How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0 +1.1
+0.7
Millwall 1 Leeds 1 -0.9
-0.8
-0.0
-0.0
Rotherham 1 Derby 0 +0.3
+0.4
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0 +0.3
+0.3
Brentford 2 Wigan 0 -0.2
-0.2
Bolton 1 QPR 2 +0.2
+0.4
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
+0.2
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1 +0.1
+0.1
Bristol City 1 Sheffield Utd 0 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Leeds vs Preston+3.4-3.4-6.5
+4.3-4.1-8.4
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.4-0.4-0.9
Middlesbrough vs Bolton-0.8+0.9+1.4
-0.5+0.6+0.7
Ipswich vs Brentford+0.7+0.3-1.0
+0.7+0.2-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
West Brom vs Bristol City+0.2+0.3-0.7
*+0.1+0.3-0.5
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.4+0.3+0.6
Stoke vs Swansea+0.2*+0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.2-0.6
Derby vs Blackburn-0.1+0.2*+0.1
-0.2+0.2*+0.1
Blackburn vs Aston Villa*-0.0+0.2-0.2
Wigan vs Hull City-0.1+0.2+0.2
Aston Villa vs Rotherham-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds vs Birmingham+3.5-3.3-6.3
+4.4-3.9-8.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.4-0.4-0.8
Middlesbrough vs Swansea-0.7+0.8+1.0
-0.4+0.5+0.4
Derby vs Brentford+0.4+0.3-0.9
+0.3+0.3-0.7
Wigan vs Bristol City+0.4+0.2-0.9
+0.3+0.2-0.7
West Brom vs Millwall-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.4+0.4+0.5
Sheffield Utd vs Preston-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Ipswich vs Bolton+0.2*+0.0-0.3
Stoke vs Blackburn+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Nottingham vs Rotherham-0.1+0.1*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Leeds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
103-132YesYes100No2,293*
10227-6-699.9%Yes1000No1,095*
10126-8-599.9Yes1000No1,664*
10026-7-699.9Yes1000No2,582*
9926-6-799.8Yes1000No3,749*
9825-8-699.7Yes1000No5,428*
9725-7-799.6Yes1000No7,633*
9625-6-899.3Yes991No10,772*
9524-8-798.8Yes991No14,534*
9424-7-898.4100.0%9820No19,710*
9323-9-797.8100.09820No26,155*
9223-8-896.8100.09730No33,723*
9123-7-995.3100.09550No43,006*
9022-9-893.499.99360No54,055*
8922-8-991.199.89190No66,818*
8822-7-1087.899.7881200No81,488*
8721-9-984.099.4841510No96,495*
8621-8-1078.598.8782020No114,428*
8520-10-972.497.97225300No132,216*
8420-9-1065.396.66530400No149,622*
8320-8-1157.794.35835710No168,943*
8219-10-1048.890.9493911100No186,297*
8119-9-1139.786.5404215200No202,064*
8019-8-1230.580.23043215000No215,898*
7918-10-1122.472.622412781000No227,306*
7818-9-1215.163.815373213300No235,240*
7717-11-119.454.593035196100No240,472*
7617-10-125.245.35223426102000No241,583*
7517-9-132.637.53153030165100No238,637*
7416-11-121.131.3182331231030000No232,005*
7316-10-130.426.4041528291761000No221,448*
7216-9-140.122.20282129241241000No209,255*
7115-11-130.017.70031225282082000No193,618*
7015-10-140.012.700161627261661000No176,959*
6915-9-150.07.700029202824134100No158,403*
6814-11-14No3.70013112227211131000No140,290*
6714-10-15No1.300141324271993000No122,072*
6614-9-16No0.300151525261882000No104,178*
6513-11-15No0.100261625261662000No87,720*
6413-10-16No0.0000271726251561000No72,701*
6312-12-15NoNo00028182624145100No59,025*
6212-11-16NoNo00039192624145100No47,191*
6112-10-17NoNo00139202623134100No37,624*
6011-12-16NoNo001310212622114100No28,924*
5911-11-17NoNo00141222272111310No22,194*
5811-10-18NoNo00141323272093000.0%16,555*
5710-12-17NoNo00151524271872000.312,074*
5610-11-18NoNo00271726261561001.18,630*
5510-10-19NoNo0029202824124004.36,079*
549-12-18NoNo0131224282192010.94,247*
539-11-19NoNo015162828165021.32,948*
529-10-20NoNo002921312610136.51,831*
518-12-19NoNo1413293217452.81,268*
508-11-20NoNo18213529669.2831*
498-10-21NoNo141633341280.0554*
487-12-20NoNo1924481889.7292*
477-11-21NoNo1819462691.3184*
466-13-20NoNo119404099.2121*
456-12-21NoNo212266098.257*
447-8-24NoNo33256997.236*
436-10-23NoNo55266394.719*
425-12-22NoNo2377Yes13*
415-11-23NoNo2575Yes8*
15-40NoNo100Yes500*
Total:24.6%50.7%25171310865432221111000000000.1%4,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship