Manchester City Title Chances

Did not play, title odds up 0.2 to 9.2%
6 points   2-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Down to Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Man City-2.3-0.5+3.6
-5.7-0.8+8.5
+1.1*-0.0-1.5
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Chelsea vs Swansea*-0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Liverpool vs Aston Villa+0.1+0.2-0.2
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Sunderland vs Tottenham+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Southampton vs Newcastle-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Stoke vs Leicester-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Hull vs West Ham-0.1+0.2*+0.1
West Brom vs Everton*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Man United vs QPR-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Burnley-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Man City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
88-111YesYes100No2,317*
8725-6-499.5%Yes1000No612*
8625-5-599.9Yes1000No973*
8525-4-699.8Yes1000No1,577*
8424-6-599.5Yes991No2,431*
8324-5-699.3Yes991No3,664*
8224-4-799.1Yes991No5,494*
8123-6-698.6Yes991No8,078*
8023-5-797.9Yes982No11,975*
7923-4-897.0Yes9730No17,126*
7822-6-795.8Yes9640No23,608*
7722-5-893.9Yes9460No32,304*
7621-7-791.6Yes9280No43,905*
7521-6-888.5Yes891100No58,229*
7421-5-983.9Yes841510No76,193*
7320-7-878.7100.0%7920100No97,595*
7220-6-972.2100.07225300No123,185*
7120-5-1064.7100.06531500No153,417*
7019-7-956.2100.056367100No187,389*
6919-6-1046.799.9474011100No226,039*
6819-5-1137.099.8374317300No267,725*
6718-7-1027.799.42843235100No310,225*
6618-6-1119.298.419402910200No355,254*
6517-8-1012.096.11234341530000No401,915*
6417-7-116.791.6726362371000No445,960*
6317-6-123.383.53183329133000No487,479*
6216-8-111.370.911027332171000No525,021*
6116-7-120.554.205183128144100No556,536*
6016-6-130.135.8021024312292000No579,608*
5915-8-120.019.50141528291761000No594,861*
5815-7-130.08.30017192926134100No602,031*
5715-6-14No2.600210233022103000No598,600*
5614-8-13No0.600141325291982000No586,687*
5514-7-14No0.100151527281761000No565,032*
5414-6-15No0.0000161728261551000No536,007*
5313-8-14No0.0000028192925134100No500,577*
5213-7-15NoNo0002921292412310000.0%461,165*
5113-6-16NoNo00003102229221030000.0416,146*
5012-8-15NoNo0001412242920820000.0370,414*
4912-7-16NoNo00151426281871000.1322,844*
4812-6-17NoNo000161728271551000.8278,729*
4711-8-16NoNo00028202925123003.5237,070*
4611-7-17NoNo00003112430218109.9196,275*
4510-9-16NoNo0015152830174021.4160,436*
4410-8-17NoNo0002821322610137.0129,281*
4310-7-18NoNo000313283318454.6102,404*
429-9-17NoNo0017223527870.479,349*
419-8-18NoNo00031433361482.560,734*
409-7-19NoNo001826412390.745,432*
398-9-18NoNo00420433395.733,251*
388-8-19NoNo0213414497.923,871*
378-7-20NoNo018375499.217,076*
367-9-19NoNo005316499.611,721*
357-8-20NoNo003247399.97,933*
347-7-21NoNo01198099.95,196*
336-9-20NoNo001486100.03,555*
326-8-21NoNo0990Yes2,144*
316-7-22NoNo0892Yes1,291*
306-6-23NoNo496Yes835*
295-8-22NoNo298Yes482*
285-7-23NoNo298Yes328*
275-6-24NoNo199Yes134*
264-8-23NoNo199Yes119*
6-25NoNo100Yes1,596*
Total:9.2%35.7%999887766554433222113.5%11,959,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)