SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.2
-0.6
+6.2
-0.9
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 -0.1
-0.4
+6.8
-0.9
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.1
-0.4
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.3
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.3
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.3
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.2
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 *-0.2
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
+6.6+1.6-7.7
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
-8.0+1.5+7.0
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.2-0.0+0.2
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.5-0.1-0.4
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.3-0.2+0.4
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.3-0.1-0.2
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.2-0.1-0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.2-0.1+0.2
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.2-0.1+0.3
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.4-0.2-0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.3-0.1+0.4
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.3
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.3-0.2-0.2
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.2-0.2+0.3
Woking vs Luton Town+0.3-0.1-0.2
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Braintree Town vs Southport+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.2+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Macclesfield Town finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
11437-0-0YesYes100No11,165
528-25-4NoNo100Yes1
518-24-5NoNo102030202070.0%10
497-25-5NoNo5050Yes2
4710-24-3NoNo100No1
466-25-6NoNo5050Yes4
456-24-7NoNo3169Yes13
446-23-8NoNo73360Yes57
435-25-7NoNo100Yes2
425-24-8NoNo1783Yes12
415-23-9NoNo21384Yes45
405-22-10NoNo11188Yes122*
395-21-11NoNo11189Yes380*
384-23-10NoNo694Yes17
374-22-11NoNo397Yes61
364-21-12NoNo199Yes147*
353-23-11NoNo100Yes6
344-19-14NoNo00029899.7704*
333-21-13NoNo298Yes56
324-17-16NoNo199Yes2,201*
314-16-17NoNo0100Yes3,258*
304-15-18NoNo000009899.74,221*
294-14-19NoNo0100Yes4,848*
284-13-20NoNo000100Yes5,063*
273-15-19NoNo100Yes905*
265-8-24NoNo0000000129799.77,282*
254-10-23NoNo0011110009696.03,199*
244-9-24NoNo0100Yes2,614*
234-8-25NoNo1495Yes1,649*
20-22NoNo100Yes1,447*
198-22-7NoNo141126263395.8384*
185-20-12NoNo0792Yes938*
175-9-23NoNo00099Yes9,716*
162-7-28NoNo100Yes14*
155-7-25NoNo0031383100.02,949*
142-5-30NoNo100Yes2*
134-18-15NoNo199Yes1,307*
126-21-10NoNo32572Yes659
111-5-31NoNo100Yes1
106-19-12NoNo11486Yes4,180
87-4-26NoNo0100Yes793
75-19-13NoNo0595Yes1,965
65-18-140.1%0.1%039799.93,819*
55-17-150.10.10029899.96,668*
45-16-160.10.10019899.910,164*
30-0-370.30.3010099.711,193*
25-14-180.30.30019999.716,751*
15-13-190.60.61009999.417,295*
05-12-200.70.71009999.325,446*
-15-11-211.71.72009898.316,172*
-25-10-224.74.750009595.010,032*
-36-6-2524.825.4252007372.83,289*
-426-5-661.062.7616003232.32,451*
-525-7-586.689.987131No2,603*
-625-6-679.784.8801910No4,246*
-724-8-574.580.9752330No6,836*
-824-7-667.875.86828400No10,946*
-924-6-759.669.76034600No16,931*
-1023-8-650.863.151381010No25,366*
-1123-7-740.755.5414215200No38,050*
-1223-6-831.648.73242215100No56,451*
-1322-8-722.541.823412781000No81,249*
-1422-7-814.836.0153632143000No115,288*
-1521-9-78.631.192834217100No161,446*
-1621-8-84.627.55203327123100No222,700*
-1721-7-92.024.321227311972000No302,075*
-1820-9-80.720.816193026144100No403,891*
-1920-8-90.216.50211232921103000No528,015*
-2020-7-100.011.50151526271872000No684,491*
-2119-9-90.06.6002718272515610000No871,566*
-2219-8-100.02.9000292027231351000No1,095,360*
-2319-7-11No0.900131021272212410000No1,350,575*
-2418-9-10No0.2000141122272111410000No1,646,872*
-2518-8-11No0.0000141222262110310000No1,974,009*
-2617-10-10No0.0000141222262010310000No2,328,633*
-2717-9-11No0.000014122226211031000No2,711,004*
-2817-8-12NoNo000014122226211031000No3,101,483*
-2916-10-11NoNo000141222262111310000.03,504,806*
-3016-9-12NoNo0000141222262110310000.03,891,642*
-3116-8-13NoNo000141222272010310000.14,261,053*
-3215-10-12NoNo0001413232720930000.54,598,382*
-3315-9-13NoNo00001514242719820002.34,888,683*
-3415-8-14NoNo0000161626261761007.75,115,298*
-3514-10-13NoNo0000281828251441018.85,270,444*
-3614-9-14NoNo0001310222923102035.25,354,175*
-3713-11-13NoNo00014142629186154.05,353,993*
-3813-10-14NoNo00002720312712271.15,270,257*
-3913-9-15NoNo000312273320484.05,106,335*
-4012-11-14NoNo00017213428992.14,871,777*
-4112-10-15NoNo00031432361596.54,570,949*
-4212-9-16NoNo0001826412398.64,227,890*
-4311-11-15NoNo0000420433299.53,853,385*
-4411-10-16NoNo000214414299.83,441,808*
-4511-9-17NoNo00019385299.93,031,861*
-4610-11-16NoNo00063262100.02,623,075*
-4710-10-17NoNo0032770100.02,237,256*
-4810-9-18NoNo0022177100.01,868,059*
-499-11-17NoNo0011683100.01,538,576*
-509-10-18NoNo001288Yes1,238,769*
-519-9-19NoNo00991Yes986,125*
-528-11-18NoNo00694Yes769,074*
-538-10-19NoNo00496Yes587,362*
-548-9-20NoNo0397Yes438,344*
-557-11-19NoNo0298Yes318,022*
-567-10-20NoNo0199Yes223,813*
-577-9-21NoNo0199Yes164,862*
-586-11-20NoNo199Yes95,701*
-596-10-21NoNo0100Yes57,499*
-606-9-22NoNo0100Yes22,456
-616-8-23NoNo0100Yes12,488
-626-7-24NoNo0100Yes5,935
Total:0.1%0.7%00011111222333445667910121647.4%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:12 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)