Melksham Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50
Lost to Bideford 2-3, playoff odds down 13.8 to 40.1%
47 points 14-5-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | -11.3 | -0.8 | -0.7 | |||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -2.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | -0.2 | -0.4 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +1.9+0.5-2.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -1.4+0.9+0.6 | |||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Totton vs Melksham Town | -11.3-3.1+13.9 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | |||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -2.2+0.4+1.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +1.6+0.6-2.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -2.0+0.3+1.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -2.1+0.6+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +1.5+0.6-2.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +0.8+0.9-1.5 | |||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -0.3+0.9-0.4 | |||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.3-0.6 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Melksham Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 77 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 82.6 | % | 83 | 17 | 1 | No | 1,125 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 63.6 | 64 | 34 | 2 | No | 1,961 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 49.5 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 0 | No | 2,313 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 39.4 | 39 | 51 | 9 | 0 | No | 6,823 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 27.7 | 28 | 54 | 18 | 0 | No | 16,711 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 18.3 | 18 | 52 | 28 | 1 | 0 | No | 24,576 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 10.5 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 4 | 0 | No | 53,934 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 4.6 | 5 | 35 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 65,458 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 5.9 | 6 | 40 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,930 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 103,057 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 26,984 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 0.6 | 1 | 14 | 53 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 188,749 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 16 | 56 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,807 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.5 | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 154,368 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.9 | 0.2 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 126,410 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 95.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 308,152 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 95.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 61,385 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 88.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 376,880 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 90.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 102,669 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 77.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 315,756 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 74.5 | No | 0 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 237,412 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 58.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 515,203 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 53.7 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 56,531 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 62.7 | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 56,166 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 36.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 471,835 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 40.5 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 206,404 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 20.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 419,439 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 18.1 | No | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 250,716 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 7.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 514,164 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 9.5 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 83,875 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 6.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 47,439 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 2.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 377,681 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 2.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 209,603 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 315,396 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 173,999 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 308,122 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 56,245 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 26,909 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 189,089 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 105,144 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 125,785 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 72,700 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 127,451 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 54,115 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 20,701 | |||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 37,466 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 16,749 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 6,817 | |||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,828 | |||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,088 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 40.1 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,065,120 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
