How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 +0.4
+1.1
-3.2
+0.8
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.1
-0.1
-0.3
York City 1 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.1
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.1
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H-0.6-0.1+1.2
-1.3-0.1+2.6
+1.7-0.3-2.9
-0.7+0.0+1.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton vs Kidderminster H-0.6-0.1+1.3
-1.3-0.1+2.6
+1.7-0.3-2.9
-0.7+0.0+1.3
Kidderminster H vs Stockport County+0.7-0.5-0.9
+1.5-1.0-2.1
-2.0+1.0+3.1
+0.8-0.5-1.2
Blyth Spartans vs Chorley+0.2*+0.0-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chorley vs Curzon Ashton-0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Boston United vs Spennymoor Town-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Chester vs Hereford+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Boston United+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Telford United vs Chester-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Leamington vs Telford United+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Hereford vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1+0.0
FC United vs Leamington+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1*+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Brackley Town+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Alfreton Town vs Southport-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Southport vs Ashton United+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Ashton United vs Darlington+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kidderminster H finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
91-120YesYes100No675*
9026-6-696.7%96.7%973No60*
8926-5-799.199.1991No108*
8825-7-697.097.4973No231*
8725-6-797.597.8973No277*
8625-5-896.096.6964No506*
8524-7-794.795.69550No798*
8424-6-893.694.69460No1,225*
8323-8-789.991.690100No1,849*
8223-7-887.189.387121No2,653*
8123-6-984.086.784151No4,081*
8022-8-877.981.578211No5,839*
7922-7-972.076.7722520No8,260*
7821-9-865.471.16530400No11,363*
7721-8-956.463.7563770No15,612*
7621-7-1048.256.948411010No21,249*
7520-9-939.549.6394315200No27,978*
7420-8-1030.542.1314521400No36,864*
7320-7-1122.035.02243277100No46,662*
7219-9-1015.229.415393212200No59,360*
7119-8-119.324.49323618410No73,712*
7019-7-125.521.3624362592000No89,470*
6918-9-112.718.93163331144000No107,813*
6818-8-121.117.51926332282000No127,721*
6717-10-110.416.905173128144100No147,829*
6617-9-120.116.4021024312292000No168,691*
6517-8-130.015.6015162828166100No190,329*
6416-10-120.014.00028212924123100No210,313*
6316-9-13No11.40031224292092000No229,475*
6216-8-14No7.900151526271772000No245,536*
6115-10-13No4.400017182825145100No258,566*
6015-9-14No1.9000292028241241000No266,870*
5915-8-15No0.6000311222822113100No272,657*
5814-10-14No0.1001412232821930000No272,415*
5714-9-15No0.000141324271982000No269,570*
5613-11-14No0.000015142527187200No261,633*
5513-10-15NoNo0001616262617610000.0%248,389*
5413-9-16NoNo000271727251551000.0232,666*
5312-11-15NoNo000281927241341000.1213,716*
5212-10-16NoNo0003102128231130000.5193,446*
5112-9-17NoNo00141224282092002.1171,941*
5011-11-16NoNo0015152728176106.5149,850*
4911-10-17NoNo00028192926123015.6128,578*
4811-9-18NoNo0013112531217128.8108,710*
4710-11-17NoNo001617312914245.589,820*
4610-10-18NoNo00210253423562.272,769*
4510-9-19NoNo0151835321076.657,944*
449-11-18NoNo0021130391886.745,221*
439-10-19NoNo01624422793.235,182*
429-9-20NoNo0317433796.626,231*
418-11-19NoNo0111404798.519,179*
408-10-20NoNo017355899.414,049*
398-9-21NoNo04296799.710,071*
387-11-20NoNo02227599.96,785*
377-10-21NoNo011782100.04,599*
367-9-22NoNo001287100.03,019*
356-11-21NoNo0991Yes1,991*
346-10-22NoNo793Yes1,282*
336-9-23NoNo496Yes783*
325-11-22NoNo397Yes456*
315-10-23NoNo397Yes276*
305-9-24NoNo199Yes155*
295-8-25NoNo199Yes91*
284-10-24NoNo298Yes46*
6-27NoNo100Yes641*
Total:2.0%7.0%23456666666655554433226.8%5,276,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship