How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 +2.0
+3.2
-2.3
+1.2
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 -0.6
-0.8
+0.3
-0.2
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.3
-0.4
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.2
-0.2
*-0.1
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.2
-0.2
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.1
+0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.1
+0.1
Salisbury City 1 Braintree Town 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 *+0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC-2.1-0.7+2.5
-3.1-0.9+3.8
+1.5+0.2-1.6
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC-2.0-0.7+2.5
-3.1-0.9+3.7
+1.5+0.2-1.7
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Cambridge United vs Nuneaton Town*-0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.2+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Alfreton Town vs Barnet-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Woking vs Luton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Braintree Town vs Southport*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Wrexham vs Braintree Town*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lincoln City FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
84-128YesYes100No11,517*
8214-23-0NoNo100No1
79-81YesYes100No5*
7813-22-225.0%25.0%2575No4
7612-23-2NoNo3367No3
7528-4-5YesYes100No46
7426-9-295.795.7964No23*
7326-8-3YesYes100No120*
7228-1-892.992.9937No14*
7110-24-3NoNo3367No3
709-26-2YesYes100No1
6927-1-996.796.7973No30*
6823-12-2YesYes100No86*
678-26-3NoNo100No1
6622-13-298.398.39811No120*
6526-0-1190.990.9919No11
6421-14-295.996.59631No172*
6220-15-298.698.6991No148*
6014-21-228.642.92971No7
5818-17-290.591.9919No74
5717-19-150.050.05050No2
5623-0-1489.291.78911No120*
5512-22-312.533.3133329178No24
537-25-5NoNo5050No2
5215-20-266.772.26733No18
5115-19-362.271.6623340No201
4713-21-321.438.12131317522No42*
4412-21-47.929.98283020104No164
4311-23-3No20.013403377No15
4010-23-4No7.715153831No13
3910-22-5No7.91122024301031No152
389-24-4NoNo255025No4
379-23-5No2.4101429291225No42
366-1-30NoNo100Yes4
358-24-5NoNo1030302010No10
344-25-8NoNo100No1
303-24-10NoNo336766.7%3
282-25-10NoNo100Yes1
265-24-8NoNo7729721777721.414*
255-23-9NoNo271024222777.341
2011-0-26NoNo6122947694.117
193-23-11NoNo144343Yes7
180-21-16NoNo100Yes2
170-0-37NoNo00100Yes11,168*
152-22-13NoNo100Yes6
11-14YesYes100No1,670*
1026-5-699.899.8100000.11,569*
925-7-599.799.81000No2,645*
825-6-699.899.9100000.04,180*
724-8-599.899.81000No6,838*
624-7-699.699.71000No10,688*
524-6-799.499.699100.016,506*
423-8-699.399.5991No25,319*
323-7-798.999.19910No38,147*
223-6-898.498.8982000.055,701*
122-8-797.698.29820No81,761*
022-7-896.597.4963000.0114,784*
-121-9-795.096.39550No161,396*
-221-8-893.194.893700No222,227*
-321-7-990.492.890900No301,947*
-420-9-887.190.3871210No402,725*
-520-8-982.887.18316100No529,011*
-620-7-1077.483.07721200No685,279*
-719-9-970.778.17126300No872,990*
-819-8-1063.172.363315000No1,093,758*
-919-7-1154.365.7543681000No1,354,411*
-1018-9-1044.958.74540132000No1,644,688*
-1118-8-1135.351.535421840000No1,973,179*
-1217-10-1026.044.526422471000No2,329,439*
-1317-9-1117.738.2183830112000No2,711,262*
-1417-8-1211.033.11132341851000No3,101,449*
-1516-10-116.128.962434241020000No3,500,408*
-1616-9-122.925.631530301651000No3,894,420*
-1716-8-131.222.4182331231030000No4,265,813*
-1815-10-120.418.60414272818720000No4,597,505*
-1915-9-130.114.001719282514510000No4,889,189*
-2015-8-140.08.9003102228221131000No5,114,808*
-2114-10-130.04.5001413242719930000No5,273,279*
-2214-9-140.01.70001615252617820000No5,352,525*
-2313-11-130.00.500002716252516720000No5,350,347*
-2413-10-14No0.10002717252515620000No5,272,552*
-2513-9-15No0.000002817252415620000No5,108,706*
-2612-11-14No0.0000028182624156100000No4,868,817*
-2712-10-15NoNo0000281826241561000No4,574,167*
-2812-9-16NoNo000028182624156100000.04,227,828*
-2911-11-15NoNo000002818262415610000.03,846,714*
-3011-10-16NoNo000002818262414510000.03,442,499*
-3111-9-17NoNo00002919262414510000.13,030,347*
-3210-11-16NoNo00013920272313410000.92,623,211*
-3310-10-17NoNo000013102127221131003.72,236,204*
-3410-9-18NoNo0001412232820920011.01,869,719*
-359-11-17NoNo000161526271761024.01,536,958*
-369-10-18NoNo000028192926133041.61,245,624*
-379-9-19NoNo00013122431217160.2989,524*
-388-11-18NoNo0001617302914376.0767,211*
-398-10-19NoNo000210253422687.1589,017*
-408-9-20NoNo00151834311193.9442,351*
-417-11-19NoNo00021230381797.3326,557*
-427-10-20NoNo001724422699.0235,098*
-437-9-21NoNo000418423699.6165,964*
-446-11-20NoNo0212404699.9115,092*
-456-10-21NoNo0183556100.077,932*
-466-9-22NoNo0053065100.051,448*
-475-11-21NoNo032473Yes33,622*
-485-10-22NoNo011980Yes21,245*
-495-9-23NoNo011485Yes13,098*
-505-8-24NoNo01090Yes7,777*
-514-10-23NoNo0892Yes4,688*
-524-9-24NoNo595Yes2,594*
-534-8-25NoNo397Yes1,531*
-543-10-24NoNo298Yes724*
-553-9-25NoNo298Yes432*
-563-8-26NoNo199Yes186*
-61--57NoNo100Yes161*
Total:7.1%14.1%7777766655544433332221104.1%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship