How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Preston North End vs Middlesbrough-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Leeds United vs Burnley*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Blackburn Rovers vs Wolverhampton*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Cardiff City vs Fulham*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Charlton Athletic vs QPR*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rotherham United vs Milton Keynes*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brentford vs Ipswich Town*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Hull City vs Huddersfield Town*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Reading-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Brighton & Hove vs Nottingham Forest*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sheffield vs Bristol City*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Derby County vs Middlesbrough-1.0-0.1+2.2
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Middlesbrough vs Bolton Wanderers+1.2-0.8-1.6
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Milton Keynes vs Preston North End*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Wolverhampton vs Hull City*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bristol City vs Leeds United*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Rotherham United vs Preston North End*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Ipswich Town vs Sheffield*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Rotherham United*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Hull City vs Fulham*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Ipswich Town vs Burnley*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Birmingham City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Reading vs Leeds United*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Cardiff City*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Derby County vs Charlton Athletic*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sheffield vs Reading*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Wolverhampton vs QPR*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bristol City vs Brentford-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Huddersfield Town vs Blackburn Rovers-0.0+0.1-0.0
Brentford vs Birmingham City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Huddersfield Town vs Brighton & Hove*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Milton Keynes vs Bolton Wanderers*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Charlton Athletic*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
98-138YesYes100No2,723*
9729-10-799.6%Yes1000No231*
9629-9-8YesYes100No312*
9528-11-799.8Yes1000No606*
9428-10-899.9Yes1000No951*
9328-9-999.7Yes1000No1,487*
9227-11-899.7Yes1000No2,188*
9127-10-999.6Yes1000No3,335*
9027-9-1099.0Yes991No4,954*
8926-11-998.9Yes991No7,191*
8826-10-1098.2100.0%9820No10,577*
8725-12-997.2100.09730No14,987*
8625-11-1095.8100.09640No20,678*
8525-10-1194.099.99460No28,561*
8424-12-1091.699.792800No39,661*
8324-11-1187.999.5881210No52,956*
8224-10-1283.799.0841510No70,833*
8123-12-1177.898.17820200No92,607*
8023-11-1270.496.47026300No119,439*
7922-13-1162.093.662326000No152,965*
7822-12-1252.289.1523710100No191,000*
7722-11-1341.682.04240153000No237,313*
7621-13-1230.872.531422151000No288,252*
7521-12-1321.160.1213928102000No347,213*
7421-11-1412.945.91333321651000No411,712*
7320-13-137.031.3724332392000No483,283*
7220-12-143.218.531529291761000No557,851*
7119-14-131.29.1182129241241000No635,880*
7019-13-140.33.50312242820931000No715,555*
6919-12-150.11.0015152526177200000No792,316*
6818-14-140.00.2002717252516720000No868,350*
6718-13-150.00.000028172524156200000No935,776*
6618-12-16No0.00002817252415620000No992,724*
6517-14-15No0.000002817252415720000No1,043,251*
6417-13-16NoNo000027162424167200000No1,077,894*
6317-12-17NoNo000026152325188310000No1,099,333*
6216-14-16NoNo0000151322251910310000No1,104,506*
6116-13-17NoNo00001412212520114100000.0%1,093,773*
6016-12-18NoNo0000141120252112410000.01,069,056*
5915-14-17NoNo0000131019262213510000.01,029,796*
5815-13-18NoNo00001391926231351000.1976,561*
5714-15-17NoNo00013102026231341000.9913,631*
5614-14-18NoNo00001310212722113103.9842,762*
5514-13-19NoNo0000141223282192011.4765,393*
5413-15-18NoNo00015142628186124.7684,158*
5313-14-19NoNo0002719302713242.2602,762*
5213-13-20NoNo0000311253322660.4522,498*
5112-15-19NoNo00151833311175.7445,326*
5012-14-20NoNo00021129381986.7376,019*
4912-13-21NoNo001622423093.3310,832*
4811-15-20NoNo000315414197.0253,744*
4711-14-21NoNo00110375298.7202,798*
4611-13-22NoNo006316299.5160,311*
4510-15-21NoNo003257299.8124,214*
4410-14-22NoNo02197999.995,030*
4310-13-23NoNo011485100.071,360*
429-15-22NoNo01090Yes51,899*
419-14-23NoNo00793100.038,201*
409-13-24NoNo0595Yes27,256*
398-15-23NoNo0397Yes18,707*
388-14-24NoNo298Yes12,965*
378-13-25NoNo199Yes8,690*
367-15-24NoNo199Yes5,797*
357-14-25NoNo199Yes3,659*
347-13-26NoNo0100Yes2,410*
336-15-25NoNo0100Yes1,425*
326-14-26NoNo100Yes861*
316-13-27NoNo0100Yes521*
305-15-26NoNo100Yes303*
295-14-27NoNo199Yes161*
0-28NoNo100Yes2,582*
Total:4.2%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%23,124,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship