How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0 -4.4
-5.2
+0.1
-0.5
Rotherham 1 Derby 0 +0.3
+0.4
Millwall 1 Leeds 1 +0.3
+0.2
Brentford 2 Wigan 0 -0.2
-0.2
Bolton 1 QPR 2 +0.2
+0.4
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0 +0.2
+0.3
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
+0.2
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1 +0.1
+0.1
Bristol City 1 Sheffield Utd 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Middlesbrough vs Bolton+3.3-3.1-6.0
+4.5-3.9-8.4
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.5-0.4-0.9
Leeds vs Preston-0.9+0.9+1.6
-0.6+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ipswich vs Brentford+0.7+0.2-0.9
+0.7+0.2-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
West Brom vs Bristol City+0.2+0.3-0.7
*+0.0+0.4-0.5
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.4+0.3+0.5
Stoke vs Swansea+0.2*+0.1-0.4
+0.3*+0.1-0.5
Derby vs Blackburn-0.1+0.2*+0.1
-0.2+0.3*+0.1
Aston Villa vs Rotherham-0.1+0.2*+0.1
Wigan vs Hull City-0.2+0.2+0.2
Blackburn vs Aston Villa*+0.0+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs Swansea+3.5-3.0-6.4
+4.7-3.9-8.8
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.5-0.4-0.9
Leeds vs Birmingham-0.9+0.9+1.5
-0.6+0.6+1.0
Wigan vs Bristol City+0.4+0.1-0.9
+0.3+0.2-0.8
Derby vs Brentford+0.4+0.2-0.8
+0.3+0.2-0.6
Sheffield Utd vs Preston-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.3+0.6
West Brom vs Millwall-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Ipswich vs Bolton+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.3
Stoke vs Blackburn+0.1*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
102-131YesYes100No2,790*
10127-6-699.8%Yes1000No1,323*
10026-8-599.9Yes1000No1,966*
9926-7-699.6Yes1000No2,993*
9826-6-799.6Yes1000No4,240*
9725-8-699.5Yes991No6,129*
9625-7-799.2Yes991No8,572*
9525-6-898.7100.0%9910No12,182*
9424-8-798.0100.09820No16,189*
9324-7-897.4100.09730No21,599*
9223-9-796.2100.09640No28,634*
9123-8-894.599.99550No36,756*
9023-7-992.799.99370No47,089*
8922-9-890.099.890100No58,343*
8822-8-986.699.6871310No71,705*
8722-7-1082.499.3821710No86,336*
8621-9-976.998.77721200No103,009*
8521-8-1070.897.77126300No120,158*
8420-10-963.996.26431500No138,212*
8320-9-1055.793.85636810No157,485*
8220-8-1146.990.3474011100No175,055*
8119-10-1037.985.5384316300No191,950*
8019-9-1129.379.42943225100No207,383*
7919-8-1221.171.52141289100No219,569*
7818-10-1114.262.8143633143000No230,675*
7718-9-128.753.492935206100No237,054*
7617-11-114.844.65213426112000No240,327*
7517-10-122.336.821430311751000No239,925*
7417-9-131.030.8182332241030000No235,602*
7316-11-120.326.104152829176100No228,486*
7216-10-130.122.00182029241241000No217,799*
7116-9-140.017.60031224282082000No203,303*
7015-11-130.012.600161627261661000No188,127*
6915-10-14No7.600282027241341000No171,093*
6815-9-15No3.60013112227221131000No152,526*
6714-11-14No1.300141324271993000No133,278*
6614-10-15No0.30001514242618820000No115,826*
6514-9-16No0.1000261626261672000No99,076*
6413-11-15No0.0000271726251561000No82,348*
6313-10-16NoNo00281826241451000No68,059*
6212-12-15NoNo000391926241351000No54,964*
6112-11-16NoNo0139202723134100No43,887*
6012-10-17NoNo001310212722124100No34,255*
5911-12-16NoNo0014112227211131000.0%26,679*
5811-11-17NoNo00141223272092000.019,664*
5711-10-18NoNo00151424271972000.315,099*
5610-12-17NoNo00026172627166101.211,074*
5510-11-18NoNo003919282412404.77,821*
5410-10-19NoNo0131222282292011.05,502*
539-12-18NoNo015152829165121.73,781*
529-11-19NoNo00282132269237.02,603*
519-10-20NoNo01515273118452.71,738*
508-12-19NoNo019223526768.31,175*
498-11-20NoNo0131632361280.1752*
488-10-21NoNo21027402188.2451*
478-9-22NoNo1619462893.8308*
467-11-21NoNo1112424497.9144*
457-10-22NoNo19375398.987*
446-12-21NoNo64053Yes47*
437-8-24NoNo3367Yes30*
426-10-23NoNo1189Yes18*
416-9-24NoNo100Yes5*
406-8-25NoNo1783Yes6*
394-13-22NoNo5050Yes4*
140-0-39NoNo100Yes495
Total:21.8%47.5%22161310865433221111100000000.1%4,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship