How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 +1.0
+2.8
-3.5
+1.2
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 -0.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Lincoln City vs Luton Town+1.4-0.4-1.1
+3.5-0.9-2.9
-2.8+0.4+2.5
+1.2-0.3-1.1
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lincoln City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
99-131YesYes100No10,257*
9829-6-799.8%Yes1000No878*
9728-8-699.7Yes1000No1,410*
9628-7-799.9Yes1000No2,250*
9528-6-899.7Yes1000No3,546*
9427-8-799.6Yes1000No5,582*
9327-7-899.4Yes9910No8,398*
9226-9-799.2Yes991No12,539*
9126-8-898.6Yes9910No18,573*
9026-7-998.0Yes9820No27,050*
8925-9-897.2Yes9730No39,467*
8825-8-995.9100.0%96400No55,449*
8725-7-1094.1100.094600No76,891*
8624-9-991.5100.092800No105,951*
8524-8-1088.4100.0881100No144,335*
8423-10-984.1100.08415100No193,643*
8323-9-1078.799.97920200No255,285*
8223-8-1171.899.87225300No333,766*
8122-10-1063.999.664315000No427,894*
8022-9-1154.799.055369100No543,917*
7922-8-1244.797.74540132000No678,941*
7821-10-1134.695.23542194100No838,245*
7721-9-1224.890.7254125810000No1,022,078*
7621-8-1316.383.1163631133000No1,229,322*
7520-10-129.571.91029342071000No1,460,152*
7420-9-134.957.152032261231000No1,706,194*
7319-11-122.140.32122630208200000No1,974,798*
7219-10-130.724.31618282615510000No2,251,036*
7119-9-140.211.9021022282211410000No2,533,038*
7018-11-130.04.501413242720931000No2,816,012*
6918-10-140.01.20015152526188200000No3,082,517*
6818-9-150.00.20002616252517720000No3,338,474*
6717-11-14No0.000027162525167200000No3,568,769*
6617-10-15No0.0000027162524167200000No3,758,696*
6517-9-16No0.0000027162425167200000No3,908,663*
6416-11-15NoNo00002615242517820000No4,009,518*
6316-10-16NoNo000016142325189310000No4,059,496*
6216-9-17NoNo000015132325199310000No4,054,903*
6115-11-16NoNo00001513222620103100000.0%3,995,647*
6015-10-17NoNo0000141222262010310000.03,886,965*
5914-12-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.03,724,848*
5814-11-17NoNo00001513232620930000.03,526,182*
5714-10-18NoNo0000151424271982000.33,295,157*
5613-12-17NoNo000026162627176101.23,031,219*
5513-11-18NoNo000002819282513403.92,752,010*
5413-10-19NoNo0001311233022819.82,459,992*
5312-12-18NoNo0001516293016319.52,170,185*
5212-11-19NoNo000029233425732.51,886,410*
5112-10-20NoNo000141632341347.31,613,529*
5011-12-19NoNo0002927402261.51,362,620*
4911-11-20NoNo0001521423273.81,133,887*
4811-10-21NoNo000214414383.2930,723*
4710-12-20NoNo00019375389.8746,428*
4610-11-21NoNo0005316394.1595,032*
4510-10-22NoNo003257296.8464,186*
449-12-21NoNo002197998.3356,902*
439-11-22NoNo01148599.2269,686*
429-10-23NoNo00108999.6200,412*
418-12-22NoNo0079299.8146,325*
408-11-23NoNo059599.9105,077*
398-10-24NoNo0397100.074,514*
387-12-23NoNo0298100.051,641*
377-11-24NoNo0199100.035,079*
367-10-25NoNo0199100.023,295*
356-12-24NoNo00100100.015,040*
346-11-25NoNo0100Yes9,731*
336-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,118*
326-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,778*
315-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,301*
305-10-27NoNo100Yes1,334*
295-9-28NoNo0100Yes747*
5-28NoNo100Yes9,995*
Total:3.4%10.9%3444444444444444444444448.7%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship