"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 3 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.2
Everton 1 Stoke City 0 -0.1
-0.3
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 1 +0.1
+0.2
Hull City 0 Manchester United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Southampton 1 Sunderland 1 +0.1
-0.1
Crystal Palace 1 Bournemouth 1 +0.1
-0.1
Watford 1 Arsenal 3 -0.1
Leicester City 2 Swansea City 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
West Brom vs Middlesbrough-1.7-0.6+2.0
-5.4-1.5+6.4
+2.5+0.3-2.6
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Manchester City vs West Ham-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-112YesYes100No2,140*
8324-7-599.8%Yes1000No489*
8224-6-699.6Yes1000No771*
8123-8-599.6Yes1000No1,283*
8023-7-699.0Yes991No2,084*
7922-9-598.4Yes982No3,014*
7822-8-698.3Yes9820No4,721*
7722-7-797.2Yes9730No7,022*
7621-9-695.8Yes9640No10,148*
7521-8-794.1Yes9460No14,580*
7421-7-891.3Yes9190No20,200*
7320-9-787.8Yes881200No28,245*
7220-8-883.3Yes831610No38,156*
7119-10-778.0Yes782020No50,920*
7019-9-870.6100.0%7126300No67,154*
6919-8-963.0100.06332500No86,543*
6818-10-854.1100.05437810No110,734*
6718-9-944.399.944411320No137,787*
6618-8-1034.199.6344319400No170,183*
6517-10-924.999.12542257100No206,252*
6417-9-1016.697.717383112200No245,756*
6316-11-910.094.6103135185100No287,744*
6216-10-105.388.5523352592000No333,409*
6116-9-112.478.22143031165100No379,524*
6015-11-100.963.518233224102000No423,545*
5915-10-110.345.103142830186100No466,547*
5815-9-120.127.2017193026134100No505,146*
5714-11-110.013.00021024302292000No539,161*
5614-10-120.04.700141426281871000No566,229*
5514-9-13No1.200161728271551000No583,777*
5413-11-12No0.2000281929251341000No593,036*
5313-10-13No0.000029212923113100No590,886*
5212-12-12No0.000003112329221030000No580,219*
5112-11-13NoNo00141224282082000No562,793*
5012-10-14NoNo0014142528197200No533,723*
4911-12-13NoNo001515272717610000.0%500,038*
4811-11-14NoNo000161728261551000.1458,468*
4711-10-15NoNo000281929251341000.5415,456*
4610-12-14NoNo000310222923102002.5368,061*
4510-11-15NoNo0014132629197107.8320,689*
4410-10-16NoNo00016182928144018.1275,014*
439-12-15NoNo000292332249133.3231,013*
429-11-16NoNo001415303216351.0190,285*
419-10-17NoNo00018233526767.6154,920*
408-12-16NoNo00041533351380.8123,471*
398-11-17NoNo001928412189.796,258*
388-10-18NoNo00521433194.973,602*
377-12-17NoNo00214414397.754,966*
367-11-18NoNo0019375399.040,590*
357-10-19NoNo005316499.629,006*
346-12-18NoNo003257299.920,334*
336-11-19NoNo0011980100.014,060*
326-10-20NoNo011486100.09,538*
315-12-19NoNo0991Yes6,248*
305-11-20NoNo0694Yes3,995*
295-10-21NoNo0496Yes2,512*
285-9-22NoNo298Yes1,516*
274-11-21NoNo298Yes888*
264-10-22NoNo199Yes507*
253-12-21NoNo199Yes263*
243-11-22NoNo199Yes148*
4-23NoNo100Yes1,593*
Total:5.1%24.1%566777666655554433227.0%11,547,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship