers	+0.3
Cinderford Town	+0.2
Evesham United	-1.6						-0.2
Bristol Manor F							-0.2

Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town	+1.2		+10.9				+0.3
Frome Town			-8.1
Larkhall Athletic			-1.6
Mangotsfield	Out				+0.6		-0.5

Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Willand Rovers	-0.7						-0.2
Basingstoke Town					+1.5		-0.1
Barnstaple Town					-1.2

Moneyfields 1 Highworth Town 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Highworth Town							-0.7
Moneyfields					-2.0		+0.6
Basingstoke Town					+0.6
Barnstaple Town					+1.1

Cinderford Town vs SholingIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cinderford Town	44.729.121.3		0.70.20.1				6.07.17.8
Sholing	6.510.419.7						9.99.28.1

Mangotsfield vs Cirencester TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cirencester Town	26.534.250.6		0.10.20.8				7.36.75.7
Mangotsfield					0.31.22.1		16.116.817.1

Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town	99.199.699.9		46.353.666.7				1.81.71.4
Frome Town			45.539.829.3				1.81.92.0
Basingstoke Town					21.032.339.2		18.719.119.2
Barnstaple Town					74.364.458.1		19.719.519.5

Week of 3/14
Winchester City vs Cirencester TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	76.860.849.3		3.71.50.9				4.35.15.8
Cirencester Town	24.334.452.6		0.10.20.8				7.36.75.6

Sholing vs Paulton RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Paulton Rovers	25.134.050.9		0.10.20.8				7.46.75.7
Sholing	19.810.46.3						8.19.29.9

Totton vs Melksham TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Melksham Town	28.736.953.9		0.10.20.9				7.06.55.5
Totton					0.10.50.9		14.715.616.0

Willand Rovers vs Cirencester TownHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cirencester Town	26.234.350.8		0.10.20.8				7.36.75.7
Willand Rovers	4.61.80.9						10.811.912.5

Paulton Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Paulton Rovers	50.233.925.9		0.80.20.1				5.76.77.3
Slimbridge	0.61.33.7						12.311.810.6

Winchester City vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Winchester City	74.960.251.7		3.71.50.9				4.35.25.7
Basingstoke Town					23.328.739.8		18.919.019.1
Barnstaple Town					74.568.254.8		19.719.619.4

Bideford vs Cinderford TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Cinderford Town	22.029.044.1		0.10.20.7				7.77.16.1
Bideford	2.10.60.2				No0.00.0		11.112.112.7

Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Larkhall Athletic	81.167.659.5		4.51.91.1				4.04.85.2
Basingstoke Town					23.228.839.8		18.919.019.1
Barnstaple Town					74.668.154.8		19.719.619.4

Moneyfields vs SholingHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Sholing	7.210.418.9						9.89.28.2
Moneyfields					0.5*1.52.4		15.316.116.6

Thatcham Town vs Evesham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town	99.999.699.0		66.853.646.2				1.41.71.8
Frome Town			29.239.845.6				2.01.91.8
Evesham United	2.44.29.9		No0.00.0				10.59.98.8

Willand Rovers vs SlimbridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Slimbridge	0.71.33.6						12.411.710.6
Willand Rovers	4.41.91.1						10.811.912.6

Frome Town vs MoneyfieldsHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Thatcham Town			46.657.763.0				1.71.61.5
Frome Town	99.899.298.4		49.035.729.1				1.72.02.2
Moneyfields					2.4*1.50.5		16.516.115.3

Bristol Manor F vs Basingstoke TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol Manor F					0.00.20.6		14.215.215.6
Basingstoke Town					39.232.320.9		19.219.118.7
Barnstaple Town					58.364.374.2		19.519.519.6

Highworth Town vs MangotsfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Premier Division South	100.0*	Level 9 Playoff	100.0*	Average seed
Highworth Town					0.00.10.2		13.814.715.3
Mangotsfield					2.11.20.3		17.216.816.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Non-League Div One Southern South Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

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