How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Preston North End vs Middlesbrough-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Rotherham United vs Milton Keynes-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leeds United vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cardiff City vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Charlton Athletic vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Blackburn Rovers vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sheffield vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
Birmingham City vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brentford vs Ipswich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Hull City vs Huddersfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Derby County vs Middlesbrough-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Middlesbrough vs Bolton Wanderers+1.2-0.8-1.6
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Derby County vs Charlton Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.1
Milton Keynes vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Rotherham United-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Ipswich Town vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Reading vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Bristol City vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Wolverhampton vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rotherham United vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brentford vs Birmingham City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Charlton Athletic-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Wolverhampton vs Hull City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Bristol City vs Brentford-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Huddersfield Town vs Blackburn Rovers-0.0+0.1-0.0
Milton Keynes vs Bolton Wanderers-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sheffield vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.1
Fulham vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
QPR vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ipswich Town vs Sheffield-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Hull City vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Huddersfield Town vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Birmingham City-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
98-138YesYes100No23,025*
9729-10-799.8%Yes1000No1,846*
9629-9-8100.0Yes1000No3,004*
9528-11-799.9Yes1000No4,865*
9428-10-899.9Yes1000No7,876*
9328-9-999.8Yes1000No12,087*
9227-11-899.6Yes1000No18,724*
9127-10-999.4100.0%9910No28,011*
9027-9-1099.2Yes991No41,658*
8926-11-998.8Yes991No60,989*
8826-10-1098.2100.09820No87,972*
8725-12-997.2100.09730No126,001*
8625-11-1096.0100.096400No176,306*
8525-10-1194.199.99460No243,577*
8424-12-1091.799.892800No333,972*
8324-11-1188.299.5881100No448,945*
8224-10-1283.799.08415100No597,817*
8123-12-1177.898.17820200No780,599*
8023-11-1270.596.471263000No1,006,942*
7922-13-1162.093.662326100No1,283,783*
7822-12-1252.189.0523710100No1,609,402*
7722-11-1341.582.142411530000No1,996,611*
7621-13-1231.072.5314221510000No2,437,701*
7521-12-1321.260.22139281020000No2,933,379*
7421-11-1413.045.91333321651000No3,483,652*
7320-13-137.031.372433239200000No4,084,699*
7220-12-143.218.5315292916610000No4,719,044*
7119-14-131.29.118212924124100000No5,384,298*
7019-13-140.33.503122428209310000No6,049,531*
6919-12-150.11.00151525261772000000No6,704,771*
6818-14-140.00.20027172525167200000No7,334,680*
6718-13-150.00.000028172524156200000No7,907,002*
6618-12-160.00.00000281725241562000000No8,407,091*
6517-14-15No0.0000028172524157200000No8,814,281*
6417-13-16NoNo0000271624241672000000No9,112,647*
6317-12-17NoNo000026152325188310000No9,289,533*
6216-14-16NoNo0000151322251910310000No9,341,318*
6116-13-17NoNo00001412212520114100000.0%9,256,187*
6016-12-18NoNo00001411202521124100000.09,041,006*
5915-14-17NoNo00001310192622135100000.08,700,068*
5815-13-18NoNo000013919262313510000.18,260,158*
5714-15-17NoNo000013102026231341000.97,718,403*
5614-14-18NoNo00001310212722113103.97,115,628*
5514-13-19NoNo0000141223282192011.46,457,536*
5413-15-18NoNo000015142628186124.75,777,339*
5313-14-19NoNo00002719302713242.25,085,330*
5213-13-20NoNo0000311253322660.34,415,555*
5112-15-19NoNo000151833311175.63,769,339*
5012-14-20NoNo000021129381986.63,175,131*
4912-13-21NoNo0001622423093.32,628,868*
4811-15-20NoNo000315414197.02,140,211*
4711-14-21NoNo00110375298.71,715,980*
4611-13-22NoNo0006316299.51,352,707*
4510-15-21NoNo003257299.81,049,106*
4410-14-22NoNo002197999.9800,635*
4310-13-23NoNo011485100.0602,650*
429-15-22NoNo001090100.0443,019*
419-14-23NoNo00793100.0320,254*
409-13-24NoNo00595100.0227,960*
398-15-23NoNo0397Yes158,852*
388-14-24NoNo0298Yes108,930*
378-13-25NoNo0199Yes73,486*
367-15-24NoNo0199Yes48,674*
357-14-25NoNo0100Yes31,493*
347-13-26NoNo0100Yes19,940*
336-15-25NoNo0100Yes12,224*
326-14-26NoNo0100Yes7,480*
316-13-27NoNo0100Yes4,443*
306-12-28NoNo100Yes2,507*
295-14-27NoNo0100Yes1,490*
285-13-28NoNo0100Yes789*
0-27NoNo100Yes21,079*
Total:4.2%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%195,442,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship