How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wedne 1 Luton Town 0 -0.2
Hull City 0 Blackburn Rovers 1 +0.2
Derby County 1 Bristol City 2 +0.1
Birmingham City 2 Barnsley 0 +0.1
Middlesbrough 1 Wigan Athletic 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cardiff City vs Huddersfield Town-0.2-0.0+0.5
-0.5-0.1+1.0
+4.0-0.5-7.8
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Huddersfield Town vs Reading+0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.6-0.4-0.7
-5.2+2.5+7.1
+0.9-0.5-1.2
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wedne+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stoke City vs Leeds United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.4
Middlesbrough vs Millwall+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Leeds United vs Brentford-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Derby County vs West Brom+0.2-0.1-0.2
West Brom vs Reading-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Fulham vs Millwall+0.0-0.0-0.1
Charlton Athletic vs Brentford-0.1*+0.0+0.2
QPR vs Swansea City+0.2-0.1-0.2
Charlton Athletic vs Nottingham Forest-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Fulham vs Nottingham Forest-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Hull City vs Bristol City+0.2-0.1-0.2
Preston North End vs Stoke City-0.1-0.1+0.3
QPR vs Wigan Athletic-0.1-0.1+0.3
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Barnsley vs Luton Town+0.0-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Luton Town vs Huddersfield Town-0.2-0.0+0.5
-0.4-0.1+1.0
+4.2-0.6-7.9
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Sheffield Wedne vs QPR-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Reading vs Charlton Athletic+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Millwall vs Hull City-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Cardiff City vs Fulham+0.3-0.1-0.3
West Brom vs Blackburn Rovers-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Birmingham City vs Stoke City-0.1-0.0+0.4
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Nottingham Forest vs Preston North End*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brentford vs Derby County+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley+0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Huddersfield Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
95-130YesYes100No11,258*
9428-9-698.6%Yes991No145*
9328-8-799.6Yes1000No276*
9228-7-8YesYes100No456*
9127-9-798.2Yes982No819*
9027-8-898.2Yes982No1,410*
8926-10-797.1Yes973No2,176*
8826-9-896.699.9%9730No3,619*
8726-8-994.299.89460No5,739*
8625-10-892.399.89280No8,890*
8525-9-990.199.7901000No13,810*
8424-11-885.399.3851410No20,762*
8324-10-981.298.6811710No30,867*
8224-9-1074.997.67523200No45,447*
8123-11-967.195.56728400No65,353*
8023-10-1058.892.25933710No93,209*
7923-9-1148.987.5493911100No130,887*
7822-11-1039.280.43941163000No181,278*
7722-10-1129.370.82941226100No246,363*
7621-12-1020.158.8203928102000No329,839*
7521-11-1112.645.31333331751000No436,657*
7421-10-127.031.6725342392000No569,080*
7320-12-113.419.5316302916510000No730,163*
7220-11-121.310.2192330231031000No924,532*
7120-10-130.44.40414262818720000No1,147,358*
7019-12-120.11.501718272514510000No1,408,664*
6919-11-130.00.40031021272212410000No1,708,654*
6818-13-120.00.1001412222720103100000No2,036,976*
6718-12-130.00.000015132326199310000No2,390,189*
6618-11-14No0.000015142326199310000No2,770,065*
6517-13-13No0.0000015142325189310000No3,162,307*
6417-12-14NoNo00015142325199310000No3,548,312*
6317-11-15NoNo00015132325199310000No3,933,794*
6216-13-14NoNo000015132226191031000000.0%4,291,143*
6116-12-15NoNo000015122226201031000No4,608,640*
6016-11-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.04,879,717*
5915-13-15NoNo0000141222262011310000.05,090,117*
5815-12-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.15,230,801*
5715-11-17NoNo00001513232720930000.45,292,088*
5614-13-16NoNo0000151424271882002.15,270,889*
5514-12-17NoNo000027162626166106.75,171,350*
5413-14-16NoNo000028202825123016.04,992,754*
5313-13-17NoNo000013122430218130.24,745,107*
5213-12-18NoNo00001617292915347.24,437,820*
5112-14-17NoNo0000210243424664.04,091,753*
5012-13-18NoNo000151733331277.73,706,210*
4912-12-19NoNo00021028392087.53,307,230*
4811-14-18NoNo0001622423093.62,899,289*
4711-13-19NoNo000315414097.02,502,115*
4611-12-20NoNo00110385198.72,121,595*
4510-14-19NoNo0016326199.51,767,054*
4410-13-20NoNo003267099.81,449,930*
4310-12-21NoNo002217799.91,167,854*
429-14-20NoNo0011584100.0921,319*
419-13-21NoNo0001188100.0715,575*
409-12-22NoNo00892100.0544,290*
398-14-21NoNo00595100.0408,079*
388-13-22NoNo0496Yes299,413*
378-12-23NoNo0298Yes214,865*
367-14-22NoNo0298Yes151,760*
357-13-23NoNo0199Yes105,164*
347-12-24NoNo199Yes70,715*
336-14-23NoNo0100Yes46,868*
326-13-24NoNo00100Yes30,135*
316-12-25NoNo0100Yes19,432*
306-11-26NoNo0100Yes11,768*
295-13-25NoNo0100Yes7,206*
285-12-26NoNo0100Yes4,217*
275-11-27NoNo100Yes2,389*
264-13-26NoNo0100Yes1,361*
1-25NoNo100Yes12,506*
Total:0.6%1.5%111122233334445556677891026.6%106,549,872

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship