Lincoln City Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Beat Carlisle United 4-1, title odds up 1 to 3.4% 5 points 1-2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 | +1.0 | | +2.8 | | -3.5 | | +1.2 | | Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | +1.4-0.4-1.1 | | +3.5-0.9-2.9 | | -2.8+0.4+2.5 | | +1.2-0.3-1.1 | | Exeter City vs Newport County | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | | | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Lincoln City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -131 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,257 | * | 98 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 878 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,410 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,250 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,546 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,582 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,398 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,539 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,573 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,050 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,467 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | % | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,449 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 94.1 | | 100.0 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,891 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 91.5 | | 100.0 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,951 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 88.4 | | 100.0 | | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,335 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 84.1 | | 100.0 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,643 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 78.7 | | 99.9 | | 79 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255,285 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 71.8 | | 99.8 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 333,766 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 63.9 | | 99.6 | | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 427,894 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 54.7 | | 99.0 | | 55 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 543,917 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 44.7 | | 97.7 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 678,941 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 34.6 | | 95.2 | | 35 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 838,245 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 24.8 | | 90.7 | | 25 | 41 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,022,078 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 16.3 | | 83.1 | | 16 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,229,322 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 9.5 | | 71.9 | | 10 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,460,152 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 4.9 | | 57.1 | | 5 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,706,194 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 2.1 | | 40.3 | | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,974,798 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.7 | | 24.3 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,251,036 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.2 | | 11.9 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,533,038 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 4.5 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,816,012 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 1.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,082,517 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,338,474 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,568,769 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,758,696 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,908,663 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,009,518 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 4,059,496 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 4,054,903 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 3,995,647 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,886,965 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,724,848 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,526,182 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 3,295,157 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | | 3,031,219 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | | 2,752,010 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 9.8 | | 2,459,992 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 19.5 | | 2,170,185 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 32.5 | | 1,886,410 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 13 | 47.3 | | 1,613,529 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 61.5 | | 1,362,620 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 32 | 73.8 | | 1,133,887 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 83.2 | | 930,723 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 89.8 | | 746,428 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 94.1 | | 595,032 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 96.8 | | 464,186 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 98.3 | | 356,902 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 99.2 | | 269,686 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.6 | | 200,412 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 99.8 | | 146,325 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 105,077 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 74,514 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 51,641 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 35,079 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 23,295 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | | 15,040 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,731 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,118 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,778 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,301 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,334 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 747 | * | 5 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 9,995 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.4 | % | 10.9 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8.7 | % | 90,490,048 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |