How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.3
-0.9
+1.9
-0.7
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.1
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 +0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.1
+0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.1
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.1
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1-0.0+0.3
-0.6-0.1+1.0
+2.5*-0.0-3.7
-0.7-0.1+1.2
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.9-0.3-0.7
-3.3+0.5+3.1
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.5
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
Woking vs Luton Town+0.3-0.0-0.2
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1-0.0+0.3
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.2-0.1-0.2
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.3
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1-0.0+0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.2-0.0+0.4
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.1-0.1-0.1
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Hereford United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
12237-0-0YesYes100No32,619
618-26-3NoNo5050No2
4715-21-1NoNo100No1
463-26-8NoNo100Yes1
456-26-5NoNo100No1
432-26-9NoNo100Yes1
425-26-6NoNo673333.3%3
4112-24-1NoNo100No1
392-22-13NoNo5474794.719*
382-21-14NoNo2222224206590.251*
377-25-5NoNo335017No6
3610-25-2NoNo33333333.33*
351-21-15NoNo100Yes10*
3411-0-26NoNo9234721Yes43
333-23-11NoNo2218344496.050*
321-18-18NoNo595Yes22*
311-17-19NoNo1421138093.2103*
301-16-20NoNo4298694.757*
291-15-21NoNo298Yes61
284-5-28NoNo1129799.5198*
272-10-25NoNo24419098.5199*
2615-0-22NoNo0381620103113739.1619*
251-11-25NoNo100Yes46*
242-7-28NoNo44248484.445*
237-1-29NoNo496Yes27*
226-3-28NoNo041481Yes259*
211-7-29NoNo100Yes1
2013-0-24NoNo410194119666.3160
182-11-24NoNo298Yes280
1712-0-25NoNo33323325594.979
1530-4-3YesYes100No2*
143-24-1012.5%12.5%13195013687.516*
12-13YesYes100No22*
110-0-370.10.10010099.932,645*
103-20-1410.010.01006236190.0611*
92-12-2318.818.8190077481.1581*
83-18-1614.414.514002245985.31,487*
727-5-581.081.281131417.7526*
63-16-1819.319.41901146580.33,386*
526-6-555.055.65520053742.62,183*
426-5-678.579.8795011516.62,624*
325-7-584.786.28560189.14,004*
225-6-684.186.38480077.26,852*
125-5-778.881.579110001010.211,666*
024-7-671.374.871131001414.719,716*
-124-6-775.480.4751910044.528,172*
-223-8-672.779.37324200010.942,305*
-323-7-766.474.8663040000.264,464*
-423-6-859.569.65935600No97,504*
-522-8-751.763.85239910No144,561*
-622-7-842.957.2434313100No212,134*
-721-9-734.951.2354518300No302,664*
-821-8-826.845.12744235000No427,943*
-921-7-919.539.61942298100No594,252*
-1020-9-813.234.81337341320000No814,120*
-1120-8-98.331.0830371951000No1,096,738*
-1220-7-104.728.1523362692000No1,450,081*
-1319-9-92.425.721532311541000No1,888,079*
-1419-8-101.123.519263321820000No2,427,274*
-1519-7-110.420.8051831271441000No3,066,880*
-1618-9-100.117.40211253121820000No3,813,623*
-1718-8-110.013.30161829271451000No4,667,009*
-1817-10-100.09.0002102329221030000No5,624,154*
-1917-9-110.05.2001515262717720000No6,681,113*
-2017-8-120.02.5000281928241341000No7,811,598*
-2116-10-110.01.000013112328211030000No8,991,694*
-2216-9-12No0.30001515252718720000No10,197,799*
-2316-8-13No0.10000271827251551000No11,383,086*
-2415-10-12No0.000003102127231241000No12,507,558*
-2515-9-13No0.00001412232720930000No13,537,633*
-2615-8-14No0.000001515252718720000No14,420,982*
-2714-10-13NoNo00002717272515510000No15,128,759*
-2814-9-14NoNo0000392028231241000No15,621,257*
-2914-8-15NoNo000014122328219300000.015,886,424*
-3013-10-14NoNo00001514252718720000.015,892,687*
-3113-9-15NoNo00002718282614510000.015,650,512*
-3212-11-14NoNo000031021292311300000.015,161,590*
-3312-10-15NoNo0001413252919720000.214,466,964*
-3412-9-16NoNo0000161728271541000.813,565,783*
-3511-11-15NoNo00002102230231020002.612,508,729*
-3611-10-16NoNo000141527291761006.811,358,346*
-3711-9-17NoNo000282030251230014.610,134,711*
-3810-11-16NoNo000141326301961026.28,887,327*
-3910-10-17NoNo00017203127122040.87,660,573*
-4010-9-18NoNo0003132732195056.26,489,436*
-419-11-17NoNo0001721332610170.45,400,956*
-429-10-18NoNo000414303316381.74,418,604*
-439-9-19NoNo00029253623589.63,541,679*
-448-11-18NoNo00015193631994.72,793,803*
-458-10-19NoNo00021333381497.52,157,784*
-468-9-20NoNo001828422198.91,633,453*
-477-11-19NoNo000422452999.61,215,277*
-487-10-20NoNo000216443899.8884,079*
-497-9-21NoNo000111414799.9629,862*
-506-11-20NoNo00173756100.0438,837*
-516-10-21NoNo0043264100.0299,725*
-526-9-22NoNo0032671100.0199,177*
-535-11-21NoNo0012178100.0130,320*
-545-10-22NoNo011683Yes80,067*
-555-9-23NoNo001288Yes50,889*
-565-8-24NoNo00991Yes30,943*
-574-10-23NoNo0693Yes18,044*
-584-9-24NoNo0595Yes9,796*
-594-8-25NoNo0397Yes4,611*
Total:0.3%2.0%01122344556667777665432110.4%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship