Manchester City Title Chances

Did not play, title odds down 0.2 to 10.6%
17 points   5-2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham 2 Man City 1 -3.9
-6.3
-0.4
Southampton 1 Stoke 0 -0.8
-0.3
Man United 1 Chelsea 1 +0.3
+0.2
Sunderland 0 Arsenal 2 -0.1
-0.6
Swansea 2 Leicester 0 -0.1
-0.3
Tottenham 1 Newcastle 2 +0.4
Liverpool 0 Hull 0 +0.4
Burnley 1 Everton 3 -0.3
West Brom 2 Crystal Palace 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Man City vs Man United+2.6-1.7-3.6
+6.6-3.4-9.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.7
Chelsea vs QPR-0.9+1.0+2.0
-0.2+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Hull vs Southampton+1.0+0.4-1.0
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Stoke vs West Ham+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7+0.4-0.9
Arsenal vs Burnley-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.6+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Newcastle vs Liverpool+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.7
Everton vs Swansea+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.5
Aston Villa vs Tottenham+0.2+0.1-0.2
Leicester vs West Brom+0.1+0.1-0.2
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Man City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
93-104YesYes100No2,157*
9224-3-298.8%Yes991No240*
9124-2-3YesYes100No448*
9023-4-299.4Yes991No820*
8923-3-399.6Yes1000No1,525*
8823-2-499.2Yes991No2,638*
8722-4-398.5Yes991No4,442*
8622-3-497.9Yes982No7,004*
8521-5-396.5Yes9730No11,293*
8421-4-495.0Yes9550No17,240*
8321-3-593.1Yes9370No26,030*
8220-5-490.6Yes9190No37,916*
8120-4-587.2Yes87130No53,959*
8020-3-683.6Yes84160No75,512*
7919-5-578.6Yes792110No102,680*
7819-4-673.1Yes732510No136,603*
7718-6-566.5Yes673130No177,619*
7618-5-659.4100.0%5936400No227,087*
7518-4-751.8100.05241700No282,347*
7417-6-644.0100.044461000No345,128*
7317-5-736.2100.036491410No413,643*
7217-4-828.5100.0285020100No484,371*
7116-6-721.599.9225026300No558,453*
7016-5-815.599.71547325000No629,637*
6916-4-910.499.31041389100No696,549*
6815-6-86.598.37354314200No754,470*
6715-5-93.896.24274521400No801,479*
6614-7-82.092.421943287100No836,456*
6514-6-90.985.81123834122000No856,109*
6414-5-100.476.2073138194000No857,039*
6313-7-90.163.2042238279100No843,128*
6213-6-100.047.902133333154000No814,435*
6113-5-110.032.401725352381000No769,339*
6012-7-100.019.10031631301541000No716,297*
5912-6-110.09.5001824332392000No652,162*
5812-5-12No3.8004152930175100No582,294*
5711-7-11No1.20017213125113000No510,938*
5611-6-12No0.3003122630208200No438,550*
5511-5-13No0.10015162828165100No369,927*
5410-7-12No0.00028213025123000No305,735*
5310-6-13No0.000031124302192000No246,916*
5210-5-14NoNo0014152729176100No197,049*
519-7-13NoNo0016182926144100No152,529*
509-6-14NoNo002922302310200No116,390*
498-8-13NoNo00031326301971000.0%86,779*
488-7-14NoNo0015172928154100.063,689*
478-6-15NoNo0028213125102000.245,240*
467-8-14NoNo0003122631206101.031,440*
457-7-15NoNo015173129143003.021,944*
447-6-16NoNo00292434227108.214,532*
436-8-15NoNo004163132133016.09,493*
426-7-16NoNo00282536236129.55,981*
416-6-17NoNo01316343212145.83,715*
406-5-18NoNo19283920361.82,317*
395-7-17NoNo13233730673.31,282*
385-6-18NoNo021335371385.6776*
375-5-19NoNo0729442093.2409*
364-7-18NoNo419482996.2234*
354-6-19NoNo415463596.5114*
344-5-20NoNo94051Yes53*
333-7-19NoNo4060Yes35*
323-6-20NoNo64153Yes17*
313-5-21NoNo1486Yes7*
302-7-20NoNo100Yes3*
293-3-23NoNo5050Yes2*
17-27NoNo100Yes1,915*
Total:10.6%60.8%11171914118643221110000000.1%15,406,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)