Manchester City Title Chances

Did not play, title odds down 0.2 to 10%
11 points   3-2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Hull 2 Man City 4 +2.9
+8.2
-1.5
+1.0
Chelsea 3 Aston Villa 0 -0.4
-0.1
Southampton 2 QPR 1 -0.3
-0.4
-0.1
Arsenal 1 Tottenham 1 +0.1
+0.3
Sunderland 0 Swansea 0 *+0.1
+0.2
Crystal Palace 2 Leicester 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Liverpool 1 Everton 1 +0.3
West Brom 4 Burnley 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Stoke vs Newcastle-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa vs Man City-2.8-1.0+3.3
-7.1-1.9+8.0
+0.6+0.0-0.6
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Chelsea vs Arsenal-0.6+0.6+0.8
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Tottenham vs Southampton+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Swansea vs Newcastle-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Man United vs Everton-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.2
Leicester vs Burnley-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
West Ham vs QPR-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Liverpool vs West Brom+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
Hull vs Crystal Palace+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
Sunderland vs Stoke+0.0+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Man City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
92-107YesYes100No59,745*
9126-2-499.9%Yes1000No3,246*
9025-4-399.9Yes1000No5,858*
8925-3-499.9Yes1000No10,694*
8824-5-399.7Yes1000No18,660*
8724-4-499.7Yes1000No31,639*
8624-3-599.5Yes991No52,735*
8523-5-499.2Yes991No85,078*
8423-4-598.8Yes991No134,337*
8323-3-698.4Yes9820No209,278*
8222-5-597.6Yes9820No316,510*
8122-4-696.6Yes9730No470,635*
8021-6-595.2Yes9550No686,906*
7921-5-693.3Yes9370No974,996*
7821-4-790.9Yes91900No1,363,815*
7720-6-687.8Yes881200No1,870,258*
7620-5-784.1Yes841510No2,504,786*
7520-4-879.3100.0%7920100No3,308,232*
7419-6-773.7100.07424200No4,276,543*
7319-5-867.2100.06730300No5,422,499*
7218-7-759.8100.060355000No6,762,880*
7118-6-851.7100.052408000No8,276,369*
7018-5-943.2100.0434412100No9,944,767*
6917-7-834.499.93446172000No11,751,008*
6817-6-926.199.72646234000No13,625,599*
6717-5-1018.599.11944308100No15,541,087*
6616-7-912.297.9123835132000No17,413,453*
6516-6-107.395.2730381940000No19,162,811*
6416-5-113.990.04223826910000No20,733,986*
6315-7-101.881.121433321530000No22,046,186*
6215-6-110.768.018253523810000No23,040,916*
6115-5-120.251.30316313015410000No23,678,513*
6014-7-110.133.6019243223920000No23,906,305*
5914-6-120.018.400414283017610000No23,724,075*
5813-8-110.08.000172030261231000No23,145,571*
5713-7-120.02.6000210243022920000No22,195,020*
5613-6-130.00.6000141426291871000No20,917,034*
5512-8-12No0.1000161728271551000No19,372,124*
5412-7-13No0.00002819292513410000No17,631,991*
5312-6-14No0.00002102229231130000No15,763,218*
5211-8-13No0.000013112429219200000.0%13,848,100*
5111-7-14NoNo0001413252819720000.011,939,655*
5011-6-15NoNo0001516272816610000.010,122,605*
4910-8-14NoNo0001718292614410000.08,418,587*
4810-7-15NoNo0000292130241130000.36,878,032*
4710-6-16NoNo000131225302071001.45,516,204*
469-8-15NoNo00015162929164004.74,342,056*
459-7-16NoNo00028213225102012.03,349,203*
449-6-17NoNo0003132832195024.02,537,861*
438-8-16NoNo0001620332810139.61,880,646*
428-7-17NoNo000212293518356.21,369,604*
418-6-18NoNo0016223727771.1974,571*
407-8-17NoNo00031435361282.6680,460*
397-7-18NoNo0001829421990.5464,480*
387-6-19NoNo00422452895.1310,330*
376-8-18NoNo00216443897.7203,390*
366-7-19NoNo00110414899.0129,096*
356-6-20NoNo006365799.680,938*
345-8-19NoNo04296799.948,970*
335-7-20NoNo002247499.929,119*
325-6-21NoNo011980100.016,831*
314-8-20NoNo01486Yes9,570*
304-7-21NoNo01090Yes5,096*
294-6-22NoNo0793Yes2,767*
283-8-21NoNo496Yes1,409*
273-7-22NoNo199Yes715*
263-6-23NoNo298Yes316*
253-5-24NoNo298Yes149*
242-7-23NoNo298Yes60*
11-23NoNo100Yes56,457*
Total:10.0%44.6%1012121098765443322111001.2%453,656,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)