"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs Stoke City+2.0-0.5-1.6
+5.7-1.3-4.7
-4.6+0.6+4.1
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Manchester City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chelsea vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Burnley vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Crystal Palace vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Arsenal vs Liverpool-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Hull City vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Southampton vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bournemouth vs Manchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Sunderland vs Middlesbrough-1.6-0.5+2.1
-4.7-1.3+5.7
+4.1+0.6-4.6
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Leicester City vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Stoke City vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
West Ham vs Bournemouth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Liverpool vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Manchester United vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
West Brom vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Swansea City vs Hull City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Watford vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
92-114YesYes100No471,618*
9128-7-399.9%Yes1000No832*
9028-6-499.9Yes1000No1,508*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No2,762*
8827-7-4YesYes100No5,046*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No9,192*
8626-8-4100.0Yes1000No15,983*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No28,111*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No47,939*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No79,792*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No131,412*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No210,998*
8024-8-699.8Yes10000No333,952*
7924-7-799.7Yes10000No518,591*
7823-9-699.5Yes991No791,837*
7723-8-799.2Yes9910No1,193,206*
7623-7-898.7Yes9910No1,761,402*
7522-9-798.0Yes9820No2,559,350*
7422-8-896.9Yes97300No3,653,943*
7321-10-795.4Yes95500No5,145,235*
7221-9-893.1100.0%937000No7,127,609*
7121-8-990.1100.09010000No9,717,320*
7020-10-885.9100.08613100No13,026,992*
6920-9-980.5100.08018100No17,205,315*
6820-8-1073.6100.074243000No22,384,881*
6719-10-965.1100.065305000No28,668,002*
6619-9-1055.3100.0553681000No36,174,312*
6518-11-944.599.944401320000No44,921,477*
6418-10-1033.499.533431940000No54,941,396*
6318-9-1123.098.6234127810000No66,200,856*
6217-11-1014.296.214353214300000No78,569,180*
6117-10-117.690.98273522810000No91,842,018*
6017-9-123.480.8317322914410000No105,744,738*
5916-11-111.265.01924312310200000No119,911,694*
5816-10-120.344.804142729187100000No133,956,260*
5715-12-110.124.8016182826155100000No147,361,593*
5615-11-120.010.20028202924124100000No159,681,413*
5515-10-130.02.9000310222823113100000No170,423,149*
5414-12-120.00.5000031122282210310000No179,109,010*
5314-11-13No0.100013112328211030000000.0%185,355,340*
5214-10-14No0.000001311232821103000000.0188,890,806*
5113-12-13No0.000001311232821103000000.0189,566,849*
5013-11-14No0.000000131123282110300000.0187,258,743*
4913-10-15NoNo000014122328219200000.0182,077,840*
4812-12-14NoNo00001412242820920000.3174,299,254*
4712-11-15NoNo0000141325281971001.6164,173,256*
4612-10-16NoNo0000015152728175106.2152,157,290*
4511-12-15NoNo0000017192927133016.6138,748,602*
4411-11-16NoNo000002102332238132.9124,428,618*
4311-10-17NoNo00001414293217352.1109,775,050*
4210-12-16NoNo000017223527869.895,208,398*
4110-11-17NoNo000031432361583.181,162,153*
4010-10-18NoNo00001726422491.667,989,766*
399-12-17NoNo000318433696.255,959,625*
389-11-18NoNo0000111404798.545,249,396*
379-10-19NoNo00017345999.435,934,045*
368-12-18NoNo0004276999.827,988,228*
358-11-19NoNo0002217799.921,403,409*
348-10-20NoNo0011584100.016,049,307*
337-12-19NoNo001189100.011,802,470*
327-11-20NoNo00793100.08,496,595*
317-10-21NoNo00595100.06,000,355*
306-12-20NoNo00397100.04,141,857*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes2,795,490*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,848,395*
275-12-21NoNo0199Yes1,190,934*
265-11-22NoNo00100Yes750,116*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes460,664*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes275,266*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes160,769*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes90,960*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes50,215*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes26,709*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes13,551*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes6,945*
172-11-25NoNo0100Yes3,178*
0-16NoNo100Yes473,552*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%3,786,193,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship