"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Manchester City Title Chances

Season start, title odds unchanged at 5%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle vs Man City-1.4-0.3+2.3
-3.9-0.5+6.5
+3.1-0.1-4.9
-0.8-0.1+1.3
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Man United vs Swansea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Stoke vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leicester vs Everton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
QPR vs Hull-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
West Ham vs Tottenham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Burnley vs Chelsea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Man City vs Liverpool+1.5-0.8-1.8
+4.4-2.3-5.4
-3.7+1.5+4.9
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Tottenham vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Crystal Palace vs West Ham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Everton vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Sunderland vs Man United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Hull vs Stoke-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Southampton vs West Brom-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Aston Villa vs Newcastle-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Chelsea vs Leicester-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Swansea vs Burnley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Man City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
94-114YesYes100No745,376*
9330-3-599.9%Yes1000No1,506*
9229-5-4100.0Yes1000No2,896*
9129-4-5100.0Yes1000No5,264*
9029-3-6YesYes100No9,727*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No17,393*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No30,632*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No52,121*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No87,939*
8527-4-799.9Yes1000No145,038*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No235,883*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No375,885*
8226-4-899.8Yes10000No587,477*
8125-6-799.6Yes10000No902,622*
8025-5-899.4Yes9910No1,362,879*
7924-7-799.1Yes9910No2,026,870*
7824-6-898.6Yes9910No2,968,652*
7724-5-997.8Yes98200No4,270,529*
7623-7-896.7Yes97300No6,049,709*
7523-6-995.1Yes95500No8,432,781*
7423-5-1092.9Yes93700No11,586,049*
7322-7-989.7100.0%9010000No15,645,258*
7222-6-1085.5100.08614100No20,833,119*
7122-5-1180.1100.080191000No27,301,567*
7021-7-1073.2100.073243000No35,259,279*
6921-6-1164.8100.065305000No44,863,956*
6820-8-1055.1100.0553681000No56,232,067*
6720-7-1144.599.945411320000No69,456,022*
6620-6-1233.699.6344319400000No84,550,348*
6519-8-1123.498.7234126810000No101,385,596*
6419-7-1214.696.515363214300000No119,851,474*
6319-6-138.091.78283521710000No139,640,909*
6218-8-123.782.5418322813410000No160,330,259*
6118-7-131.467.81102532228200000No181,461,372*
6018-6-140.448.304152829165100000No202,364,013*
5917-8-130.128.2017202925134100000No222,527,724*
5817-7-140.012.600210232922103000000No241,192,534*
5717-6-150.04.000131224292092000000No257,620,402*
5616-8-140.00.800014142528198200000No271,228,263*
5516-7-150.00.1000015152627187200000No281,468,733*
5415-9-14No0.00000151526271761000000.0%287,879,219*
5315-8-15No0.0000015162627176100000.0290,156,275*
5215-7-16No0.0000016162727166100000.0288,219,449*
5114-9-15No0.0000001616272716610000.0282,081,358*
5014-8-16NoNo000001717272615510000.1272,095,218*
4914-7-17NoNo00000271928251341000.7258,518,641*
4813-9-16NoNo0000029212924113003.1242,022,323*
4713-8-17NoNo000003112430218109.8223,202,710*
4613-7-18NoNo000015152830175022.3202,688,969*
4512-9-17NoNo000001720322711239.6181,318,091*
4412-8-18NoNo0000312273420458.1159,685,656*
4312-7-19NoNo000016193530974.1138,442,517*
4211-9-18NoNo000021231381785.6118,178,524*
4111-8-19NoNo0001624422692.899,257,759*
4011-7-20NoNo0000317423896.782,045,706*
3910-9-19NoNo000111394998.666,697,339*
3810-8-20NoNo00016346099.553,365,552*
3710-7-21NoNo0003276999.841,947,342*
369-9-20NoNo0002217799.932,431,323*
359-8-21NoNo0011584100.024,635,302*
349-7-22NoNo0001189100.018,379,401*
338-9-21NoNo00892100.013,473,392*
328-8-22NoNo00595100.09,696,489*
318-7-23NoNo00397100.06,840,500*
307-9-22NoNo00298100.04,737,209*
297-8-23NoNo0199Yes3,218,161*
287-7-24NoNo0199Yes2,141,090*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,397,215*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes890,675*
256-7-25NoNo00100Yes556,111*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes338,745*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes201,656*
225-7-26NoNo0100Yes116,849*
215-6-27NoNo0100Yes65,930*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes36,499*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,630*
184-6-28NoNo0100Yes10,075*
0-17NoNo100Yes753,417*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555515.0%5,980,852,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)