How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 -4.9
-6.9
+0.7
-1.1
Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 -0.7
-0.7
Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 -0.4
-0.5
Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 -0.3
-0.3
Preston 2 Swansea 1 -0.3
-0.3
Southampton 2 QPR 1 -0.2
-0.3
Hull 1 Bristol City 1 +0.2
+0.2
Millwall 1 Stoke 0 +0.2
+0.2
Coventry 0 Sunderland 0 +0.1
+0.2
West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 -0.1
-0.2
Watford 0 Blackburn 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich vs Cardiff+1.8-1.3-2.7
+3.2-2.3-4.7
-0.7+0.4+1.3
+0.8-0.5-1.3
Rotherham vs Norwich+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Birmingham vs Millwall-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.4
Leicester vs Hull-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.2
Stoke vs Preston+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.4
Sunderland vs Southampton+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
West Brom vs Huddersfield-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Plymouth vs Blackburn+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Leeds vs Sheffield W-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Coventry vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Swansea vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ipswich finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
104-135YesYes100No19,587*
10329-7-699.8%Yes1000No597*
10228-9-5YesYes100No1,093*
10128-8-699.9Yes1000No1,710*
10028-7-799.9Yes1000No2,970*
9927-9-699.9Yes1000No4,953*
9827-8-799.9Yes1000No8,025*
9726-10-699.8Yes1000No12,573*
9626-9-799.7Yes1000No19,560*
9526-8-899.6Yes1000No30,212*
9425-10-799.4Yes991No46,350*
9325-9-899.1Yes991No68,297*
9225-8-998.7100.0%9910No99,697*
9124-10-898.0100.09820No144,834*
9024-9-997.0100.09730No204,094*
8923-11-895.799.996400No284,803*
8823-10-994.099.994600No392,725*
8723-9-1091.699.892800No532,164*
8622-11-988.499.6881100No704,318*
8522-10-1084.299.18415100No926,486*
8422-9-1179.198.47919200No1,195,686*
8321-11-1072.797.17324300No1,520,303*
8221-10-1165.295.065305000No1,903,790*
8120-12-1056.691.657358100No2,347,533*
8020-11-1147.386.64739122000No2,851,836*
7920-10-1237.579.53842173000No3,411,945*
7819-12-1128.170.128422361000No4,015,824*
7719-11-1219.658.5203929102000No4,667,876*
7619-10-1312.445.512333316410000No5,336,966*
7518-12-127.132.37253423920000No6,010,894*
7418-11-133.520.541731291541000No6,673,415*
7317-13-121.511.3210243122920000No7,292,596*
7217-12-130.55.21516282716610000No7,854,618*
7117-11-140.12.002921292312410000No8,319,906*
7016-13-130.00.6014122428209300000No8,691,412*
6916-12-140.00.1001615262617720000No8,935,786*
6816-11-150.00.00002718262515610000No9,048,853*
6715-13-140.00.000002919262313510000No9,023,361*
6615-12-15No0.0000131020262212410000No8,869,956*
6515-11-16NoNo000131121262211410000No8,570,264*
6414-13-15NoNo0000141121262111410000No8,159,247*
6314-12-16NoNo00001411222621114100000No7,645,971*
6213-14-15NoNo0000141222262110310000No7,048,217*
6113-13-16NoNo000014122226201031000No6,397,794*
6013-12-17NoNo0000141222262010310000.0%5,712,959*
5912-14-16NoNo000015132326199300000.05,018,099*
5812-13-17NoNo000015142426188200000.04,336,091*
5712-12-18NoNo00001615252617720000.23,688,719*
5611-14-17NoNo0000271827251551001.13,082,149*
5511-13-18NoNo000039202824123003.82,533,369*
5411-12-19NoNo000141224292182010.02,047,671*
5310-14-18NoNo000016162828164020.81,623,852*
5210-13-19NoNo0002922312410135.41,267,104*
5110-12-20NoNo0001414293117351.7969,825*
509-14-19NoNo00028233426767.1730,445*
499-13-20NoNo00141633341379.5539,124*
489-12-21NoNo00021028402088.2390,813*
478-14-20NoNo001522422993.8277,673*
468-13-21NoNo00316423996.9193,996*
458-12-22NoNo00111394898.5132,797*
447-14-21NoNo0017345899.488,879*
437-13-22NoNo004286799.757,871*
427-12-23NoNo02237599.937,404*
416-14-22NoNo011782100.023,703*
406-13-23NoNo011386100.014,442*
396-12-24NoNo0990Yes8,622*
385-14-23NoNo0694Yes5,103*
375-13-24NoNo496Yes2,870*
365-12-25NoNo397Yes1,647*
354-14-24NoNo397Yes876*
344-13-25NoNo199Yes475*
9-33NoNo100Yes19,317*
Total:7.7%15.4%8877766655544433322211102.1%182,104,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship