Hull City Title ChancesLost to Ipswich Town 0-1, title odds down 3.1 to 2.3% 53 points 16-5-10 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 2/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 | -2.5 | | -7.0 | | -0.7 | | Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 | -1.0 | | -1.4 | | -0.1 | | Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 | -0.8 | | -0.9 | | -0.0 | | Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 | -0.7 | | -1.1 | | | | Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 | +0.7 | | +0.7 | | +0.0 | | Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 | -0.6 | | -0.9 | | -0.0 | | Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 | +0.3 | | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 | +0.1 | | +0.5 | | +0.1 | | Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | | | Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 | | | +0.2 | | | | Fleetwood Town 1 Charlton Athletic 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 2/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City | -2.7-1.5+1.9 | | -7.7-3.6+5.1 | | -0.8-0.3+0.5 | | Hull City vs Rochdale | +1.8-1.6-2.8 | | +4.8-3.9-7.9 | | +0.5-0.3-0.8 | | Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town | -0.8+0.6+1.3 | | -0.9+0.6+1.5 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City | +1.2+0.4-0.9 | | +1.2+0.4-1.0 | | | | Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic | -0.5+0.6+1.1 | | -0.9+0.9+1.9 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Oxford United vs Peterborough Un | +0.8+0.3-0.8 | | +0.9+0.5-1.0 | | | | Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.7+0.4-0.8 | | | | Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.4+0.5+0.1 | | | | Portsmouth vs Gillingham | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.6+0.3+0.7 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.4+0.3+0.3 | | | | Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.5+0.2-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Sunderland vs Swindon Town | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.4+0.3+0.6 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United | | | +0.3+0.2-0.3 | | | | Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic | | | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | | | | Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Hull City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.2 | % | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 475,992 | | 96 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.6 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213,656 | | 95 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 93.1 | | 99.9 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 304,333 | | 94 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 91.1 | | 99.9 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 773,429 | | 93 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 84.4 | | 99.6 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,191,650 | | 92 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 78.1 | | 99.1 | | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,276,127 | * | 91 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 69.9 | | 98.1 | | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,329,586 | | 90 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 59.1 | | 96.1 | | 59 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,973,684 | * | 89 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 49.0 | | 93.2 | | 49 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,863,993 | * | 88 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 37.7 | | 88.3 | | 38 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,665,103 | * | 87 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 27.2 | | 81.5 | | 27 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,633,302 | * | 86 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 18.5 | | 73.3 | | 18 | 46 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,059,991 | * | 85 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 11.2 | | 63.4 | | 11 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,083,552 | * | 84 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 6.2 | | 53.4 | | 6 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134,206,221 | * | 83 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 3.1 | | 44.3 | | 3 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 171,830,973 | * | 82 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.3 | | 36.6 | | 1 | 14 | 39 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 214,383,535 | * | 81 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | 31.2 | | 0 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 248,142,765 | * | 80 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 27.7 | | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 284,113,663 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 25.4 | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 179,995,304 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 25.7 | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 133,083,202 | * | 78 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 23.9 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 220,869,958 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 23.7 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,612,132 | * | 77 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 21.6 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 334,550,370 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 18.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 164,137,035 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 18.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 164,652,093 | * | 75 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 14.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,991,105 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 14.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,630,919 | * | 74 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 9.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 283,089,271 | * | 73 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 5.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,409,439 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 5.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,279,028 | * | 72 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 2.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,402,219 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 171,426,684 | * | 70 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 134,238,608 | * | 69 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 100,653,245 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 73,020,917 | * | 67 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 50,494,707 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 33,287,034 | * | 65 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 21,125,439 | * | 64 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 12,680,570 | * | 63 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 7,196,905 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,893,316 | * | 61 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,970,369 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 923,542 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 405,237 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 162,504 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 57,132 | * | 56 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 18,059 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,808 | | 54 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 1 | | | | | No | 943 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 448,447 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.3 | % | 23.1 | % | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 4,326,232,096 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |