Manchester City Title Chances

Lost to Arsenal 0-2, title odds down 18.5 to 13.3%

47 points 14-5-3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/17	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Average seed
Man City 0 Arsenal 2	-9.1		-1.5		-0.3
Swansea 0 Chelsea 5	-5.4				-0.1
Newcastle 1 Southampton 2	-0.5		-0.1		-0.0
QPR 0 Man United 2	-0.1		-0.2
West Ham 3 Hull 0			-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Man City finishes out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		UEFA CL		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Demoted	Count

95	16	-	0	-	0	99.9	%	Yes		100	0																			No	1,862
93	15	-	1	-	0	99.1		Yes		99	1																			No	3,338
92	15	-	0	-	1	96.7		Yes		97	3																			No	4,529
91	14	-	2	-	0	96.3		Yes		96	4																			No	9,690
90	14	-	1	-	1	90.8		Yes		91	9																			No	26,459
89	13	-	3	-	0	87.4		Yes		87	13																			No	34,814	*
88	13	-	2	-	1	81.8		Yes		82	18																			No	70,286
87	13	-	1	-	2	73.6		Yes		74	26	0																		No	113,543	*
86	12	-	3	-	1	66.9		Yes		67	33	0																		No	156,399	*
85	12	-	2	-	2	57.5		Yes		57	42	0	0																	No	246,380	*
84	12	-	1	-	3	48.3		Yes		48	51	0	0																	No	322,825	*
83	11	-	3	-	2	39.7		Yes		40	59	1	0																	No	413,675	*
82	11	-	2	-	3	30.8		Yes		31	67	2	0																	No	534,595	*
81	10	-	4	-	2	24.7		Yes		25	71	4	0																	No	361,655	*
	11	-	1	-	4	21.0		100.0	%	21	73	6	0	0																No	253,405
80	10	-	3	-	3	16.5		100.0		17	75	8	0	0																No	709,559	*
79	10	-	2	-	4	10.1		100.0		10	75	15	0	0																No	518,450
	9	-	5	-	2	12.6		100.0		13	75	12	0	0																No	269,034	*
78	9	-	4	-	3	7.3		100.0		7	72	20	1	0																No	536,423
	10	-	1	-	5	6.2		100.0		6	70	22	1	0																No	278,097	*
77	9	-	3	-	4	4.1		100.0		4	65	29	2	0																No	835,259	*
76	9	-	2	-	5	1.9		99.8		2	54	38	5	0	0															No	444,589
	8	-	5	-	3	2.5		99.9		3	58	35	4	0																No	371,743	*
75	8	-	4	-	4	1.0		99.6		1	46	44	9	0	0															No	761,590	*
74	8	-	3	-	5	0.5		98.9		0	35	49	15	1	0															No	696,156	*
73	7	-	5	-	4	0.2		97.6		0	26	50	21	2	0															No	329,480	*
	8	-	2	-	6	0.1		97.0		0	23	50	24	3	0	0														No	275,698
72	7	-	4	-	5	0.1		94.4		0	16	47	31	5	0	0														No	507,495	*
71	7	-	3	-	6	0.0		89.4		0	10	41	39	10	0	0														No	414,357	*
70	6	-	5	-	5	0.0		81.5		0	5	32	44	17	1	0														No	323,030	*
69	6	-	4	-	6	No		70.8			3	23	45	26	3	0														No	243,558	*
68	6	-	3	-	7	0.0		57.6		0	1	14	42	35	7	0	0													No	177,543	*
67	5	-	5	-	6	No		43.2			0	8	35	43	13	1	0													No	123,361	*
66	5	-	4	-	7	No		29.5			0	4	25	46	21	3	0													No	82,627	*
65	5	-	3	-	8	No		18.1			0	2	16	44	31	7	0	0												No	53,371	*
64	4	-	5	-	7	No		10.0				1	9	37	39	13	1	0												No	33,050	*
63	4	-	4	-	8	No		4.8				0	5	28	43	21	3	0												No	20,063	*
62	4	-	3	-	9	No		1.9				0	2	18	42	31	6	0												No	11,163	*
61	3	-	5	-	8	No		0.8					1	10	37	39	13	1												No	6,080	*
60	3	-	4	-	9	No		0.3					0	5	28	42	21	3	0											No	3,187	*
59	3	-	3	-	10	No		No						3	18	41	32	6	0											No	1,528	*
58	2	-	5	-	9	No		No						1	9	38	41	10	1											No	762	*
57	2	-	4	-	10	No		No						0	5	27	44	21	2											No	313	*
56	2	-	3	-	11	No		No							2	18	43	32	5											No	148	*
55	1	-	5	-	10	No		No							2	15	35	40	9											No	55	*
54	1	-	4	-	11	No		No									36	64												No	11	*
53	1	-	3	-	12	No		No								17		33	33	17										No	6	*
52	0	-	5	-	11	No		No										33	33	33										No	3	*
51	1	-	1	-	14	No		No											50	50										No	2	*
47	0	-	0	-	16	No		No										1	9	28	38	19	5	0						No	1,314

Total:						13.3	%	94.8	%	13	47	24	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						No	10,582,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Win Championship (Full Screen)