Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Peterborough UnWPlymouth Argyle 3-058218-4-72439.0%+9.369.9%+9.239231496421110000000000002.6+0.590.0%1Wigan AthleticPeterborough United
Lincoln CityTSwindon Town 2-257217-6-61930.4-5.163.9-2.6302415107532110000000000003.0-0.120.02at Plymouth ArgyleLincoln City
Doncaster Rovers49415-4-8129.0-0.632.9-0.5912131311108654322110000000005.4+0.020.0+0.04at Ipswich TownDoncaster Rovers
PortsmouthWOxford United 1-051215-6-8196.5+1.928.9+6.5711131312109764322110000000005.7+0.990.0-0.05GillinghamPortsmouth
Hull CityLIpswich Town 0-15316-5-10214.5-3.724.8-7.5581112121110865432110000000006.0-0.720.06at AFC WimbledonHull City
SunderlandWFleetwood Town 2-050213-11-5205.0+1.524.7+5.959111211119875432110000000006.2+1.040.0-0.03at Crewe AlexandraSunderland
Accrington StanLCrewe Alexandra 0-246313-7-892.1-1.914.8-5.32478999998764322100000007.9-0.770.0+0.07at Fleetwood TownAccrington Stanley
Oxford UnitedLPortsmouth 0-144313-5-1081.0-1.19.5-4.11245789999876543210000009.2-0.810.0+0.012at Milton Keynes DOxford United
Ipswich TownWHull City 1-044313-5-1040.9+0.39.1+2.71245789999876543210000009.3+1.150.0-0.18Doncaster RoversIpswich Town
Blackpool40512-4-1040.8-0.17.5-0.012345678888877643210000010.1+0.090.1+0.011at Charlton AthleticBlackpool
Charlton AthleticLBurton Albion 1-244112-8-1040.2-0.44.1-2.301234567899998764210000011.0-0.820.1+0.014BlackpoolCharlton Athletic
Crewe AlexandraWAccrington Stan 2-043112-7-1120.1+0.02.9+1.10012345678910109875311000011.7+1.180.2-0.313SunderlandCrewe Alexandra
Plymouth ArgyleLPeterborough Un 0-342111-9-10-70.1-0.22.0-1.500112345678910101096421100012.5-0.840.3+0.215Lincoln CityPlymouth Argyle
Shrewsbury TownWMilton Keynes D 4-23749-10-800.1+0.02.1+0.80011234567789101097532110012.9+1.130.9-0.910at Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
Milton Keynes DLShrewsbury Town 2-441111-8-1140.0-0.11.5-1.100011234578910101097532100013.0-0.820.6+0.39Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
GillinghamLAFC Wimbledon 0-140112-4-14-30.0-0.11.0-0.800011223467891111119642110013.7-0.800.9+0.416at PortsmouthGillingham
Fleetwood TownLSunderland 0-23619-9-1250.0-0.00.2-0.2000000112234681012141296431116.1-0.794.5+1.917Accrington StanFleetwood Town
AFC WimbledonWGillingham 1-02837-7-14-200.0-0.00.0+0.00000000000112346912131211108719.2+0.7025.2-7.618Hull CityAFC Wimbledon
Bristol RoversLWigan Athletic 1-22727-6-16-200.0-0.00.0-0.000000000000011246911131313131220.3-0.7238.6+10.123Shrewsbury TownBristol Rovers
RochdaleTNorthampton Town 0-02816-10-14-140.0-0.00.0-0.000000000000011236911131414141220.5-0.2639.9+4.319Burton AlbionRochdale
Swindon TownTLincoln City 2-22818-4-18-200.0-0.00.0-0.000000000000011236911131314141320.5-0.2641.1+4.420Northampton TownSwindon Town
Burton AlbionWCharlton Athletic 2-12536-7-15-210.0-0.00.0+0.000000000000011235810121314141520.6+0.5643.1-8.621at RochdaleBurton Albion
Wigan AthleticWBristol Rovers 2-12717-6-17-260.00.000000000000001124710121415161721.0+0.5248.8-9.022at Peterborough UnWigan Athletic
Northampton TownTRochdale 0-02616-8-16-240.00.0-0.00000000000000012368111315182221.4-0.2755.6+5.024at Swindon TownNorthampton Town

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/20
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un+8.1
+8.6
+0.6
Lincoln City-3.4
-1.4
Plymouth Argyle-0.2
-1.6
-0.9
Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un-2.2
-1.4
Lincoln City+8.0
+8.7
No
+0.6
Rochdale-1.4
Swindon Town-1.4
Wigan AthleticNo
No
+8.7
-0.5
Northampton Town-1.5
Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un+7.2
+8.7
No
+0.6
Lincoln City-2.3
-1.5
AFC WimbledonNo
+7.2
-0.7
Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hull City-3.2
-7.2
-0.8
Ipswich Town+0.5
+3.1
+1.1
Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth-3.2
-6.7
-0.8
Blackpool+0.5
+2.6
-0.3
+1.1
Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Doncaster Rovers-1.3
-1.7
Hull City-1.4
-1.9
No
Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth+2.5
+7.0
+1.0
Oxford United-1.1
-4.3
-1.0
Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un+0.8
+0.3
Lincoln City-2.2
-1.7
Swindon Town*No
+1.9
-0.2
Wigan Athletic-0.3
Northampton Town-0.3
Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sunderland+1.9
+5.9
+1.0
Fleetwood Town-0.3
+1.5
-0.8
Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Accrington Stan-1.7
-5.1
-0.9
Crewe Alexandra+1.2
-0.3
+1.1
Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sunderland+1.5
+5.0
+1.0
Burton AlbionNo
+8.4
-0.6
Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Accrington Stan-0.9
-1.7
-0.2
Shrewsbury Town-0.3
-0.2
Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Oxford United-0.5
-1.4
-0.2
Ipswich Town-0.2
-1.0
-0.2
Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Charlton Athletic-0.3
-2.3
-0.9
Burton Albion-9.9
+0.6
Northampton Town+1.6
Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Charlton Athletic-0.2
-1.0
-0.2
Fleetwood Town-0.2
Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Crewe Alexandra-1.4
+0.4
-0.9
Swindon Town-10.0
+0.6
Northampton Town+1.6
Shrewsbury Town 4 Milton Keynes D 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury Town+0.8
-1.0
+1.1
Milton Keynes D-1.2
-1.0
Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Plymouth Argyle-0.7
-0.2
RochdaleNo
+1.9
-0.2
Northampton Town-0.3
Milton Keynes D 4 Northampton Town 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Milton Keynes D+1.0
-0.8
+1.1
Northampton TownNo
+8.8
-0.6
Gillingham 2 Bristol Rovers 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gillingham+0.7
-1.1
+1.1
Bristol RoversNo
+7.1
-0.7
AFC Wimbledon 1 Gillingham 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gillingham-0.9
+0.4
-0.9
AFC Wimbledon-8.8
+0.7
Bristol Rovers 1 Wigan Athletic 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bristol RoversNo
+9.0
-0.7
Wigan Athletic-11.6
+0.6
Northampton Town 0 Rochdale 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Rochdale*No
+1.3
Northampton Town+2.1
Week of 2/27
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un32.430.626.3
61.861.159.3
3.23.23.3
Lincoln City28.033.344.4
59.265.074.9
3.32.92.3
Plymouth Argyle0.40.10.1
5.42.91.9
0.00.20.3
10.611.912.6
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un26.230.532.5
59.261.062.0
3.33.23.1
Lincoln City44.433.328.0
74.864.959.3
2.32.93.3
Fleetwood Town0.20.30.7
4.12.71.1
16.215.614.4
Oxford United vs Peterborough UnHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un22.427.638.0
52.759.169.7
3.73.32.6
Lincoln City38.236.632.3
67.467.065.5
Oxford United3.71.70.9
18.812.29.2
7.48.69.3
Peterborough Un vs Wigan AthleticHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Peterborough Un37.727.522.8
69.258.953.3
2.73.33.7
Lincoln City32.136.538.4
65.066.967.9
2.92.82.8
Wigan AthleticNo0.00.0
66.660.347.5
22.021.720.9
Doncaster Rovers vs PortsmouthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Doncaster Rovers13.98.46.0
41.831.525.9
No0.00.0
4.55.66.2
Portsmouth2.43.87.2
16.320.829.7
7.66.95.7
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster RoversHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Doncaster Rovers6.28.413.7
26.431.441.4
0.00.0No
6.25.64.6
Ipswich Town1.10.50.3
9.55.63.9
9.310.711.4
Hull City vs RochdaleHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hull City12.17.05.1
40.430.425.5
NoNo0.0
4.55.56.1
RochdaleNo*No0.0
44.137.526.1
20.820.419.5
AFC Wimbledon vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hull City5.17.012.1
25.530.340.4
0.0NoNo
6.15.54.5
AFC Wimbledon0.0NoNo
24.134.440.5
19.220.120.5
Portsmouth vs GillinghamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth7.03.82.7
29.120.716.9
5.76.97.5
Gillingham0.91.43.0
0.8*0.50.2
13.913.211.9
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Accrington Stan6.13.32.3
26.418.514.8
6.17.38.0
Ipswich Town0.30.51.1
4.05.69.5
11.410.79.3
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington StanHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Accrington Stan2.33.36.1
15.118.526.2
8.07.36.2
Fleetwood Town0.80.30.2
1.22.74.1
14.415.616.2
Crewe Alexandra vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sunderland2.02.85.4
13.917.224.8
0.00.0No
8.27.56.3
Crewe Alexandra3.11.50.9
0.1*0.50.8
11.813.213.9
Sunderland vs Swindon TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sunderland5.42.92.0
24.717.214.0
6.37.58.1
Swindon TownNo*No0.0
45.238.627.2
20.820.419.6
Milton Keynes D vs Oxford UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Oxford United1.21.73.4
9.612.218.4
9.38.67.3
Milton Keynes D0.30.10.0
4.12.11.4
0.10.30.5
11.112.413.2
Charlton Athletic vs BlackpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blackpool0.40.71.5
4.96.710.8
11.110.49.0
Charlton Athletic1.00.40.2
9.45.53.9
9.110.411.2
Blackpool vs Crewe AlexandraHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blackpool1.50.70.4
10.76.65.0
9.110.411.1
Crewe Alexandra1.01.53.0
0.8*0.50.2
13.913.111.8
Wigan Athletic vs Charlton AthleticHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Charlton Athletic0.20.41.0
4.15.59.3
11.110.49.2
Wigan Athletic0.0NoNo
47.560.366.6
20.921.722.0
Gillingham vs Milton Keynes DHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Milton Keynes D0.00.10.3
1.42.14.1
0.5*0.30.1
13.212.411.1
Gillingham2.91.40.9
0.2*0.50.8
11.813.213.9
Northampton Town vs Plymouth ArgyleHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Plymouth Argyle0.10.10.4
2.02.95.3
0.30.10.0
12.611.910.6
Northampton Town40.252.959.6
20.521.321.6
Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury Town0.71.02.1
2.9*1.80.7
15.014.313.1
Bristol Rovers0.0NoNo
19.930.036.1
18.819.820.3
Shrewsbury Town vs AFC WimbledonHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury Town2.11.00.7
0.7*1.82.9
13.114.315.0
AFC WimbledonNoNo0.0
40.734.424.0
20.520.119.1
Burton Albion vs Bristol RoversHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bristol RoversNoNo0.0
37.429.618.9
20.319.818.8
Burton Albion0.0NoNo
40.653.761.6
20.521.321.7
Rochdale vs Burton AlbionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Rochdale0.0*NoNo
24.737.145.8
19.520.420.9
Burton AlbionNoNo0.0
61.853.740.4
21.721.320.5
Swindon Town vs Northampton TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Swindon Town0.0*NoNo
25.738.146.9
19.520.420.9
Northampton TownNo0.00.0
61.252.638.8
21.721.320.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Chris Rand for adding this league.