"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Hyde 0 Newport County 1 +4.3
+4.6
+0.4
Wrexham 1 Alfreton Town 1 +1.3
+1.0
+0.0
Kidderminster 3 Ebbsfleet 2 -0.4
-0.4
-0.1
Mansfield Town 1 AFC Telford 0 -0.4
-0.5
-0.1
Cambridge 0 Forest Green 0 +0.2
+0.0
Hereford United 0 Nuneaton Town 0 +0.1
Stockport 0 Luton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Hereford United vs Newport County-5.6-2.1+6.8
-5.3-1.7+6.3
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Wrexham vs Ebbsfleet-1.4+1.6+3.0
-1.1+1.3+2.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Gateshead vs Kidderminster+1.1+0.6-0.9
+1.0+0.4-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Woking vs Mansfield Town+0.9+0.4-0.9
+0.8+0.3-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Luton Town+0.1*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Gateshead vs Newport County-5.9-2.6+6.2
-5.6-2.2+5.7
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Ebbsfleet vs Newport County-6.3-3.0+5.4
-6.0-2.6+5.1
-0.5-0.2+0.4
Dartford vs Wrexham+2.5+1.0-2.1
+1.9+0.8-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Lincoln City vs Wrexham+2.6+1.2-1.9
+2.0+0.9-1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mansfield Town vs Grimsby Town+0.5+1.0-1.2
+0.3+0.8-0.8
Grimsby Town vs Kidderminster-0.8+1.1+0.2
-0.6+0.9+0.2
Mansfield Town vs Stockport-0.7+0.6+1.0
-0.6+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Southport vs Forest Green+0.6+0.2-0.6
Forest Green vs Barrow-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Luton Town vs Hyde-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newport County finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
102-104YesYes100No1,729*
10113-0-199.8%99.8%1000No617
10012-2-0YesYes100No1,980
9912-1-199.799.81000No5,167
9811-3-099.699.71000No8,300*
9711-2-199.099.39910No19,205
9611-1-297.898.49820No32,699*
9510-3-196.197.19640No54,380*
9410-2-292.894.69370No92,860*
9310-1-387.790.888120No136,480*
929-3-281.085.7811810No201,496*
919-2-371.278.4712620No286,080*
908-4-259.869.96035500No373,930*
898-3-347.060.247421010No483,574*
888-2-432.549.433461920No359,351
7-5-235.751.836461720No236,071*
877-4-322.642.0234627500No477,913
8-1-521.040.821452850No215,062*
867-3-412.834.61340361010No788,607*
857-2-56.129.5629422030No430,222
6-5-37.130.3731411820No425,237*
846-4-42.927.2320422960No623,566
7-1-62.827.0320422960No262,519*
836-3-51.025.611136391300No609,504
5-6-31.225.811237371200No285,238*
825-5-40.424.90628442110No455,843
6-2-60.324.90526442310No403,192*
815-4-50.124.20217433330No553,799
6-1-70.124.20217433340No238,161*
805-3-60.023.0019374580No444,712
4-6-40.023.20110384370No258,177*
794-5-50.021.400529521400No367,551*
5-2-7No21.20427531500No230,630
784-4-60.018.900219552310No486,387*
774-3-70.015.7001115134300No380,347*
763-5-6No12.20054344700No282,582*
753-4-7No8.800233511310No201,815*
743-3-8No5.70122532230No137,143*
732-5-7No3.200134831710No87,569*
722-4-8No1.60639391420No52,810*
712-3-9No0.703274123510No30,641*
701-5-8No0.3011537321220No16,328*
691-4-9No0.107263722610No8,230*
681-3-10NoNo031632311520No3,677*
671-2-11NoNo17233525810No1,506*
660-4-10NoNo031329331940No596*
650-3-11NoNo03233127113No210*
640-2-12NoNo28262921115No66
630-1-13NoNo255025No8
620-0-14NoNo021330331841No1,145
Total:15.3%34.2%151820201871000000000No11,054,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship