Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleChampionshipChance will finish season at seedLeague Two
9/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
PortsmouthWPeterborough 2-1206-2-01019.7%+5.339.7%+7.52013109765543332221111100005.8+0.991.1%-0.81WycombePortsmouth
PeterboroughLPortsmouth 1-2196-1-11116.1-4.734.9-6.51612108766544333222111110006.4-0.821.5+0.53at GillinghamPeterborough
BarnsleyLCoventry 0-1154-3-1107.2-2.419.4-4.97777666555544433332221119.2-1.014.9+1.47BurtonBarnsley
SunderlandLBurton 1-2154-3-177.2-2.419.4-4.97777666555544433332221119.2-1.024.9+1.44RochdaleSunderland
DoncasterWWalsall 4-1154-3-177.1+2.219.4+4.67777666555544433332221119.2+1.195.0-2.62Bradford CityDoncaster
WalsallLDoncaster 1-4154-3-127.1-2.519.3-5.07777666555544433332221119.2-1.024.9+1.46at Oxford UtdWalsall
CharltonWBradford City 2-0144-2-235.6+1.816.2+4.06666666555554444333222119.9+1.206.3-3.210PlymouthCharlton
Fleetwood TownTAccrington 1-1133-4-174.5-0.513.6-1.245555555555554444333322110.7-0.338.1+0.58at SouthendFleetwood Town
BlackpoolWPlymouth 1-0133-4-134.4+1.413.5+3.545555555555554444433322110.7+1.228.1-3.813LutonBlackpool
AccringtonTFleetwood Town 1-1112-5-102.7-0.39.2-0.933444455555555555444433212.3-0.3512.6+0.811AFC WimbledonAccrington
LutonWBristol Rovers 1-0113-2-302.6+0.99.0+2.533444555555555555444433212.3+1.2212.5-5.012at BlackpoolLuton
CoventryWBarnsley 1-0113-2-3-12.7+0.99.2+2.533444455555555555444433212.3+1.2212.6-4.917at Bristol RoversCoventry
RochdaleWGillingham 3-0113-2-3-32.6+0.99.1+2.533444555555555554444433212.3+1.2212.6-4.99at SunderlandRochdale
BurtonWSunderland 2-1103-1-4-12.1+0.77.5+2.123344444455555555555444313.1+1.2015.6-5.516at BarnsleyBurton
ScunthorpeWAFC Wimbledon 3-2102-4-2-62.0+0.77.4+2.123344444455555555555444313.1+1.2115.5-5.65ShrewsburyScunthorpe
AFC WimbledonLScunthorpe 2-382-2-4-51.2-0.64.7-1.912223334444455555566666514.6-1.1422.4+4.714at AccringtonAFC Wimbledon
WycombeTOxford Utd 0-071-4-3-40.9-0.13.7-0.511222333344445555666677715.4-0.3426.2+1.420at PortsmouthWycombe
ShrewsburyWSouthend 2-071-4-3-10.9+0.33.7+1.111222333344445555666677715.4+1.1326.3-7.219at ScunthorpeShrewsbury
SouthendLShrewsbury 0-272-1-5-40.9-0.53.7-1.611222333344445555666677715.4-1.1226.2+5.223Fleetwood TownSouthend
GillinghamLRochdale 0-372-1-5-50.9-0.43.7-1.611222333344445555666677715.4-1.1326.3+5.315PeterboroughGillingham
Bradford CityLCharlton 0-262-0-6-70.6-0.42.9-1.311122223334444555666778916.2-1.1030.7+5.821at DoncasterBradford City
Bristol RoversLLuton 0-151-2-5-40.5-0.32.2-1.1011122223333444556677891116.9-1.0835.2+6.322CoventryBristol Rovers
Oxford UtdTWycombe 0-051-2-5-90.5-0.12.2-0.3011122223333444556677891116.9-0.3435.3+1.818WalsallOxford Utd
PlymouthLBlackpool 0-130-3-5-100.2-0.11.3-0.70011111222233344556789121618.2-0.9945.1+7.024at CharltonPlymouth

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/15
Peterborough 1 Portsmouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth+5.1
+7.4
-0.9
+1.0
Peterborough-5.1
-6.7
+0.5
-0.8
Sunderland*-0.1
Walsall 1 Doncaster 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough*+0.1
Doncaster+2.1
+4.7
-2.7
+1.3
Walsall-2.6
-4.9
+1.4
-1.0
Burton 2 Sunderland 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth+0.2
+0.2
Peterborough+0.4
+0.3
Barnsley+0.2
+0.2
Sunderland-2.5
-4.7
+1.4
-1.0
Walsall+0.2
+0.2
Charlton+0.2
+0.2
Fleetwood Town+0.2
Accrington+0.2
Luton+0.2
Burton+0.8
+2.3
-5.6
+1.3
Scunthorpe+0.2
AFC Wimbledon+0.2
Wycombe+0.3
Shrewsbury+0.3
Southend+0.3
Gillingham+0.3
Bradford City+0.3
Bristol Rovers+0.3
Oxford Utd+0.4
Plymouth+0.3
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth+0.2
+0.2
Peterborough+0.3
+0.2
Barnsley-2.5
-4.7
+1.4
-1.0
Sunderland+0.2
+0.2
Walsall+0.2
Coventry+0.9
+2.7
-5.0
+1.3
Burton+0.2
Scunthorpe+0.2
AFC Wimbledon+0.3
Wycombe+0.3
Shrewsbury+0.2
Gillingham+0.2
Bradford City+0.2
Oxford Utd+0.2
Plymouth+0.3
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth-0.2
-0.3
Barnsley-0.2
-0.3
Sunderland-0.2
Charlton+1.6
+3.9
-3.4
+1.3
Wycombe-0.2
Bradford City-0.4
-1.4
+5.3
-1.0
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth-0.3
Peterborough-0.2
-0.3
Barnsley-0.2
Sunderland-0.3
Blackpool+1.3
+3.4
-4.0
+1.3
Rochdale-0.2
Bradford City-0.2
Oxford Utd-0.2
Plymouth-0.2
-0.7
+6.4
-0.9
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough+0.2
Barnsley+0.2
Walsall+0.2
Fleetwood Town-0.5
-1.0
+0.4
-0.2
Accrington-0.4
-0.8
+0.5
-0.3
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Luton+0.8
+2.5
-5.2
+1.3
Bristol Rovers-0.3
-1.1
+5.9
-1.0
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe+0.7
+2.1
-5.8
+1.3
AFC Wimbledon-0.6
-1.9
+4.6
-1.1
Rochdale 3 Gillingham 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Rochdale+0.8
+2.5
-5.1
+1.3
Gillingham-0.5
-1.6
+4.9
-1.0
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury+0.3
+1.2
-7.4
+1.2
Southend-0.5
-1.6
+5.2
-1.1
Bradford City+0.2
Oxford Utd+0.2
Plymouth+0.2
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Wycombe-0.2
-0.5
+0.9
-0.2
Shrewsbury-0.2
Bristol Rovers-0.2
Oxford Utd-0.1
-0.3
+1.2
-0.2
Week of 9/22
Portsmouth vs WycombeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth25.018.515.6
47.038.233.8
0.51.11.7
4.96.06.6
Peterborough15.216.416.8
34.235.135.4
Wycombe0.50.71.4
2.43.35.5
31.627.319.9
16.415.614.2
Gillingham vs PeterboroughHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough12.515.020.8
29.333.442.0
2.31.60.8
7.36.65.5
Gillingham1.40.70.5
5.43.32.4
20.027.431.7
14.215.716.4
Sunderland vs RochdaleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sunderland9.96.55.1
24.818.215.1
2.95.16.8
8.09.410.2
Rochdale1.72.33.9
6.48.312.4
16.213.28.6
13.412.511.0
Barnsley vs BurtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Barnsley9.86.55.1
24.818.215.2
2.95.16.7
8.09.410.2
Burton1.31.83.2
5.26.810.4
19.616.310.9
14.113.311.8
Doncaster vs Bradford CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Doncaster9.76.45.1
24.618.115.2
2.95.16.9
8.09.410.2
Bradford City0.40.51.0
1.82.54.3
36.531.923.7
17.116.414.9
Oxford Utd vs WalsallHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Walsall5.16.49.7
15.218.124.5
6.85.12.9
10.29.48.0
Oxford Utd0.70.40.2
3.31.91.4
27.936.641.4
15.717.117.8
Charlton vs PlymouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Charlton7.85.03.9
20.915.012.5
3.86.68.7
8.710.211.0
Plymouth0.10.20.4
0.71.11.9
51.746.637.1
19.118.417.1
Blackpool vs LutonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Blackpool6.33.93.0
17.912.510.2
5.18.410.7
9.410.911.8
Luton1.72.33.8
6.58.312.3
16.113.18.5
13.412.511.0
Southend vs Fleetwood TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Fleetwood Town3.14.06.3
10.412.617.9
10.88.45.0
11.810.99.4
Southend1.40.70.5
5.43.32.4
19.727.331.7
14.115.616.4
Accrington vs AFC WimbledonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Accrington4.02.41.8
12.58.46.7
8.413.116.3
11.012.513.4
AFC Wimbledon0.71.01.8
3.24.26.7
27.523.316.3
15.714.913.4
Bristol Rovers vs CoventryHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Coventry1.82.43.9
6.88.412.4
16.413.18.3
13.412.511.0
Bristol Rovers0.70.40.3
3.31.91.4
27.636.541.6
15.717.117.8
Scunthorpe vs ShrewsburyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe3.01.81.3
10.16.75.3
10.616.119.8
11.813.314.2
Shrewsbury0.50.71.4
2.53.35.4
31.927.319.6
16.415.614.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.