How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 +3.5
+7.7
-1.6
+1.0
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.4
-0.4
-0.1
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.3
*+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 -0.3
*-0.1
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.2
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.3
Bournemouth 4 Leicester City 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.4+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Cardiff City vs Manchester City-3.3-1.1+4.1
-6.8-1.8+8.0
+1.0*+0.0-1.0
-0.8-0.2+0.9
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.7+0.3+0.5
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Fulham vs Watford+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.4+0.2-0.6
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.3+0.3*+0.1
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.3+0.3*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
84-111YesYes100No1,022*
8322-5-699.8%Yes1000No469*
8221-7-599.9Yes1000No697*
8121-6-699.8Yes1000No1,084*
8021-5-799.4Yes991No1,601*
7920-7-699.5Yes991No2,276*
7820-6-799.0Yes991No3,315*
7720-5-898.9Yes991No4,716*
7619-7-797.9Yes982No6,429*
7519-6-897.1Yes9730No8,772*
7418-8-795.0Yes9550No11,751*
7318-7-892.3Yes92800No15,470*
7218-6-988.6Yes891100No19,984*
7117-8-884.5Yes841510No25,147*
7017-7-979.2Yes791910No31,828*
6917-6-1072.6Yes732530No39,191*
6816-8-964.7100.0%6530500No47,003*
6716-7-1055.4100.05536810No55,675*
6615-9-945.599.9454112200No65,948*
6515-8-1035.099.7354418300No75,401*
6415-7-1125.299.22543256100No85,709*
6314-9-1016.797.717383111200No94,908*
6214-8-119.794.5103135185100No103,413*
6114-7-125.088.15223626102000No111,188*
6013-9-112.177.02143031175100No117,498*
5913-8-120.760.71721322511300No122,228*
5813-7-130.241.503122730197100No125,306*
5712-9-120.023.0015172928155100No125,890*
5612-8-130.09.7002821302512300No124,791*
5512-7-14No3.00031124302292000No120,301*
5411-9-13No0.600141325291982000No115,069*
5311-8-14No0.10015152728176100No108,094*
5211-7-15No0.00015162727165100No100,135*
5110-9-14No0.000016172827155100No90,203*
5010-8-15NoNo0027182926134100No79,948*
4910-7-16NoNo000282029251230000.0%70,247*
489-9-15NoNo00029212923113000.060,215*
479-8-16NoNo0131123302192000.250,675*
469-7-17NoNo00141326291971001.441,743*
458-9-16NoNo0015162828165105.333,595*
448-8-17NoNo0028203125123014.326,580*
437-10-16NoNo003112532216128.020,878*
427-9-17NoNo001517313014245.915,975*
417-8-18NoNo0210253523563.211,903*
407-7-19NoNo0151835321076.68,660*
396-9-18NoNo0021129391986.96,268*
386-8-19NoNo01524422894.04,288*
376-7-20NoNo0112404698.72,961*
365-9-19NoNo06355899.51,861*
355-8-20NoNo42769Yes1,342*
345-7-21NoNo22178Yes803*
334-9-20NoNo21485Yes500*
324-8-21NoNo11387Yes298*
314-7-22NoNo694Yes179*
304-6-23NoNo892Yes90*
293-8-22NoNo298Yes60*
12-28NoNo100Yes339*
Total:13.4%43.8%131210987665443332211102.1%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship