How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa vs Hull City-1.8-0.1+3.9
-1.8-0.1+3.9
+2.4-0.4-4.5
-0.8+0.1+1.6
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wedne-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sunderland vs Derby County-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sheffield United vs Brentford-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Wolverhampton vs Middlesbrough-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Bristol City vs Barnsley-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Nottingham Forest vs Millwall-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
QPR vs Reading-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Fulham vs Norwich City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Ipswich Town vs Birmingham City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Burton Albion vs Cardiff City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Hull City vs Burton Albion+2.2-1.4-2.9
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Hull City vs Wolverhampton+2.2-1.4-2.9
+2.2-1.4-2.9
-3.1+1.5+4.5
+1.0-0.6-1.4
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Brentford vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Bristol City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Middlesbrough vs Burton Albion-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leeds United vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Cardiff City vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Barnsley vs Ipswich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Millwall vs Ipswich Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Leeds United vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Norwich City vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Reading vs Fulham-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Wolverhampton-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sheffield Wedne vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Reading vs Aston Villa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Sheffield Wedne vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Derby County vs Preston North End-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Birmingham City vs Bolton Wanderers-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Norwich City vs QPR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Cardiff City vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hull City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPremierChance will finish regular season at seedFootball
TPW-D-LplayoffsLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
105-138InYes100No396,493*
10432-8-6InYes1000No745*
10331-10-5InYes100No1,437*
10231-9-6InYes1000No2,470*
10131-8-7InYes1000No4,557*
10030-10-6InYes1000No7,714*
9930-9-7InYes1000No13,387*
9830-8-8InYes1000No22,313*
9729-10-7InYes1000No37,076*
9629-9-8InYes1000No59,952*
9528-11-7InYes1000No96,188*
9428-10-8InYes1000No151,999*
9328-9-9InYes1000No236,695*
9227-11-8InYes1000No360,911*
9127-10-9100.0%100.0%9910No546,542*
9027-9-10100.0100.09910No813,535*
8926-11-9100.0100.09910No1,191,708*
8826-10-10100.0100.09820No1,725,094*
8725-12-9100.0100.09730No2,453,786*
8625-11-10100.0100.096400No3,449,405*
8525-10-1199.999.9946000No4,777,157*
8424-12-1099.899.8928000No6,517,969*
8324-11-1199.599.58811000No8,773,902*
8224-10-1299.099.084151000No11,650,484*
8123-12-1198.198.178202000No15,248,899*
8023-11-1296.496.471263000No19,678,187*
7922-13-1193.693.6623261000No25,056,854*
7822-12-1289.089.05237101000No31,463,948*
7722-11-1382.282.242411530000No38,967,667*
7621-13-1272.572.5314221510000No47,584,407*
7521-12-1360.260.221392810200000No57,327,958*
7421-11-1445.945.913333216510000No68,102,434*
7320-13-1331.331.372433239200000No79,789,129*
7220-12-1418.518.53152929166100000No92,227,612*
7119-14-139.19.118212924124100000No105,097,932*
7019-13-143.53.5031224282093100000No118,169,217*
6919-12-151.01.00151525261772000000No131,014,147*
6818-14-140.20.200271725251672000000No143,249,720*
6718-13-150.00.0000281725241562000000No154,452,359*
6618-12-160.00.00000281725241562000000No164,248,586*
6517-14-150.00.000000281725241572000000No172,227,301*
6417-13-160.00.000000271624241672000000No178,070,133*
6317-12-170.00.0000000261523251883100000No181,555,029*
6216-14-16OutNo0000015132225191031000000.0%182,463,930*
6116-13-17OutNo0000001412212520114100000.0180,803,990*
6016-12-18OutNo000001411202521124100000.0176,582,998*
5915-14-17OutNo000001310192622135100000.0170,001,334*
5815-13-18OutNo0000013919262313510000.1161,305,999*
5714-15-17OutNo0000013102026231341000.9150,820,873*
5614-14-18OutNo000001310212722113103.9138,958,659*
5514-13-19OutNo00000141223282192011.4126,176,101*
5413-15-18OutNo0000015142628186124.7112,833,609*
5313-14-19OutNo000002719302713242.299,390,605*
5213-13-20OutNo00000311253322660.386,232,681*
5112-15-19OutNo0000151833311175.773,677,851*
5012-14-20OutNo0000021129381986.661,961,086*
4912-13-21OutNo00001622423093.351,289,015*
4811-15-20OutNo0000315414197.041,795,832*
4711-14-21OutNo000110375298.733,521,758*
4611-13-22OutNo00006316299.526,443,021*
4510-15-21OutNo0003257299.820,504,513*
4410-14-22OutNo0002197999.915,654,870*
4310-13-23OutNo0011485100.011,735,468*
429-15-22OutNo0001090100.08,645,735*
419-14-23OutNo00793100.06,261,877*
409-13-24OutNo00595100.04,450,757*
398-15-23OutNo00397100.03,109,111*
388-14-24OutNo0298Yes2,131,007*
378-13-25OutNo0199Yes1,432,533*
367-15-24OutNo0199Yes946,213*
357-14-25OutNo00100Yes610,533*
347-13-26OutNo0100Yes385,545*
336-15-25OutNo0100Yes240,254*
326-14-26OutNo0100Yes145,515*
316-13-27OutNo0100Yes86,459*
306-12-28OutNo0100Yes50,076*
295-14-27OutNo0100Yes28,457*
285-13-28OutNo0100Yes15,563*
275-12-29OutNo0100Yes8,559*
264-14-28OutNo0100Yes4,523*
254-13-29OutNo100Yes2,404*
244-12-30OutNo0100Yes1,130*
0-23OutNo100Yes396,662*
Total:8.3%8.3%44444444444444444444444412.5%3,817,930,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs