How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
West Ham United 3 Manchester United 1 -1.4
-5.1
+2.8
-0.9
Manchester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1 +0.2
+0.3
Huddersfield Town 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
Bournemouth 2 Crystal Palace 1 -0.1
Arsenal 2 Watford 0 *-0.1
Newcastle United 0 Leicester City 2 -0.2
-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Southampton 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester United vs Newcastle United+1.2-0.4-0.9
+5.0-1.3-4.1
-3.6+0.3+3.4
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Southampton vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Cardiff City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Fulham vs Arsenal+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Liverpool vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Watford vs Bournemouth-0.1+0.2-0.1
Leicester City vs Everton-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
87-103YesYes100No88,155*
8624-4-399.9%Yes1000No1,152*
8524-3-499.9Yes1000No2,145*
8423-5-399.9Yes1000No3,973*
8323-4-499.8Yes1000No7,182*
8222-6-399.7Yes1000No12,802*
8122-5-499.3Yes991No22,299*
8022-4-599.0Yes9910No38,252*
7921-6-498.5Yes9910No63,363*
7821-5-597.6Yes9820No103,444*
7721-4-696.5Yes9640No164,090*
7620-6-594.8Yes95500No255,933*
7520-5-692.4100.0%927000No391,886*
7419-7-589.1Yes891100No585,445*
7319-6-684.9100.08514100No860,855*
7219-5-779.4100.07919100No1,235,978*
7118-7-672.5100.073253000No1,745,010*
7018-6-764.4100.064315000No2,414,873*
6918-5-855.2100.055368100No3,279,716*
6817-7-745.299.94541122000No4,371,853*
6717-6-834.999.73543183000No5,720,955*
6616-8-725.199.125422571000No7,352,768*
6516-7-816.697.6173831122000No9,282,599*
6416-6-99.894.41031351851000No11,500,884*
6315-8-85.188.15223526102000No14,006,615*
6215-7-92.377.4214303117510000No16,748,880*
6115-6-100.862.0172232251020000No19,685,470*
6014-8-90.243.5031327301861000No22,713,891*
5914-7-100.025.50161930271341000No25,752,207*
5814-6-110.011.8002102330231020000No28,685,078*
5713-8-100.04.1000413262919720000No31,396,103*
5613-7-110.01.00001516282716510000No33,758,390*
5512-9-10No0.2000171929261341000No35,660,567*
5412-8-11No0.00000292129241130000No37,009,833*
5312-7-12No0.000003102329221020000No37,709,292*
5211-9-11No0.000013122529208200000.0%37,744,047*
5111-8-12NoNo0001414262818710000.037,114,876*
5011-7-13NoNo00001516272716510000.035,828,723*
4910-9-12NoNo0001718292614410000.133,935,872*
4810-8-13NoNo0000292129241130000.431,577,118*
4710-7-14NoNo000031124302182001.828,815,357*
469-9-13NoNo00015152729175106.125,814,479*
459-8-14NoNo00017193026123015.022,681,138*
449-7-15NoNo00003112532217129.019,539,389*
438-9-14NoNo0001517313014246.116,491,568*
428-8-15NoNo00029253523563.113,650,276*
418-7-16NoNo000141835321177.311,067,246*
407-9-15NoNo00021130391887.48,784,740*
397-8-16NoNo0001623432893.76,824,292*
387-7-17NoNo000316433897.15,185,648*
376-9-16NoNo00110394998.83,857,240*
366-8-17NoNo0006346099.52,801,943*
356-7-18NoNo003276999.81,985,707*
345-9-17NoNo002217799.91,374,321*
335-8-18NoNo011584100.0926,909*
325-7-19NoNo001189100.0608,337*
314-9-18NoNo00792100.0389,635*
304-8-19NoNo0595Yes242,758*
294-7-20NoNo00397100.0145,665*
284-6-21NoNo0298Yes85,357*
273-8-20NoNo199Yes48,277*
263-7-21NoNo0199Yes26,384*
253-6-22NoNo0100Yes14,109*
242-8-21NoNo0100Yes7,118*
232-7-22NoNo0100Yes3,381*
222-6-23NoNo0100Yes1,569*
10-21NoNo100Yes88,183*
Total:2.5%15.4%344556666666665554329.7%700,293,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship