League One Title Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed																										Relegated
	Tuesday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Saturday

Peterborough Un	W	Plymouth Argyle 3-0	58	2	18	-	4	-	7	24	39.0	%	+9.3	69.9	%	+9.2	39	23	14	9	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			2.6	+0.59	0.0	%		1	Wigan Athletic	Peterborough United
Lincoln City	T	Swindon Town 2-2	57	2	17	-	6	-	6	19	30.4		-5.1	63.9		-2.6	30	24	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			3.0	-0.12	0.0			2	at Plymouth Argyle	Lincoln City

Doncaster Rovers			49	4	15	-	4	-	8	12	9.0		-0.6	32.9		-0.5	9	12	13	13	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.4	+0.02	0.0		+0.0	4	at Ipswich Town	Doncaster Rovers
Portsmouth	W	Oxford United 1-0	51	2	15	-	6	-	8	19	6.5		+1.9	28.9		+6.5	7	11	13	13	12	10	9	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7	+0.99	0.0		-0.0	5	Gillingham	Portsmouth
Hull City	L	Ipswich Town 0-1	53		16	-	5	-	10	21	4.5		-3.7	24.8		-7.5	5	8	11	12	12	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.0	-0.72	0.0			6	at AFC Wimbledon	Hull City
Sunderland	W	Fleetwood Town 2-0	50	2	13	-	11	-	5	20	5.0		+1.5	24.7		+5.9	5	9	11	12	11	11	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2	+1.04	0.0		-0.0	3	at Crewe Alexandra	Sunderland

Accrington Stan	L	Crewe Alexandra 0-2	46	3	13	-	7	-	8	9	2.1		-1.9	14.8		-5.3	2	4	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9	-0.77	0.0		+0.0	7	at Fleetwood Town	Accrington Stanley
Oxford United	L	Portsmouth 0-1	44	3	13	-	5	-	10	8	1.0		-1.1	9.5		-4.1	1	2	4	5	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.2	-0.81	0.0		+0.0	12	at Milton Keynes D	Oxford United
Ipswich Town	W	Hull City 1-0	44	3	13	-	5	-	10	4	0.9		+0.3	9.1		+2.7	1	2	4	5	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.3	+1.15	0.0		-0.1	8	Doncaster Rovers	Ipswich Town
Blackpool			40	5	12	-	4	-	10	4	0.8		-0.1	7.5		-0.0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	10.1	+0.09	0.1		+0.0	11	at Charlton Athletic	Blackpool
Charlton Athletic	L	Burton Albion 1-2	44	1	12	-	8	-	10	4	0.2		-0.4	4.1		-2.3	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	11.0	-0.82	0.1		+0.0	14	Blackpool	Charlton Athletic
Crewe Alexandra	W	Accrington Stan 2-0	43	1	12	-	7	-	11	2	0.1		+0.0	2.9		+1.1	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	11.7	+1.18	0.2		-0.3	13	Sunderland	Crewe Alexandra
Plymouth Argyle	L	Peterborough Un 0-3	42	1	11	-	9	-	10	-7	0.1		-0.2	2.0		-1.5	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	12.5	-0.84	0.3		+0.2	15	Lincoln City	Plymouth Argyle
Shrewsbury Town	W	Milton Keynes D 4-2	37	4	9	-	10	-	8	0	0.1		+0.0	2.1		+0.8	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	12.9	+1.13	0.9		-0.9	10	at Bristol Rovers	Shrewsbury Town
Milton Keynes D	L	Shrewsbury Town 2-4	41	1	11	-	8	-	11	4	0.0		-0.1	1.5		-1.1	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	13.0	-0.82	0.6		+0.3	9	Oxford United	Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham	L	AFC Wimbledon 0-1	40	1	12	-	4	-	14	-3	0.0		-0.1	1.0		-0.8	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	11	11	11	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	13.7	-0.80	0.9		+0.4	16	at Portsmouth	Gillingham
Fleetwood Town	L	Sunderland 0-2	36	1	9	-	9	-	12	5	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	14	12	9	6	4	3	1	1	16.1	-0.79	4.5		+1.9	17	Accrington Stan	Fleetwood Town
AFC Wimbledon	W	Gillingham 1-0	28	3	7	-	7	-	14	-20	0.0		-0.0	0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	12	13	12	11	10	8	7	19.2	+0.70	25.2		-7.6	18	Hull City	AFC Wimbledon
Bristol Rovers	L	Wigan Athletic 1-2	27	2	7	-	6	-	16	-20	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	9	11	13	13	13	13	12	20.3	-0.72	38.6		+10.1	23	Shrewsbury Town	Bristol Rovers
Rochdale	T	Northampton Town 0-0	28	1	6	-	10	-	14	-14	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	9	11	13	14	14	14	12	20.5	-0.26	39.9		+4.3	19	Burton Albion	Rochdale
Swindon Town	T	Lincoln City 2-2	28	1	8	-	4	-	18	-20	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	9	11	13	13	14	14	13	20.5	-0.26	41.1		+4.4	20	Northampton Town	Swindon Town

Burton Albion	W	Charlton Athletic 2-1	25	3	6	-	7	-	15	-21	0.0		-0.0	0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	10	12	13	14	14	15	20.6	+0.56	43.1		-8.6	21	at Rochdale	Burton Albion
Wigan Athletic	W	Bristol Rovers 2-1	27	1	7	-	6	-	17	-26	0.0			0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	10	12	14	15	16	17	21.0	+0.52	48.8		-9.0	22	at Peterborough Un	Wigan Athletic
Northampton Town	T	Rochdale 0-0	26	1	6	-	8	-	16	-24	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	8	11	13	15	18	22	21.4	-0.27	55.6		+5.0	24	at Swindon Town	Northampton Town

Week of 2/20
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	+8.1		+8.6				+0.6
Lincoln City	-3.4		-1.4
Plymouth Argyle	-0.2		-1.6				-0.9

Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	-2.2		-1.4
Lincoln City	+8.0		+8.7		No		+0.6
Rochdale					-1.4
Swindon Town					-1.4
Wigan Athletic	No		No		+8.7		-0.5
Northampton Town					-1.5

Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	+7.2		+8.7		No		+0.6
Lincoln City	-2.3		-1.5
AFC Wimbledon	No				+7.2		-0.7

Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull City	-3.2		-7.2				-0.8
Ipswich Town	+0.5		+3.1				+1.1

Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	-3.2		-6.7				-0.8
Blackpool	+0.5		+2.6		-0.3		+1.1

Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Doncaster Rovers	-1.3		-1.7
Hull City	-1.4		-1.9		No

Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	+2.5		+7.0				+1.0
Oxford United	-1.1		-4.3				-1.0

Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	+0.8		+0.3
Lincoln City	-2.2		-1.7
Swindon Town	*No				+1.9		-0.2
Wigan Athletic					-0.3
Northampton Town					-0.3

Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sunderland	+1.9		+5.9				+1.0
Fleetwood Town			-0.3		+1.5		-0.8

Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington Stan	-1.7		-5.1				-0.9
Crewe Alexandra			+1.2		-0.3		+1.1

Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sunderland	+1.5		+5.0				+1.0
Burton Albion	No				+8.4		-0.6

Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington Stan	-0.9		-1.7				-0.2
Shrewsbury Town			-0.3				-0.2

Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford United	-0.5		-1.4				-0.2
Ipswich Town	-0.2		-1.0				-0.2

Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Charlton Athletic	-0.3		-2.3				-0.9
Burton Albion					-9.9		+0.6
Northampton Town					+1.6

Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Charlton Athletic	-0.2		-1.0				-0.2
Fleetwood Town							-0.2

Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Crewe Alexandra			-1.4		+0.4		-0.9
Swindon Town					-10.0		+0.6
Northampton Town					+1.6

Shrewsbury Town 4 Milton Keynes D 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shrewsbury Town			+0.8		-1.0		+1.1
Milton Keynes D			-1.2				-1.0

Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Plymouth Argyle			-0.7				-0.2
Rochdale	No				+1.9		-0.2
Northampton Town					-0.3

Milton Keynes D 4 Northampton Town 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Milton Keynes D			+1.0		-0.8		+1.1
Northampton Town	No				+8.8		-0.6

Gillingham 2 Bristol Rovers 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gillingham			+0.7		-1.1		+1.1
Bristol Rovers	No				+7.1		-0.7

AFC Wimbledon 1 Gillingham 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gillingham			-0.9		+0.4		-0.9
AFC Wimbledon					-8.8		+0.7

Bristol Rovers 1 Wigan Athletic 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol Rovers	No				+9.0		-0.7
Wigan Athletic					-11.6		+0.6

Northampton Town 0 Rochdale 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale	*No				+1.3
Northampton Town					+2.1

Week of 2/27
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	32.430.626.3		61.861.159.3				3.23.23.3
Lincoln City	28.033.344.4		59.265.074.9				3.32.92.3
Plymouth Argyle	0.40.10.1		5.42.91.9		0.00.20.3		10.611.912.6

Lincoln City vs Fleetwood TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	26.230.532.5		59.261.062.0				3.33.23.1
Lincoln City	44.433.328.0		74.864.959.3				2.32.93.3
Fleetwood Town			0.20.30.7		4.12.71.1		16.215.614.4

Oxford United vs Peterborough UnHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	22.427.638.0		52.759.169.7				3.73.32.6
Lincoln City	38.236.632.3		67.467.065.5
Oxford United	3.71.70.9		18.812.29.2				7.48.69.3

Peterborough Un vs Wigan AthleticHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	37.727.522.8		69.258.953.3				2.73.33.7
Lincoln City	32.136.538.4		65.066.967.9				2.92.82.8
Wigan Athletic			No0.00.0		66.660.347.5		22.021.720.9

Doncaster Rovers vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Doncaster Rovers	13.98.46.0		41.831.525.9		No0.00.0		4.55.66.2
Portsmouth	2.43.87.2		16.320.829.7				7.66.95.7

Ipswich Town vs Doncaster RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Doncaster Rovers	6.28.413.7		26.431.441.4		0.00.0No		6.25.64.6
Ipswich Town	1.10.50.3		9.55.63.9				9.310.711.4

Hull City vs RochdaleHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull City	12.17.05.1		40.430.425.5		NoNo0.0		4.55.56.1
Rochdale	No*No0.0				44.137.526.1		20.820.419.5

AFC Wimbledon vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull City	5.17.012.1		25.530.340.4		0.0NoNo		6.15.54.5
AFC Wimbledon	0.0NoNo				24.134.440.5		19.220.120.5

Portsmouth vs GillinghamHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	7.03.82.7		29.120.716.9				5.76.97.5
Gillingham			0.91.43.0		0.8*0.50.2		13.913.211.9

Accrington Stan vs Ipswich TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington Stan	6.13.32.3		26.418.514.8				6.17.38.0
Ipswich Town	0.30.51.1		4.05.69.5				11.410.79.3

Fleetwood Town vs Accrington StanHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington Stan	2.33.36.1		15.118.526.2				8.07.36.2
Fleetwood Town			0.80.30.2		1.22.74.1		14.415.616.2

Crewe Alexandra vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sunderland	2.02.85.4		13.917.224.8		0.00.0No		8.27.56.3
Crewe Alexandra			3.11.50.9		0.1*0.50.8		11.813.213.9

Sunderland vs Swindon TownHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sunderland	5.42.92.0		24.717.214.0				6.37.58.1
Swindon Town	No*No0.0				45.238.627.2		20.820.419.6

Milton Keynes D vs Oxford UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford United	1.21.73.4		9.612.218.4				9.38.67.3
Milton Keynes D	0.30.10.0		4.12.11.4		0.10.30.5		11.112.413.2

Charlton Athletic vs BlackpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blackpool	0.40.71.5		4.96.710.8				11.110.49.0
Charlton Athletic	1.00.40.2		9.45.53.9				9.110.411.2

Blackpool vs Crewe AlexandraHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blackpool	1.50.70.4		10.76.65.0				9.110.411.1
Crewe Alexandra			1.01.53.0		0.8*0.50.2		13.913.111.8

Wigan Athletic vs Charlton AthleticHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Charlton Athletic	0.20.41.0		4.15.59.3				11.110.49.2
Wigan Athletic			0.0NoNo		47.560.366.6		20.921.722.0

Gillingham vs Milton Keynes DHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Milton Keynes D	0.00.10.3		1.42.14.1		0.5*0.30.1		13.212.411.1
Gillingham			2.91.40.9		0.2*0.50.8		11.813.213.9

Northampton Town vs Plymouth ArgyleHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Plymouth Argyle	0.10.10.4		2.02.95.3		0.30.10.0		12.611.910.6
Northampton Town					40.252.959.6		20.521.321.6

Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shrewsbury Town			0.71.02.1		2.9*1.80.7		15.014.313.1
Bristol Rovers	0.0NoNo				19.930.036.1		18.819.820.3

Shrewsbury Town vs AFC WimbledonHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shrewsbury Town			2.11.00.7		0.7*1.82.9		13.114.315.0
AFC Wimbledon	NoNo0.0				40.734.424.0		20.520.119.1

Burton Albion vs Bristol RoversHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol Rovers	NoNo0.0				37.429.618.9		20.319.818.8
Burton Albion	0.0NoNo				40.653.761.6		20.521.321.7

Rochdale vs Burton AlbionHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale	0.0*NoNo				24.737.145.8		19.520.420.9
Burton Albion	NoNo0.0				61.853.740.4		21.721.320.5

Swindon Town vs Northampton TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Swindon Town	0.0*NoNo				25.738.146.9		19.520.420.9
Northampton Town			No0.00.0		61.252.638.8		21.721.320.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

League One Title Chances 50/50

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