Newport County Title ChancesBeat Hyde 1-0, title odds up 5.5 to 15.3% 62 points 19-5-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | Hyde 0 Newport County 1 | +4.3 | | +4.6 | | +0.4 | | | Wrexham 1 Alfreton Town 1 | +1.3 | | +1.0 | | +0.0 | | | Kidderminster 3 Ebbsfleet 2 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | Mansfield Town 1 AFC Telford 0 | -0.4 | | -0.5 | | -0.1 | | | Cambridge 0 Forest Green 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | | Hereford United 0 Nuneaton Town 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | Stockport 0 Luton Town 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Hereford United vs Newport County | -5.6-2.1+6.8 | | -5.3-1.7+6.3 | | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | | | Wrexham vs Ebbsfleet | -1.4+1.6+3.0 | | -1.1+1.3+2.3 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | Gateshead vs Kidderminster | +1.1+0.6-0.9 | | +1.0+0.4-0.8 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Woking vs Mansfield Town | +0.9+0.4-0.9 | | +0.8+0.3-0.8 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Nuneaton Town vs Luton Town | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | Gateshead vs Newport County | -5.9-2.6+6.2 | | -5.6-2.2+5.7 | | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | | | Ebbsfleet vs Newport County | -6.3-3.0+5.4 | | -6.0-2.6+5.1 | | -0.5-0.2+0.4 | | | Dartford vs Wrexham | +2.5+1.0-2.1 | | +1.9+0.8-1.6 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Lincoln City vs Wrexham | +2.6+1.2-1.9 | | +2.0+0.9-1.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Mansfield Town vs Grimsby Town | +0.5+1.0-1.2 | | +0.3+0.8-0.8 | | | | | Grimsby Town vs Kidderminster | -0.8+1.1+0.2 | | -0.6+0.9+0.2 | | | | | Mansfield Town vs Stockport | -0.7+0.6+1.0 | | -0.6+0.5+1.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | Southport vs Forest Green | | | +0.6+0.2-0.6 | | | | | Forest Green vs Barrow | | | -0.4+0.4+0.7 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Luton Town vs Hyde | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Newport County finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | -104 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,729 | * | | 101 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 617 | | | 100 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,980 | | | 99 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,167 | | | 98 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,300 | * | | 97 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.0 | | 99.3 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,205 | | | 96 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 97.8 | | 98.4 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,699 | * | | 95 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96.1 | | 97.1 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,380 | * | | 94 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 92.8 | | 94.6 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,860 | * | | 93 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 87.7 | | 90.8 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 136,480 | * | | 92 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 81.0 | | 85.7 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201,496 | * | | 91 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 71.2 | | 78.4 | | 71 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 286,080 | * | | 90 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 59.8 | | 69.9 | | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 373,930 | * | | 89 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 47.0 | | 60.2 | | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 483,574 | * | | 88 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 32.5 | | 49.4 | | 33 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 359,351 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 35.7 | | 51.8 | | 36 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 236,071 | * | | 87 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 22.6 | | 42.0 | | 23 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 477,913 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 21.0 | | 40.8 | | 21 | 45 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 215,062 | * | | 86 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 12.8 | | 34.6 | | 13 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 788,607 | * | | 85 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 6.1 | | 29.5 | | 6 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 430,222 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 7.1 | | 30.3 | | 7 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 425,237 | * | | 84 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2.9 | | 27.2 | | 3 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 623,566 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.8 | | 27.0 | | 3 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 262,519 | * | | 83 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 1.0 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 609,504 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 1.2 | | 25.8 | | 1 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 285,238 | * | | 82 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 455,843 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.3 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 403,192 | * | | 81 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 24.2 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 33 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 553,799 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 24.2 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 238,161 | * | | 80 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 23.0 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 45 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 444,712 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 23.2 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 43 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 258,177 | * | | 79 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 21.4 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367,551 | * | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 21.2 | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230,630 | | | 78 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 18.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 486,387 | * | | 77 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 15.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 380,347 | * | | 76 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 12.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 282,582 | * | | 75 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 8.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 201,815 | * | | 74 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 5.7 | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 53 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,143 | * | | 73 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 3.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,569 | * | | 72 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 1.6 | | | | | 0 | 6 | 39 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 52,810 | * | | 71 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,641 | * | | 70 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,328 | * | | 69 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,230 | * | | 68 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,677 | * | | 67 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,506 | * | | 66 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 596 | * | | 65 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 31 | 27 | 11 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 210 | * | | 64 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 11 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66 | | | 63 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 50 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8 | | | 62 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,145 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 15.3 | % | 34.2 | % | 15 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 11,054,912 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. |