How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -1.0
-1.9
+3.2
-1.0
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Southport 2 Welling United 2 *+0.1
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.1
+0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 *-0.1
*-0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 *-0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 *-0.1
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 *-0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 *-0.1
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.8-0.2-0.7
+1.8-0.5-1.4
-4.4+0.7+3.9
+1.2-0.3-1.0
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.7-0.2+0.8
-1.4-0.5+1.8
+4.0+0.7-4.4
-1.0-0.2+1.2
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cambridge United vs Nuneaton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.0-0.0
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs Barnet-0.0+0.1-0.0
Woking vs Luton Town+0.2-0.1-0.1
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.2-0.1-0.1
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Hereford United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
68-122YesYes100No11,174*
6227-0-1066.7%66.7%6733No3*
587-26-4NoNo100No1
5625-0-1289.589.58911No19
539-25-3NoNo5050No2
525-26-6NoNo100No2
5117-19-140.040.040201010101020.0%10*
477-25-5NoNo20202040No5*
453-25-9NoNo5050Yes2
4414-21-2No12.52538251312.58*
4012-23-2NoNo33333333.33*
3912-22-3No4.51414329552322.722*
3811-24-2NoNo100No1
3711-23-3NoNo20204020No5
368-1-28NoNo100Yes10
3510-24-3NoNo505050.02*
341-20-16NoNo20206080.05*
31-32NoNo100Yes19*
301-16-20NoNo551496895.522*
27-29NoNo100Yes36*
262-9-26NoNo8613433105366.277*
257-23-7NoNo11618291883717.176*
242-7-28NoNo100Yes12*
233-23-11NoNo3367Yes12*
21-22NoNo100Yes5*
2013-0-24NoNo332028331595.040
195-23-9NoNo10203330790.030
182-21-14NoNo1090Yes10*
172-10-25NoNo351577Yes73*
154-22-11NoNo372962Yes76*
1429-6-2YesYes100No1
131-19-1737.537.5386362.58*
123-22-1246.746.747734353.330*
110-0-370.20.20010099.811,189*
103-20-1433.633.634135466.4143*
927-7-3YesYes100No102*
827-6-483.583.5841616.5182*
727-5-593.893.894066.3304*
626-7-493.093.0931066.5555*
526-6-593.793.8940065.9983*
426-5-693.693.7941065.71,695*
325-7-599.099.2991No2,609*
225-6-694.795.1952043.84,538*
124-8-596.196.7962021.76,922*
024-7-692.993.69330044.111,326*
-124-6-794.395.4945011.116,894*
-223-8-693.394.9936000.325,555*
-323-7-791.393.5918000.138,021*
-423-6-888.291.188110000.055,951*
-522-8-783.987.98415100No81,792*
-622-7-878.583.97820200No114,949*
-721-9-772.579.47325300No161,491*
-821-8-865.173.86530500No222,385*
-921-7-956.467.356358100No300,897*
-1020-9-846.960.2474012200No402,432*
-1120-8-937.453.13742173000No529,839*
-1220-7-1027.945.92842236100No684,242*
-1319-9-919.339.4193929102000No872,035*
-1419-8-1012.133.91233331641000No1,095,418*
-1519-7-116.929.6725342392000No1,353,653*
-1618-9-103.426.231731291541000No1,646,651*
-1718-8-111.423.019243122920000No1,973,338*
-1817-10-100.519.3041628281761000No2,329,934*
-1917-9-110.114.80282028241241000No2,704,407*
-2017-8-120.09.7003122328211031000No3,104,542*
-2116-10-110.05.1001514252618820000No3,503,046*
-2216-9-120.02.10002616262516720000No3,896,987*
-2316-8-13No0.60002818262415610000No4,264,362*
-2415-10-12No0.100002819262314510000No4,602,157*
-2515-9-13No0.000003919262313510000No4,888,089*
-2615-8-14No0.000013919262313510000No5,114,526*
-2714-10-13No0.0000013919262313510000No5,273,461*
-2814-9-14NoNo0001391926231351000No5,354,172*
-2913-11-13NoNo000139192623135100000.05,353,141*
-3013-10-14NoNo000131020262312410000.05,268,053*
-3113-9-15NoNo0000131021272212410000.15,101,740*
-3212-11-14NoNo000141122272111310000.64,871,305*
-3312-10-15NoNo00001413232720920002.84,574,572*
-3412-9-16NoNo0000151525271871008.64,229,212*
-3511-11-15NoNo000271827261551020.03,848,280*
-3611-10-16NoNo0000310222923102036.43,442,872*
-3711-9-17NoNo00014142630196154.83,031,503*
-3810-11-16NoNo00002720312712271.42,624,847*
-3910-10-17NoNo0000312273320483.92,234,985*
-4010-9-18NoNo00017213528991.91,870,685*
-419-11-17NoNo00031432361596.31,538,031*
-429-10-18NoNo00001827412298.51,242,466*
-439-9-19NoNo001521433299.4987,573*
-448-11-18NoNo000215414199.8768,563*
-458-10-19NoNo000110385199.9588,827*
-468-9-20NoNo00063361100.0441,609*
-477-11-19NoNo0042769100.0325,805*
-487-10-20NoNo0022276100.0234,434*
-497-9-21NoNo011782Yes165,592*
-506-11-20NoNo011387Yes114,557*
-516-10-21NoNo00991Yes77,652*
-526-9-22NoNo00694Yes51,713*
-535-11-21NoNo0595Yes33,384*
-545-10-22NoNo0397Yes21,113*
-555-9-23NoNo298Yes13,052*
-565-8-24NoNo199Yes7,706*
-574-10-23NoNo199Yes4,640*
-584-9-24NoNo0100Yes2,456*
-594-8-25NoNo0100Yes1,341*
-603-10-24NoNo0100Yes351
-62--61NoNo100Yes285*
Total:1.7%4.7%22334444455555555555544315.1%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship