How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove 3 Manchester United 2 -1.9
-5.2
+3.2
-0.9
West Ham United 1 Bournemouth 2 -0.1
-0.2
Chelsea 3 Arsenal 2 -0.1
-0.2
Manchester City 6 Huddersfield Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 3 Fulham 1 -0.1
-0.2
Burnley 1 Watford 3 -0.1
-0.2
Crystal Palace 0 Liverpool 2 -0.1
Everton 2 Southampton 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur+1.9-0.5-1.5
+5.6-1.3-4.7
-4.2+0.6+3.7
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Watford vs Crystal Palace-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
Wolverhampton vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Newcastle United vs Chelsea+0.1+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bournemouth vs Everton-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Southampton vs Leicester City*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Fulham vs Burnley+0.1-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
83-111YesYes100No771*
8224-7-599.5%Yes991No192*
8124-6-6YesYes100No332*
8024-5-799.6Yes1000No450*
7923-7-699.6Yes1000No731*
7823-6-799.0Yes991No1,155*
7722-8-698.1Yes982No1,741*
7622-7-797.3Yes973No2,538*
7522-6-896.5Yes9630No3,481*
7421-8-794.2Yes9460No5,093*
7321-7-891.4Yes9180No7,154*
7221-6-988.4Yes88110No9,784*
7120-8-883.4Yes831610No13,024*
7020-7-977.0Yes772120No17,304*
6919-9-870.6100.0%7126300No22,554*
6819-8-961.0100.06133600No28,888*
6719-7-1050.999.9513810100No36,419*
6618-9-940.299.8404215300No45,306*
6518-8-1029.699.33042225100No55,849*
6418-7-1119.998.120402910200No67,513*
6317-9-1011.895.2123334174100No79,557*
6217-8-116.189.062435249200No93,161*
6117-7-122.678.131530301651000No108,069*
6016-9-110.961.817223124113000No122,726*
5916-8-120.241.9031326301972000No136,473*
5815-10-110.022.80151728271551000No150,530*
5715-9-120.09.30028202925134100No162,702*
5615-8-13No2.70029222923113100No173,777*
5514-10-12No0.500311232921103000No183,185*
5414-9-13No0.000131223282192000No188,892*
5314-8-14No0.000141224282092000No192,981*
5213-10-13NoNo00141324281982000No193,252*
5113-9-14NoNo001413252819820000.0%190,223*
5013-8-15NoNo0001514252818720000.0185,246*
4912-10-14NoNo0001515262817610000.1177,184*
4812-9-15NoNo000161727271651001.0166,123*
4712-8-16NoNo000027192926133004.0153,830*
4611-10-15NoNo000210223023102011.8140,761*
4511-9-16NoNo0014132631196125.4126,429*
4411-8-17NoNo001618322813242.8111,080*
4310-10-16NoNo00210263522561.496,384*
4210-9-17NoNo00151834321176.582,684*
4110-8-18NoNo0021130391887.269,070*
409-10-17NoNo01523432893.956,802*
399-9-18NoNo00315424097.245,886*
389-8-19NoNo00110385198.836,296*
378-10-18NoNo005336199.528,287*
368-9-19NoNo03267199.821,611*
358-8-20NoNo02197999.916,373*
347-10-19NoNo011485100.012,135*
337-9-20NoNo01090Yes8,566*
327-8-21NoNo0792Yes6,069*
316-10-20NoNo0595Yes4,204*
306-9-21NoNo397Yes2,828*
296-8-22NoNo298Yes1,850*
285-10-21NoNo298Yes1,206*
275-9-22NoNo199Yes744*
265-8-23NoNo199Yes497*
3-25NoNo100Yes1,168*
Total:4.5%19.5%5555555555555555555413.7%3,849,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship