SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.2
-0.5
+6.3
-0.9
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 -0.1
-0.3
+6.9
-0.8
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 *-0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.2
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.2
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.2
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.2
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 *-0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.2
Southport 2 Welling United 2 *-0.1
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 *+0.1
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
+6.6+1.7-7.8
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
-7.9+1.6+6.7
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.5-0.1-0.4
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.4-0.1+0.5
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.3-0.1+0.4
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.2-0.1+0.3
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.2-0.1-0.1
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.0-0.0+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.3
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.3-0.2-0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.2-0.1+0.2
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.3-0.1-0.2
Woking vs Luton Town+0.3-0.1-0.2
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.2-0.2+0.3
Braintree Town vs Southport+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.2-0.2-0.0
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.1-0.2+0.1
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hyde FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
56-113YesYes100No11,166*
528-26-3NoNo100No1
518-25-4NoNo100No1
497-26-4NoNo5050Yes2
466-26-5NoNo6733Yes3
456-25-6NoNo100Yes4
446-24-7NoNo74053Yes15
425-25-7NoNo100Yes1
415-24-8NoNo2278Yes9
405-23-9NoNo2377Yes43
395-22-10NoNo991Yes141*
384-24-9NoNo2575Yes4
374-23-10NoNo892Yes26
3611-1-25NoNo397Yes235*
3511-0-26NoNo100Yes7
344-20-13NoNo019999.7%362*
333-22-12NoNo100Yes16
324-18-15NoNo199Yes1,339*
314-17-16NoNo0100Yes2,251*
304-16-17NoNo00099Yes3,267*
294-15-18NoNo0100Yes4,898*
284-14-19NoNo00100Yes4,896*
273-16-18NoNo100Yes681*
265-9-23NoNo0000099100.010,532*
254-11-22NoNo00000009999.64,017*
244-10-23NoNo0100Yes4,593*
234-9-24NoNo00199Yes2,790*
224-8-25NoNo100Yes1,482*
213-10-24NoNo0100Yes1,037*
203-9-25NoNo0141097699.1549*
193-8-26NoNo167107799.3273*
185-21-11NoNo496Yes490*
175-10-22NoNo00099Yes13,778*
162-8-27NoNo100Yes22*
155-8-24NoNo001397100.04,308*
142-6-29NoNo100Yes6*
134-19-14NoNo199Yes853*
126-22-9NoNo122276Yes188
1113-0-24NoNo2790Yes42
106-20-11NoNo01387Yes1,875*
87-5-25NoNo0100Yes2,953
75-20-12NoNo694Yes908
65-19-130.0%0.0%0496100.02,104*
55-18-140.00.00298100.03,905*
45-17-150.10.1019999.97,446*
329-4-4YesYes100No8*
25-15-170.10.10010099.926,798*
15-14-180.30.3009999.716,408*
07-7-230.20.200010099.840,957*
-15-12-200.70.71009999.324,588*
-25-11-212.32.32009897.613,436*
-36-7-246.86.970009392.77,160*
-46-6-2525.225.8252007272.33,334*
-526-5-686.589.9871310No1,501*
-625-7-581.185.8811810No2,688*
-725-6-676.482.3762120No4,291*
-824-8-568.976.6692740No6,869*
-924-7-659.169.3593470No10,886*
-1024-6-751.063.251381010No16,677*
-1123-8-641.155.8414115300No25,243*
-1223-7-731.748.7324221510No38,395*
-1323-6-822.641.92341279100No56,247*
-1422-8-714.735.9153532143000No81,253*
-1522-7-88.631.192835217100No115,151*
-1621-9-74.427.34193327123100No162,184*
-1721-8-81.924.121227312072000No223,465*
-1821-7-90.720.716192926144100No301,557*
-1920-9-80.216.40210232922103100No402,906*
-2020-8-90.011.401514262718720000No530,527*
-2120-7-100.06.400171726251561000No686,301*
-2219-9-90.02.8000291927231351000No872,677*
-2319-8-10No0.90003102127221241000No1,096,700*
-2419-7-11No0.2000131121272111410000No1,353,472*
-2518-9-10No0.000014112226211141000No1,646,443*
-2618-8-11No0.0000141122262111410000No1,974,988*
-2717-10-10No0.0000014112226211141000No2,327,527*
-2817-9-11NoNo000014112126211141000No2,711,460*
-2917-8-12NoNo0000141121262111410000.03,099,710*
-3016-10-11NoNo000141121262111410000.03,503,256*
-3116-9-12NoNo00014112227211131000.13,896,831*
-3216-8-13NoNo000141222272010300000.54,264,655*
-3315-10-12NoNo00001513242719820002.64,599,558*
-3415-9-13NoNo0000161525271771008.44,890,017*
-3515-8-14NoNo0000271827261551020.05,116,038*
-3614-10-13NoNo0000310212924112037.05,274,386*
-3714-9-14NoNo00014132630196155.95,351,367*
-3813-11-13NoNo00001719302813272.75,350,658*
-3913-10-14NoNo0000311263321585.15,264,546*
-4013-9-15NoNo000161934301092.85,104,122*
-4112-11-14NoNo00031331371696.84,869,822*
-4212-10-15NoNo00001725412598.84,573,859*
-4312-9-16NoNo0000419423599.64,228,339*
-4411-11-15NoNo000213404599.93,841,414*
-4511-10-16NoNo000183655100.03,442,991*
-4611-9-17NoNo00053064100.03,030,500*
-4710-11-16NoNo0032573100.02,625,698*
-4810-10-17NoNo0021979100.02,234,872*
-4910-9-18NoNo0011485100.01,870,286*
-509-11-17NoNo001189Yes1,537,491*
-519-10-18NoNo00892Yes1,243,703*
-529-9-19NoNo00595Yes987,635*
-538-11-18NoNo0496Yes769,088*
-548-10-19NoNo0298Yes586,039*
-558-9-20NoNo0298Yes438,019*
-567-11-19NoNo0199Yes317,462*
-577-10-20NoNo0199Yes233,354*
-587-9-21NoNo0100Yes149,495*
-596-11-20NoNo00100Yes96,076*
-606-10-21NoNo0100Yes34,233
-616-9-22NoNo0100Yes22,185
-626-8-23NoNo0100Yes12,599
Total:0.1%0.5%00001111122233345567911142052.7%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:12 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)