Middlesbrough Title Chances

Beat Millwall 5-1, title odds up 4.4 to 22.5%
36 points   10-6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/5100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Average seed
Millwall 1 Middlesbrough 5 +4.9
+6.8
+0.5
Wolves 1 Bournemouth 2 -1.1
-1.1
-0.1
Derby 3 Brighton 0 -1.1
-0.9
-0.0
Ipswich 4 Leeds 1 -0.6
-0.8
-0.0
Huddersfield 2 Brentford 1 +0.4
+0.7
+0.0
Fulham 0 Watford 5 -0.3
-0.7
-0.1
Blackburn 1 Sheff Wed 2 +0.2
+0.4
Wigan 0 Norwich 1 -0.1
-0.3
Nottm Forest 1 Charlton 1 +0.2
Cardiff 0 Rotherham 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs Derby+6.5-2.8-8.6
+7.1-3.0-9.5
+0.4-0.2-0.6
Bournemouth vs Cardiff-1.1+0.8+1.6
-1.0+0.8+1.4
Bolton vs Ipswich+1.0+0.4-1.1
+1.2+0.4-1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Watford vs Wigan-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.6+0.5+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Brentford vs Blackburn-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.2
Norwich vs Huddersfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
Rotherham vs Nottm Forest+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Charlton vs Blackpool-0.1+0.1+0.2
Sheff Wed vs Wolves-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Middlesbrough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324OneCount
105-114YesYes100No19,244*
10422-2-299.9%Yes1000No3,863*
10321-4-1100.0Yes1000No7,722*
10221-3-299.9Yes1000No14,865*
10120-5-199.9Yes1000No27,353*
10020-4-299.9Yes1000No48,269*
9920-3-399.8Yes1000No82,716*
9819-5-299.6Yes1000No136,414*
9719-4-399.3100.0%9910No219,041*
9618-6-299.0100.09910No339,213*
9518-5-398.3100.09820No510,178*
9418-4-497.3100.09730No743,045*
9317-6-395.8100.096400No1,054,935*
9217-5-493.799.994600No1,453,556*
9116-7-390.799.891900No1,951,827*
9016-6-486.799.6871300No2,549,531*
8916-5-581.699.38217100No3,248,113*
8815-7-475.298.57523200No4,035,183*
8715-6-567.697.368293000No4,879,108*
8615-5-659.095.359356000No5,757,815*
8514-7-549.592.1504010100No6,633,794*
8414-6-639.787.6404415200No7,457,946*
8313-8-530.281.5304521400No8,187,032*
8213-7-621.673.922442871000No8,773,408*
8113-6-714.465.114393411100No9,186,532*
8012-8-68.855.793238183000No9,388,776*
7912-7-74.946.752439257100No9,372,332*
7812-6-82.438.92163532122000No9,136,522*
7711-8-71.032.91102936195100No8,708,857*
7611-7-80.428.605213627102000No8,103,886*
7510-9-70.125.6021331331741000No7,362,081*
7410-8-80.022.901723342592000No6,534,139*
7310-7-90.019.90031430311641000No5,666,297*
729-9-80.016.10018233324102000No4,794,873*
719-8-90.011.600031429301751000No3,959,300*
709-7-10No7.20017213125113000No3,196,353*
698-9-9No3.800031226302071000No2,515,325*
688-8-10No1.70016183027144100No1,931,627*
678-7-11No0.6000210233123102000No1,441,819*
667-9-10No0.200141427291861000No1,052,090*
657-8-11No0.000017193026133000No748,852*
647-7-12No0.000021024312292000No517,386*
636-9-11No0.00014142829176100No347,574*
626-8-12NoNo00017193026133100No227,952*
616-7-13NoNo002102330229200No145,094*
605-9-12NoNo0014142729186100No89,505*
595-8-13NoNo0016182927144100No53,592*
585-7-14NoNo00029223024103000No31,374*
574-9-13NoNo004132529197200No17,854*
564-8-14NoNo00151627281651000.0%9,596*
554-7-15NoNo028203025124000.15,075*
543-9-14NoNo131125292192000.22,593*
533-8-15NoNo01516273016500.51,226*
523-7-16NoNo0281830261143.5510*
512-9-15NoNo213262725617.6278*
502-8-16NoNo1422342811111.7111*
492-7-17NoNo2633392019.651*
482-6-18NoNo1637262147.419*
472-5-19NoNo8614Yes7*
462-4-20NoNo25502575.04*
450-9-17NoNo100Yes1
360-0-26NoNo02179Yes15,822
Total:22.5%54.2%23201713964321100000000000000.0%152,699,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)