How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford 0 Middlesbrough 0 No
+1.0
-0.2
Leicester City 0 Chelsea 3 -0.2
+0.0
Swansea City 0 Arsenal 4 -0.5
+0.0
Sunderland 1 Stoke City 3 -0.8
Hull City 3 Bournemouth 1 +0.8
West Ham 3 Crystal Palace 0 -0.5
Burnley 1 Southampton 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs West Ham-5.5+0.7+5.2
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Arsenal vs Burnley-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Swansea City-0.4+0.2+1.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Stoke City vs Manchester United-0.1-0.0+0.0
Chelsea vs Hull City-0.4+0.3+1.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
West Brom vs Sunderland-0.7*-0.0+1.6
Crystal Palace vs Everton+1.3+0.1-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bournemouth vs Watford-0.3-0.0+0.3
Southampton vs Leicester City-0.2-0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
7117-0-00.0%54.2%011439351010No164,758
6916-1-0No11.1115633No9
6816-0-1No11.1115633No9
6715-2-0No10.811285282No65
6615-1-1No2.8121954222No177
6514-3-0No0.401146393No531*
6414-2-1No0.30839475No1,808
6314-1-2No0.1043056100No4,362*
6213-3-1No0.0022260160No10,801*
6113-2-2No0.0011460240No25,936*
6012-4-1No0.0008573310No55,296*
5912-3-2No0.0005514230No120,281*
5812-2-3NoNo024250500No241,407*
5711-4-2NoNo013357900No461,546*
5611-3-3NoNo00246015100No865,045*
5510-5-2NoNo00165923200No1,532,057*
5410-4-3NoNo00105432400No2,614,407*
5310-3-4NoNo0545409100No4,331,583*
529-5-3NoNo033445162000No6,847,728*
519-4-4NoNo012346255000No10,471,638*
509-3-5NoNo00134034112000No15,486,591*
498-5-4NoNo0073039204000No21,975,399*
488-4-5NoNo03193729102000No30,193,562*
478-3-6NoNo01102935205100No40,023,769*
467-5-5NoNo004183429122000No51,102,349*
457-4-6NoNo00192635227100No63,087,101*
446-6-5NoNo0031532311530000.0%75,119,494*
436-5-6NoNo001722352681000.086,178,257*
426-4-7NoNo00021230341840000.095,501,273*
415-6-6NoNo001519362991000.0101,934,975*
405-5-7NoNo0001102938193000.1104,715,013*
395-4-8NoNo000418383181000.6103,671,908*
384-6-7NoNo000193140172002.298,600,937*
374-5-8NoNo00032042286006.490,038,868*
364-4-9NoNo001103638132014.778,966,019*
353-6-8NoNo00042542234027.766,244,055*
343-5-9NoNo00115393310144.253,112,136*
333-4-10NoNo0007314019361.640,633,616*
322-6-9NoNo003204129676.829,554,127*
312-5-10NoNo0011136391287.820,359,330*
302-4-11NoNo00527452294.613,253,689*
291-6-10NoNo00217463598.08,096,080*
281-5-11NoNo019414999.44,613,107*
271-4-12NoNo004326399.92,438,550*
261-3-13NoNo0022376100.01,176,402*
250-5-12NoNo001486100.0510,715*
240-4-13NoNo00892100.0195,342*
230-3-14NoNo0496Yes64,190*
220-2-15NoNo199Yes16,316
210-1-16NoNo0100Yes2,747
200-0-17NoNo0100Yes164,959
Total:0.0%0.0%000000013468111315151274111.9%1,324,780,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship