"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Millwall 2 Middlesbrough 1 -0.5
+0.7
Sunderland 1 Fulham 0 +0.1
Bolton Wanderers 0 Burton Albion 1 -0.1
Birmingham City 1 QPR 2 -0.1
Cardiff City 1 Hull City 0 +0.0
Sheffield Wedne 0 Wolverhampton 1 +0.1
Bristol City 2 Nottingham Forest 1 +0.0
Leeds United 1 Norwich City 0 +0.0
Reading 2 Cardiff City 2 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Derby County vs Millwall-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.4+0.1+1.1
Wolverhampton vs Ipswich Town+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City+0.1+0.0-0.0
QPR vs Bristol City-0.1+0.0+0.0
Reading vs Burton Albion-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Millwall finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
9824-0-079.7%99.5%80201No272,306
9623-1-066.7Yes6733No3
9523-0-1YesYes100No1
9422-2-033.3Yes3367No9
9322-1-128.696.429684No28
9221-3-039.079.2394021No77*
9121-2-124.178.02454220No241
9021-1-219.171.61952272No591*
8920-3-111.965.512543130No1,532*
8820-2-28.152.68444160No3,597*
8719-4-15.141.853747101No7,911*
8619-3-22.632.132951151No17,260*
8519-2-31.422.9121522230No35,911*
8418-4-20.715.51154930500No71,720*
8318-3-30.39.60943371010No139,080*
8217-5-20.15.405354216200No258,562*
8117-4-30.02.803264423400No468,377*
8017-3-40.01.3011841318100No817,660*
7916-5-30.00.501113537142000No1,381,383*
7816-4-40.00.20062740225100No2,275,800*
7715-6-30.00.1003183830102000No3,631,215*
7615-5-4No0.001113235174000No5,625,546*
7515-4-5No0.000623362581000No8,484,985*
7414-6-4No0.0002153332153000No12,432,220*
7314-5-5No0.0001825342381000No17,717,867*
7214-4-6No0.00004163230143000No24,622,350*
7113-6-5NoNo001925332381000No33,277,828*
7013-5-6NoNo00041631301530000No43,827,074*
6912-7-5NoNo0001924332381000No56,263,712*
6812-6-6NoNo00041530311640000No70,357,132*
6712-5-7NoNo0001823332492000No85,823,231*
6611-7-6NoNo000031430321741000No102,034,895*
6511-6-7NoNo00017213326102000No118,247,346*
6411-5-8NoNo000031228321851000No133,627,272*
6310-7-7NoNo000162032271230000No147,219,237*
6210-6-8NoNo000021126322071000No158,159,944*
6110-5-9NoNo000151731291430000No165,656,452*
609-7-8NoNo0002924322381000No169,116,745*
599-6-9NoNo00004153030164100No168,311,846*
588-8-8NoNo00018223225102000No163,236,322*
578-7-9NoNo00003132832185100No154,201,949*
568-6-10NoNo000162033271120000.0%141,896,047*
557-8-9NoNo00031228331950000.0127,155,071*
547-7-10NoNo00016203428101000.0110,880,853*
537-6-11NoNo00021229341840000.094,068,094*
526-8-10NoNo00001621362881000.077,583,108*
516-7-11NoNo0002133235152000.062,211,407*
506-6-12NoNo000172439245000.248,426,755*
495-8-11NoNo0003163833100000.536,596,690*
485-7-12NoNo00193240171001.426,800,641*
475-6-13NoNo00052343263003.319,021,844*
464-8-12NoNo00021541357007.013,065,153*
454-7-13NoNo00193543121012.98,679,560*
444-6-14NoNo0052747192021.65,559,892*
433-8-13NoNo0021847285032.83,431,425*
423-7-14NoNo0011142369145.72,038,372*
413-6-15NoNo006354215258.91,162,795*
403-5-16NoNo003264423471.2634,735*
392-7-15NoNo01174332781.3330,728*
382-6-16NoNo001137391288.9164,299*
372-5-17NoNo00630451994.076,856*
361-7-16NoNo0321472997.134,303*
351-6-17NoNo0115453998.714,107*
341-5-18NoNo09405199.65,599*
331-4-19NoNo05326299.91,956*
320-6-18NoNo12673Yes616*
310-5-19NoNo02179Yes202*
300-4-20NoNo793Yes45*
28-29NoNo100Yes12*
260-0-24NoNo0100Yes272,306
Total:0.0%0.0%00000123468910111110975310000.3%2,627,740,688

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship