Maidenhead United Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Lost to Welling United 2-3, title odds down 0.006 to 0.0005%
39 points 11-6-13
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.6 | +1.4 | -1.0 | |||||
| Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | +0.0 | |||||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.0-0.0No | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | -1.7*+0.0+1.7 | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | ||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||||
| Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.0NoNo | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | -1.7*-0.0+1.7 | +1.2-0.2-1.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | NoNo+0.0 | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | +1.9-0.1-1.8 | -1.1-0.2+1.2 | ||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.4-0.1+0.4 | |||||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | |||||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Havant and W vs Billericay Town | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Billericay Town vs Staines Town | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Maidenhead finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 75 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4.1 | % | 28.0 | % | 4 | 39 | 49 | 8 | 0 | No | 1,620 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.8 | 25.5 | 1 | 19 | 52 | 26 | 2 | 0 | No | 744 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 6 | 0 | No | 1,063 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 24.8 | 4 | 43 | 42 | 11 | 1 | No | 2,875 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 24.2 | 2 | 31 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 8,465 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 23.2 | 1 | 19 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,794 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 21.2 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,063 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 17.8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 52,128 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 13.4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 80,879 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 8.7 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 142,961 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 4.5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 209,722 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 297,549 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 432,152 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 304,933 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 249,560 | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 569,256 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 129,933 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 610,811 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 252,801 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 596,192 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 378,933 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 937,922 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 145,138 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 732,487 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 427,942 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 745,193 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 407,109 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 853,652 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 265,496 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 609,143 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 432,008 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 654,979 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 248,720 | |||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 569,016 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 192,319 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 349,386 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 259,134 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 5.9 | 297,766 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 6.9 | 153,515 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 16.1 | 323,262 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 33.4 | 130,825 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 29.9 | 85,825 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 50.8 | 131,987 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 0 | 68.5 | 76,747 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 0 | 82.6 | 40,944 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 55 | 0 | 91.5 | 18,874 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 29 | 67 | 1 | 96.7 | 7,805 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 1 | 18 | 80 | 1 | 98.9 | 2,975 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 14 | 83 | 3 | 99.7 | 758 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 91 | 4 | 99.9 | 1,607 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.6 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
