How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 -0.8
-1.1
+0.6
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H-1.8-0.6+2.1
-2.7-0.9+3.2
+2.1+0.3-2.2
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel+1.7-0.9-1.9
+2.7-1.3-3.0
-2.0+0.6+2.5
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kidderminster H finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
100-121YesYes100No204,604*
9930-5-499.9%99.9%1000No1,901*
9830-4-5100.0100.01000No3,558*
9729-6-499.999.91000No6,073*
9629-5-599.999.91000No10,701*
9529-4-6100.0100.01000No18,075*
9428-6-599.999.91000No30,092*
9328-5-699.999.91000No48,860*
9228-4-799.899.91000No78,832*
9127-6-699.899.81000No124,140*
9027-5-799.799.81000No192,742*
8926-7-699.599.710000No293,918*
8826-6-799.399.59910No440,063*
8726-5-899.099.29910No649,134*
8625-7-798.498.89820No939,680*
8525-6-897.798.398200No1,343,140*
8425-5-996.697.497300No1,886,146*
8324-7-895.196.395500No2,605,759*
8224-6-992.994.793700No3,549,244*
8123-8-890.192.6901000No4,767,354*
8023-7-986.489.88613100No6,297,005*
7923-6-1081.686.28217100No8,199,655*
7822-8-975.781.876222000No10,531,199*
7722-7-1068.576.469274000No13,320,633*
7622-6-1160.270.260336100No16,607,835*
7521-8-1050.963.25138101000No20,411,899*
7421-7-1141.155.84141153000No24,728,778*
7321-6-1231.348.431422151000No29,551,427*
7220-8-1122.141.6224027920000No34,807,950*
7120-7-1214.335.61435321430000No40,432,502*
7019-9-118.330.98283421710000No46,326,320*
6919-8-124.227.2419322713310000No52,359,006*
6819-7-131.824.0211263120820000No58,311,751*
6718-9-120.720.61618292714410000No64,090,731*
6618-8-130.216.3021023292210300000No69,480,180*
6518-7-140.011.3014142628187200000No74,281,216*
6417-9-130.06.5001718272515510000No78,324,452*
6317-8-140.02.90002920282312410000No81,449,039*
6217-7-150.00.9000131122282211310000No83,566,964*
6116-9-140.00.2000014122327209300000No84,524,485*
6016-8-15No0.0000014132427198200000No84,352,869*
5916-7-16No0.0000015142527188200000No83,007,313*
5815-9-15No0.000001615252617720000No80,554,709*
5715-8-16No0.00000016162626166100000.0%77,064,058*
5614-10-15NoNo0000027172626156100000.072,707,636*
5514-9-16NoNo000002818272514510000.067,648,009*
5414-8-17NoNo000002920282412410000.162,053,266*
5313-10-16NoNo00013102228221030000.456,089,433*
5213-9-17NoNo0000141324282082001.949,975,882*
5113-8-18NoNo000016162727165105.943,893,819*
5012-10-17NoNo0000028213025113014.137,984,645*
4912-9-18NoNo000014122631206126.932,387,435*
4812-8-19NoNo00001619312813242.727,206,835*
4711-10-18NoNo0000311273421559.022,515,565*
4611-9-19NoNo00016203529973.118,340,501*
4511-8-20NoNo00031332371583.914,717,916*
4410-10-19NoNo00001826412491.111,621,874*
4310-9-20NoNo000420433395.59,034,005*
4210-8-21NoNo000214414397.86,904,647*
419-10-20NoNo00019375399.05,192,897*
409-9-21NoNo0005326299.63,842,679*
399-8-22NoNo003267199.82,798,353*
388-10-21NoNo002217899.91,997,255*
378-9-22NoNo0011683100.01,402,058*
368-8-23NoNo0001288100.0966,362*
357-10-22NoNo00891100.0655,009*
347-9-23NoNo00694100.0433,906*
337-8-24NoNo0496Yes283,176*
326-10-23NoNo0397Yes180,996*
316-9-24NoNo0298Yes112,321*
306-8-25NoNo0199Yes68,805*
296-7-26NoNo199Yes41,121*
285-9-25NoNo0100Yes24,203*
275-8-26NoNo0100Yes13,987*
265-7-27NoNo0100Yes7,692*
254-9-26NoNo0100Yes4,277*
244-8-27NoNo0100Yes2,227*
22-23NoNo100Yes1,696*
213-8-28NoNo0100Yes281*
4-20NoNo100Yes202,711*
Total:5.9%11.9%66666665555554444333226.3%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship