"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough 1 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.2
-1.6
+3.6
-0.7
Swansea City 1 Manchester City 3 -0.1
-0.3
+0.0
Bournemouth 1 Everton 0 +0.2
+0.7
Liverpool 5 Hull City 1 -0.1
-0.1
Sunderland 2 Crystal Palace 3 -0.1
-0.3
Burnley 2 Watford 0 +0.1
+0.5
Manchester United 4 Leicester City 1 -0.1
-0.1
Stoke City 1 West Brom 1 -0.1
West Ham 0 Southampton 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
West Ham vs Middlesbrough-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.9-0.4+1.1
+6.3+1.0-6.4
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Burnley vs Arsenal+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5*-0.0-0.3
Swansea City vs Liverpool+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.0-0.5
Everton vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Manchester United vs Stoke City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
Hull City vs Chelsea+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Sunderland vs West Brom+0.7-0.1-0.4
Leicester City vs Southampton+0.2-0.1-0.1
Watford vs Bournemouth-0.2-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
84-101YesYes100No19,638*
8325-3-496.3%Yes964No27*
8224-5-397.6Yes982No42*
8124-4-496.5Yes973No86*
8023-6-395.6Yes964No180*
7923-5-495.9Yes964No290*
7822-7-394.1Yes9460No561*
7722-6-489.1Yes89101No1,072*
7622-5-586.6Yes87130No1,834*
7521-7-482.3Yes821710No3,241*
7421-6-576.1Yes762220No5,710*
7321-5-668.1100.0%6828300No9,734*
7220-7-559.9Yes603460No15,613*
7120-6-651.1100.05139910No25,550*
7019-8-542.599.943431320No39,887*
6919-7-632.899.7334419300No61,401*
6819-6-724.099.3244426610No93,370*
6718-8-616.498.216403111200No140,121*
6618-7-710.396.010333617400No204,513*
6517-9-65.891.762637247100No292,511*
6417-8-72.984.6317343012300No411,787*
6317-7-81.373.71112834206100No568,558*
6216-9-70.559.305203327112000No772,178*
6116-8-80.243.102122832196100No1,030,312*
6016-7-90.027.4016203226113000No1,346,045*
5915-9-80.014.70031227311961000No1,729,246*
5815-8-90.06.60016183127133000No2,186,735*
5715-7-100.02.300021024312282000No2,705,986*
5614-9-9No0.600141529291651000No3,295,615*
5514-8-10No0.100017213125113000No3,940,721*
5413-10-9No0.000031125312082000No4,632,104*
5313-9-10No0.00015162928165100No5,339,552*
5213-8-11No0.0000182130251130000No6,046,575*
5112-10-10No0.0000031125302182000No6,727,576*
5012-9-11NoNo0001515282916510000.0%7,357,809*
4912-8-12NoNo000172030261230000.07,881,192*
4811-10-11NoNo0000311243022820000.08,306,174*
4711-9-12NoNo0001415282917510000.18,584,694*
4611-8-13NoNo0000172030261230000.38,717,242*
4510-10-12NoNo00031125312181001.48,672,926*
4410-9-13NoNo00015163029154004.38,466,222*
4310-8-14NoNo0002823322491010.68,120,430*
429-10-13NoNo0004142931174021.07,628,593*
419-9-14NoNo000172234269135.27,021,167*
409-8-15NoNo000314313316251.26,344,856*
398-10-14NoNo00018253724566.55,618,387*
388-9-15NoNo00041736331079.04,867,037*
378-8-16NoNo00021031401788.14,124,759*
367-10-15NoNo001625442593.83,427,522*
357-9-16NoNo00318443597.12,780,767*
347-8-17NoNo00112424598.72,209,101*
336-10-16NoNo0017375599.51,712,412*
326-9-17NoNo004316599.81,297,307*
316-8-18NoNo002257399.9958,816*
305-10-17NoNo011980100.0690,575*
295-9-18NoNo011486100.0485,353*
285-8-19NoNo001090100.0331,016*
274-10-18NoNo0793Yes219,176*
264-9-19NoNo0595Yes142,102*
254-8-20NoNo0397Yes88,288*
243-10-19NoNo0298Yes54,315*
233-9-20NoNo199Yes31,310*
223-8-21NoNo199Yes17,990*
213-7-22NoNo0100Yes9,754*
202-9-21NoNo0100Yes5,015*
192-8-22NoNo0100Yes2,585*
182-7-23NoNo0100Yes1,272*
5-17NoNo100Yes20,585*
Total:0.1%2.2%0011223455678899988621.6%157,845,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship