How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.4
-2.3
+6.0
-0.9
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 *-0.1
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.1
-0.5
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.1
-0.3
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.2
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.2-0.1+0.3
-1.6-0.6+2.0
+6.6+1.3-7.4
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.4*-0.0+0.4
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5*-0.1-0.5
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.6*-0.2-0.5
Arsenal vs Everton-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Fulham vs Watford+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.1-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newcastle United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
79-100YesYes100No320*
7824-5-493.3%Yes937No15*
7723-7-3YesYes100No41*
7623-6-498.6Yes991No70*
7523-5-590.3Yes9010No93*
7422-7-491.0Yes919No177*
7322-6-591.4Yes9180No290*
7222-5-683.5Yes84161No425*
7121-7-576.3Yes76212No666*
7021-6-668.8Yes692830No1,022*
6921-5-760.1Yes603360No1,582*
6820-7-651.399.9%5139810No2,236*
6720-6-742.099.9424115200No3,277*
6620-5-831.999.632432040No4,677*
6519-7-722.698.8234227810No6,430*
6419-6-814.296.714353314300No8,556*
6318-8-78.392.98283521610No11,949*
6218-7-83.785.6419342811300No15,580*
6118-6-91.671.92112732207100No20,012*
6017-8-80.554.205183128134100No25,815*
5917-7-90.134.702923312210200No31,633*
5817-6-100.017.5004132729187100No38,783*
5716-8-90.06.90016172827155100No47,251*
5616-7-10No1.900282029251341000No56,231*
5515-9-9No0.300210222923113000No65,537*
5415-8-10No0.000031123292192000No76,116*
5315-7-11No0.000141224282082000No84,976*
5214-9-10NoNo00141326281982000No95,042*
5114-8-11NoNo001515262818610000.0%103,521*
5014-7-12NoNo00151627271661000.0111,553*
4913-9-11NoNo000171828261451000.1117,272*
4813-8-12NoNo000282029251230000.5121,922*
4713-7-13NoNo000310223023102002.4124,987*
4612-9-12NoNo0014132630197107.8125,963*
4512-8-13NoNo0016172928144018.3124,859*
4412-7-14NoNo00292332249134.0120,652*
4311-9-13NoNo01414303216351.6115,391*
4211-8-14NoNo0017223526768.6107,748*
4111-7-15NoNo00031533351381.399,597*
4010-9-14NoNo001928412190.090,223*
3910-8-15NoNo00420433295.180,500*
3810-7-16NoNo00214414297.770,098*
379-9-15NoNo019375399.160,222*
369-8-16NoNo005326399.750,103*
359-7-17NoNo03257299.941,970*
348-9-16NoNo011979100.033,679*
338-8-17NoNo011485100.026,795*
328-7-18NoNo01090Yes20,763*
317-9-17NoNo0793Yes16,144*
307-8-18NoNo0595Yes11,744*
296-10-17NoNo0397Yes8,516*
286-9-18NoNo298Yes6,204*
276-8-19NoNo199Yes4,361*
266-7-20NoNo199Yes2,951*
255-9-19NoNo0100Yes1,891*
245-8-20NoNo0100Yes1,235*
235-7-21NoNo0100Yes803*
1-22NoNo100Yes1,451*
Total:0.5%4.4%1112223344556678810111333.6%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship