How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 0 Middlesbrough 2 +4.7
+7.7
-1.2
+1.3
Reading 0 Bolton 1 -0.2
-0.3
Leeds 2 Rotherham 0 -0.2
-0.2
Brentford 2 Sheffield Wed 0 -0.2
-0.2
Hull City 0 Blackburn 1 -0.1
-0.2
Ipswich 1 Aston Villa 1 *+0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Wigan 2 Nottingham 2 *+0.1
*+0.1
Preston 2 Stoke 2 +0.2
West Brom 7 QPR 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Swansea vs Leeds+0.0+0.3-0.5
-0.0+0.3-0.3
Bolton vs Birmingham-0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.4
Aston Villa vs Brentford*+0.0+0.2-0.3
-0.0+0.3-0.2
Blackburn vs Reading-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.4
Sheffield Wed vs Millwall+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.4
Norwich vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Stoke vs Wigan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
QPR vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Derby vs Ipswich-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rotherham vs Hull City-0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs West Brom+3.4-2.6-5.6
+4.8-3.6-8.2
-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.6-0.4-1.1
Norwich vs Leeds+0.5+0.1-0.9
+0.4+0.1-0.7
Swansea vs Bristol City-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.4+0.3+0.5
Aston Villa vs Reading-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Blackburn vs Brentford+0.1+0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.2-0.4
Bolton vs Sheffield Utd-0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.2+0.3+0.3
Rotherham vs Millwall+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Nottingham vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
QPR vs Wigan+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.3
Derby vs Preston+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Sheffield Wed vs Ipswich*+0.0+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stoke vs Hull City-0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
109-136YesYes100No20,623*
10831-5-699.9%Yes1000No769*
10730-7-599.9Yes1000No1,349*
105-106YesYes100No5,888*
10429-7-6100.0Yes1000No6,162*
10329-6-7100.0Yes1000No9,919*
10228-8-6100.0Yes1000No15,456*
10128-7-799.9Yes1000No24,558*
10028-6-899.9Yes1000No36,947*
9927-8-799.8Yes1000No55,782*
9827-7-899.8Yes1000No82,549*
9726-9-799.7Yes1000No119,433*
9626-8-899.7100.0%10000No171,354*
9526-7-999.5Yes991No241,326*
9425-9-899.3100.09910No333,653*
9325-8-998.9100.09910No454,613*
9225-7-1098.3100.09820No609,716*
9124-9-997.6100.098200No803,921*
9024-8-1096.5100.096300No1,046,660*
8923-10-995.099.995500No1,341,516*
8823-9-1092.999.993700No1,693,802*
8723-8-1190.299.890900No2,102,940*
8622-10-1086.699.58713100No2,573,965*
8522-9-1182.199.18217100No3,105,675*
8422-8-1276.498.47621200No3,688,765*
8321-10-1169.697.270274000No4,316,924*
8221-9-1261.595.262326000No4,978,337*
8120-11-1152.792.2533791000No5,654,113*
8020-10-1243.287.843411420000No6,333,383*
7920-9-1333.581.734421941000No6,987,312*
7819-11-1224.474.0244126810000No7,595,447*
7719-10-1316.464.81637311330000No8,137,503*
7619-9-1410.054.81030341961000No8,590,677*
7518-11-135.445.252233261130000No8,939,950*
7418-10-142.536.8314283018610000No9,160,713*
7318-9-151.030.2172130251241000No9,245,426*
7217-11-140.325.003132529198200000No9,208,597*
7117-10-150.120.201617272615610000No9,033,198*
7016-12-140.015.0002920272312410000No8,724,812*
6916-11-150.09.50014112227211031000No8,297,164*
6816-10-160.04.800015132426199310000No7,782,846*
6715-12-15No1.800016152426188200000No7,189,575*
6615-11-16No0.4000026152425177200000No6,543,155*
6515-10-17No0.1000027162525177200000No5,861,160*
6414-12-16No0.0000027162525167200000No5,171,183*
6314-11-17No0.0000002716252516720000No4,493,013*
6214-10-18No0.000002716252516720000No3,840,959*
6113-12-17NoNo000027162525167200000.0%3,238,901*
6013-11-18NoNo00027162525167200000.02,684,655*
5913-10-19NoNo00002717252515610000.02,190,789*
5812-12-18NoNo00002818262414510000.11,757,808*
5712-11-19NoNo0001392027231341000.81,391,934*
5612-10-20NoNo0001311222822103003.31,080,496*
5511-12-19NoNo00015132528197109.1826,945*
5411-11-20NoNo00027172827154019.7620,557*
5311-10-21NoNo0003102230249134.5459,615*
5210-12-20NoNo0001515283117451.2332,740*
5110-11-21NoNo00028233425766.9238,363*
5010-10-22NoNo00141633341379.6166,974*
499-12-21NoNo00021027402188.5114,918*
489-11-22NoNo001521423194.177,741*
479-10-23NoNo00315414197.251,711*
468-12-22NoNo00110375298.733,489*
458-11-23NoNo006326299.621,477*
448-10-24NoNo004267099.813,390*
437-12-23NoNo02217799.98,300*
427-11-24NoNo011683100.04,913*
417-10-25NoNo001288100.02,961*
406-12-24NoNo0892Yes1,688*
396-11-25NoNo793Yes955*
386-10-26NoNo397Yes508*
375-12-25NoNo397Yes281*
365-11-26NoNo298Yes146*
355-10-27NoNo496Yes84*
10-34NoNo100Yes19,753*
Total:18.6%40.2%1913119765543332221111100000.6%189,974,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship